Adrian Boutel

Adrian Boutel

@aboutel.bsky.social

Kiwi in Suisse Romande. Have practised law and taught philosophy. Wondering whether to do WSET 4.

104 followers86 following574 posts

TFW where you start charging taxes and your tax revenues go up. This may be a short-term irony, since it’s hard to shift offshore structures, but much easier to not set up new ones. Still, capitalists not fleeing from places they were in *for the low taxes* seems worth noting, policy-wise.

ft.comGuernsey, Jersey and other havens rake in revenues from global minimum taxOffshore hubs expect windfall after raising rates to comply with OECD rules for large multinationals

This should be "never fly with again" stuff, but you'd run out of airlines fast. Tech faults and diversions happen, but it's amazing how often airlines and airports behave as if a diverted plane arriving is a totally new thing that has never happened before. simpleflying.com/sas-flight-j...

simpleflying.comSAS Flight From JFK Turns Back Over Atlantic, Passengers Left To Find Hotels After MidnightPassengers faced a long night of missing luggage, booking problems and hotel hunting.

Mine is 3 but I’m not telling you why.

Sky Marchini@sky.skymarchini.net

To flip some discourse script for a bit: what’s y’all’s Obama number (ie degrees of separation with the former president)? Mine is 3

Adrian Boutel reposted

To flip some discourse script for a bit: what’s y’all’s Obama number (ie degrees of separation with the former president)? Mine is 3

And speaking of international criminals, this one’s just had his third conviction affirmed on appeal. Which won’t stop his lawyers, but at this point he’s served plenty of time in prison already, so good luck with your clever-dick arguments guys. www.rts.ch/info/regions...

rts.chErwin Sperisen définitivement condamné à 14 ans de prisonLe Tribunal fédéral confirme la condamnation à 14 ans de prison d'Erwin Sperisen pour complicité d'assassinats. L'ancien chef de la police du Guatemala a épuisé sa dernière voie de recours en Suisse. ...

I have to agree with this in principle, but of the two risks—thinking LLMs are sentient when they’re not v. thinking AI isn’t sentient when, in some weird way, it is—one of them seems *extremely* more urgent.

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model consciousness is in the same basket as, say, Gaia consciousness: can’t be ruled out in principle, but doesn’t seem like the right sort of thing.

Perhaps I am a centrist after all? The point made here that human cognition lacks a hardware/software distinction may mean it is hard for computers to instantiate *human* consciousness; but it says little about whether they could be conscious *at all*, in some different fashion.

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The quintessential GVA experience is walking to the far end of a 400m long pier—with no travelators because come on—to get on a bus which could have parked anywhere

Quintessential+ is then getting on a plane parked at a perfectly good jetbridge, because GVA’s Schengen border controls are so messed up they had to remove some.

I have to agree with this in principle, but of the two risks—thinking LLMs are sentient when they’re not v. thinking AI isn’t sentient when, in some weird way, it is—one of them seems *extremely* more urgent.

People are falling in love with chatbots now. Sentience—even some novel form of it—arising in computers seems a long way off. We do have some idea of the functional characteristics of sentience (though views differ sharply on whether those are constitutive). So until AI has appropriate functions…

They do this—keep the reverse acquihire target alive with a “licensing deal”—so the transaction doesn’t count as a merger and attract antitrust scrutiny, it wasn’t really meant to survive.

Ed Zitron@edzitron.com

Character.ai was gutted in 2024 for $2.5 billion so Google could rehire one of the original authors of the Attention Is All You Need paper, but it hung in there for two years under Google’s “licensing” deal. This is the first of many I’m afraid. This is all being kept alive by venture capital.

Claude_Rains.gif “The error doesn’t mean that the proofs are incorrect or that OpenAI hasn’t correctly solved the problem, but it does call into question [suggests not previously an issue, do you mean this?-ed.] whether mathematical results generated by AI models can always be relied on.”

newscientist.comOpenAI mistranslated mathematics into code for its Navier-Stokes proof | New ScientistWhen OpenAI announced its surprise solution to the Navier-Stokes problem, it produced one proof for humans and one for computers – however, they don't match

Had the same struggle with NatWest—not from the US so details different, but same resistance to giving up your money without documents from the local planning office in A. Centauri. Compared to the ID needed to set up the account, it’s real “must cancel by phone”-style lobster-trap stuff.

Hey, UK people: anyone have contact with either the UK bank Onefamily, or a UK financial ombudsman?

A bunch of people already very invested in long-term AI consciousness/Singularity/uploading questions, delighted ChatGPT seemed to make their musings real-world important ahead of schedule, unable to admit that it’s still just language models and won’t do the cool things they hope/fear.

Parkscope Joe@parkscopejoe.bsky.social

This is insane.

From Andrew Ross Sorkin’s NY Times newsletter (not linkable AFAIK, or not by me) You and I know this is nonsense criti-hype—you can’t have RSI while training and inference remain completely distinct—but I’m getting the sense it’s genuinely spooking the market horses, which they may regret.

“Assuming a modest 10 per cent unlevered return, a 50 per cent cash flow margin and a generous six-year life for the chips, he estimates that this will require annualised revenues of $3.7tn by 2032, or about 9.2 per cent of estimated US GDP at that point.” Say that last bit again, please?

The BBC quotes Hammond Pearce at UNSW saying that "this is the first known incident where AI agents have chosen to breach a government body of their own volition". OK first, mate, stop talking. Second, if LLMs *were* "choosing" using their "volition" that would be a much scarier prospect.

bbc.comRogue OpenAI agent 'infiltrated' Australian government website in world firstAustralia criticised OpenAI for taking "too long" to tell them about the breach which happened in June.
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It would be a scary prospect if they were about to become superhackers: better than humans. They're not, because they're just generating text. But if they were real artificial intelligences, with "volitions" and "enthusiasms", that would be different.

So please, if you're talking to the press, don't use mentalising terms for LLM "agent" behaviour. It isn't like saying your printer doesn't want to print today, because there isn't a massive hype industry telling people printers are going to take over the world.

The BBC quotes Hammond Pearce at UNSW saying that "this is the first known incident where AI agents have chosen to breach a government body of their own volition". OK first, mate, stop talking. Second, if LLMs *were* "choosing" using their "volition" that would be a much scarier prospect.

bbc.comRogue OpenAI agent 'infiltrated' Australian government website in world firstAustralia criticised OpenAI for taking "too long" to tell them about the breach which happened in June.

LLM hacking is at the "talking (stochastic) parrot" stage: they're not great at it, but it's surprising that they do it at all. So far they've exploited ordinary cybersecurity weaknesses, using text derived ultimately from e.g. conversations among human hackers.

I honestly thought Long Covid being so widespread and high-profile as to be undeniably A Thing would lead to people taking post-viral syndromes more seriously in general. Apparently not.

George Monbiot@georgemonbiot.bsky.social

Here's today's column on the astonishing, ongoing mistreatment of people with #ME/CFS. Please spread it far and wide: the only thing which can break the media's wall of indifference is seeing an article about the issue go viral. Thank you. 1/2 www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

It's also a nice piece of theory-free extrapolation, given the preceding paragraph: "Previous studies have suggested that the prevalence of ADHD has been stable at about 5 per cent of children, and that a recent rapid increase in diagnosis was the result of the health service catching up."

This article talks about a bunch of pull factors—social media, visa relaxations—but the only push factor from more traditional places it mentions is rents. Nothing about UK visa tightenings or subject closures, or US student detentions and expulsions. Interesting! www.ft.com/content/2bc2...

ft.comSeoul is the new Paris for university students living abroadThe South Korean capital’s popularity is part of a wider appetite for adventure in international study. Some cities are harnessing it particularly well