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Need to hit the high 20s a few days before elections. Just to drive the point home.

Floor is about 25%, close to George W. Bush's lowest. But Trump will be in high 20's before end of 2027.

One notable thing is how linear the approval & disapproval ratings are as a function of time. I worked it out the other day ... for the past 16 months it's like 27,000 people change their mind about Trump each day - at a fairly steady pace. Are presidential ratings declines always like this?

IF indeed 2026 becomes a rout, the stench of defeat will keep pushing those numbers down.

Still

As you better than most know, very difficult for 2nd term prez to recover from low approvals. Even with favorable policies/economic conditions fatigue sets in. Electorate just gets tired of them.

We're basically in a recession if you aren't rich.

Thoughts and prayers.

How does this compare to GW Bush at this time in his second term? I know we're in a more polarized environment now, but that's the floor example I always think of in terms of "how low can it go?"

I am very (pleasantly) surprised that his approval keeps dropping. His base is starting to chip away. I would like to think they are abandoning him because of his gross criminality, but more likely it is fuel prices. Diesel prices hit MAGAts especially.

A new Pew poll has his approval at 30%.

Whatever it is will tell the remaining population of zombified craniums, yet to be cured from the maga infection