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@frhoffmann.bsky.social

🚀 New Mildly Alarmed episode out. @alanderminna.bsky.social and I discuss one of the key topics of my recently defended PhD: How does the proliferation of long-range strike weapons to small and medium-sized states affect strategic stability? 1/3 www.youtube.com/watch?v=sRLD...

youtube.comWhen small states get long range missiles | Mildly AlarmedYouTube video by Mildly Alarmed

21/8/26, 8:26 pm6 reposts31 likes

Fabian Hoffmann, PhD

@frhoffmann.bsky.social

21 Aug

We also discuss why Europe has many national arsenals but no shared deep-strike doctrine, how low-cost cruise missiles and long-range drones are lowering barriers to entry for states like the Baltics, what this means for arms control... 2/3

Fabian Hoffmann, PhD

@frhoffmann.bsky.social

21 Aug

... and why Russia, which before 2022 faced a Europe with empty arsenals and a moribund missile industry, has brought about precisely the threat environment it arguably sought to avoid. 3/3

Marsanges

@marsanges.bsky.social

21 Aug

But Russia didnt want to bring it about. It did so only because it failed in Ukraine, which it had not planned to do! In their plan the war would have been quick, UA turned into a vassal and hosting their troops a la Belarus, and they could have faced asleep Europe from a much better position!