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...in essence, Primary Polls are hogwash?

I thought I saw you posting about how the off-year senate polling is historically ~12 points off? How should we judge a "predictor" in such a volatile environment? Are most of these models just wildly under counting their "error bars" and predictions outside 40-60% should probably just be ignored?

or maybe when you say whacky stupid shit it will catch up to you. thankfully in this case it happened at the right time to avoid the train wreck

A race with multiple candidates who leave & re-enter is going to have some funny dynamics. Polls consistently showed high undecideds. In the end, it looks like consolidation around Crowley.

Not just Republicans. A couple-three articles in local allegedly-progressive media ginning up 'controversy' (like the "Thanksgiving" statement) had just enough effect.

It’s Milwaukee . This vote was appropriate.

And the Wisconsin candidate field was almost absurdly volatile: Crowley out, Rodriguez out, Barnes out, Crowley back...