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It's been quite something to see certain 'media favorite scientists' wanting to die on the hill of "no acceleration and "the truth is bad enough" Everyone who understands basic physics understands that (more than!) doubling Earth's Energy Imbalance will double the rate of global warming.

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social

"[We] identify a statistically significant doubling of the global warming rate during 2011–2025 (0.40 °C per dec) compared to 1971–2025 (0.20 °C per dec)... The ensemble mean of 26 #climate models fails to capture the observed doubling of the warming rate, simulating a rate of only 0.29 °C per dec"

The vast majority of global heat accumulation (~90%) is directed to increasing the temperature of the oceans. Ocean water has a very high heat capacity (~4 kJ/kg*°C) and it takes some time for a forcing, feedback, imbalance, and temperature increase to surface above natural variability.

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