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some variation of this is what im expecting. jevon's paradox is going to push a ton of people who dont think of themselves as SWEs into weird hybrid pseudo-SWE roles, but the <p50 SWE who just writes java and doesn't bring any product or business insights to the table is turbo-fucked

jake@yetanotheruseless.com

a smaller (than now) number of absurdly paid software veterans who know the insides of the algorithms, the models, the hardware, and know where the bodies are buried. They will be paid 7fig+ a vastly larger (way more than now) number of slop-cannons, -janitors, and -plumbers, paid fine: 50-100k

I don't disagree but I think, in our own desire to stake a claim in why we are safe, we say this too wantonly. This will be a traumatic financial experience happening on a massive scale at a heretofore unseen pace for so many people. Hurt people hurt people, and society will groan under the fallout.

Oh I can't imagine there will be any problems when hundreds of thousands of single-earner families where the main earner never really liked tech very much, but got a SWE job "because it paid well", and have million dollar mortgages. No problems whatsoever. :(

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half tongue-in-cheek, half kinda serious: on the up side, if any SWEs in the US used the very high pay as a reason to not consider other countries, now there’s one less reason to stick around (the last year was a very big motivator for me to get finances sorted out)

I want people to stick around and flourish :( This is kind of what I'm getting at… we now only have the appetite to talk about generational, life-altering fallout for everyone in the blast radius. It eats at me.