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According to a new UN report, global warming will reach at least 1.8 degrees Celsius, even in the best-case scenario. The authors warn that "there are no good outcomes above 1.5 degrees Celsius."

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1.5 was the hopeful limit if every country has been doing everything it could. Nearly every country did the absolute reverse and increased pollution. 1.5 is already here. +3-4 is the expected number now.

Unfortunately, climate change deniers will point to predictions like that as proof that climate change is a "hoax", because here we are ten years later and the world hasn't ended yet.

We are on track for 1.6+ this year.. I really dont see how it can be 1.8 with the exponential factor and the fact certain countries are still trashing the planet (cough US of Arses). I would love to be wrong be the numbers arent adding up dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#global

dashboard.theclimatebrink.comClimate DashboardDaily-updated global temperature tracker: ERA5 daily data, multi-model ENSO forecasts, annual projections, and climate models vs. observations.

We were warned at a time that we could do something about global warming, climate change or whatever you want to call it. We F’dA. Now we are going to FO.

In my more cynical moments I'm inclined to believe that civilisational collapse due to mass migration strain, famine, billions of deaths with no nuclear war, and more besides has been the intention for some, and that's why not enough has been done.

Whatever the reason, mankind is going to suffer the consequences of its folly. It’s ironic that the most intelligent beings on the planet have destroyed the thing upon which their survival depends. And, worse, they did it knowingly.

These monster climatic events are our new normal. Climate deniers, you can run, but you can’t hide from them.

Paul Eric@pauleric70.bsky.social

Hurricane Lowell just EXPLOSIVELY intensified from a 90 MPH Category 1 to a 125 MPH Category 3 in only 3 HOURS. This is a nuclear rate of intensification for the open Central Pacific Ocean, and Lowell is now forecast to approach CAT 5 intensity about ~500 miles SE of Hawaii.

unfortunately humans can't actually live outside of the environment. There is no such thing as ignoring the environment really. Greta gets infinite grace though, she's one human, she did more than her part for that cause.

To be clear, overshooting 1.5 degrees is not an invitation to give up. It means we have to work even harder to return to a lower baseline. The authors emphasize: “Every fraction of a degree matters, and every year spent in overshoot increases climate risks and the potential for irreversible losses."

Exactly why it should happen. They could use it for repairs. I can't wait to see how their bottom line looks now that we are so poor we won't be buying any of their goods anyway.

We’ll flirt with 1.8C next year thanks to the El Niño and blow past 2.0C sometime next decade at the latest. It will be too late to prevent 3.0C by the time we make any meaningful reduction in carbon emissions. We will have to capture carbon AND use geoengineering in addition to emissions reduction.

Public education in the U.S. has been under attack, undermined and underfunded by conservatives since its inception. If they could, the GOP absolutely would make education illegal for everyone but the wealthy.

Initially the climate scientists tried to lessen the reports so as not to seem alarmist so they talked to the lower ends of outcomes .. and last I saw the number are actually coming in on the higher side. We're going to pollute ourselves out of existence, but at least exec bonuses are still rising.