Post

We are close to the 2026 NFL schedule release so let's look at the strength of schedule based on Vegas win totals. (Data from DKSportsbook, FDSportsbook, and BetMGM via RotoWireNFL)

Sebastian Carl

@mrcaseb.com

There is an even better way doing this by analyzing lookahead spread lines of the complete season and reverse engineering the implied team strength. I usually post this at some point before regular season starts.

11/5/26, 6:46 pm0 reposts4 likes

Joseph Hefner

@josephjefe.bsky.social

11 May

That’s basically what inpredictable does, right? Which is what Ben Baldwin uses in his graphics?

Sebastian Carl

@mrcaseb.com

11 May

I think it’s the same idea. But Mike (the site owner) updates during the season and extracts signal from the upcoming two weeks. What I described above only works prior to the start of the season because that’s when books offer spreads for all games.