Ben Ross

Ben Ross

@benrosstransit.bsky.social

Transit advocate. Environmental scientist. Social Democrat. Author of Dead End: Suburban Sprawl and the Rebirth of American Urbanism.

1.3K followers409 following4K posts

The purpose of peer review is to judge whether an article is new, important & lacks obvious errors, thus worth publishing. Improving the article is a side benefit. This is a study of "peer reviews" (human & AI) whose sole purpose is to suggest article improvements & measures how well they do that.

Dan Sinykin@dan-sinnamon.bsky.social

gking.harvard.edu/files/peerle...

People who live in West Bethesda & McLean don't have any good alternative to driving (except cycling for some), but they can afford to pay the congestion charge every day.

Ben Ross reposted

When I first moved to MoCo with my fam, we rented a house in a "single family neighborhood", and the owner lived somewhere else As far as I could tell, the neighborhood didn't start to "function differently" after we arrived

montgomeryperspective.comMontgomery County Should Reconsider Bill 41‑26 - Montgomery PerspectiveGuest column by Peter Fosselman. As the County Council considers Bill 41-26—a proposal that would remove the owner‑occupancy requirement for Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs)— it...

By far not the cruelest, but maybe the stupidest example of Trump's lawless immigration enforcement. Guy under US District Court order to remain in Baltimore is allowed short visit home to India. Now can't come back after CBP tells airline to cancel ticket. www.thebanner.com/baltimore-co...

thebanner.comA Dali crew member visited home. Then he wasn't allowed back into the country.A Dali crew member charged in connection with the Key Bridge collapse tried to fly back to the U.S. this week, as mandated by the federal government. He was barred from boarding his flight, though, ap...

We've got the housing version of the "avid cyclist" who's against bike lanes. "Renters are essential members of our community. I was a renter at one point," but keep renters out of 1-family areas because "neighborhoods function differently" when they arrive. montgomeryperspective.com/2026/10/23/m...

montgomeryperspective.comMontgomery County Should Reconsider Bill 41‑26 - Montgomery PerspectiveGuest column by Peter Fosselman. As the County Council considers Bill 41-26—a proposal that would remove the owner‑occupancy requirement for Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs)— it...

Horseshoe theory in action.

Europe Elects@europeelects.bsky.social

Czechia: Kateřina Konečná, the sole Member of the European Parliament for the Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (KSČM), has joined the right-wing Patriots for Europe group led by Jordan Bardella. KSČM itself is an observer member of the transnational Party of the European Left.

Just saw some kind of work beginning on the River Road bike lane where Sarah Langenkamp was killed. Flexposts have been removed and pavement is being spray-painted with what look like construction markings. I'm hoping for a fixed protective barrier.

Not a good look for the "non-partisan ratings" of who's winning House of Representatives seats. Republicans give up on 5 seats. 4 of them are rated highly competitive (lean or tilt Democratic) by all 3 raters. IA-1 & NJ-7 were rated tossup until very recently. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/13/u...

nytimes.comTop G.O.P. Groups Pull Support From First House Incumbents (Gift Article)Two major Republican super PACs are said to be withdrawing cash from the races of the incumbent Representatives Thomas H. Kean Jr. of New Jersey and Mariannette Miller-Meeks of Iowa in an effort to tr...

The movie "Joe Gould's Secret" is set in Greenwich Village in the 1940s & meticulously recreates that era's street scenes. A New York subway map hanging in the office of New Yorker writer Joseph Mitchell shows the 63rd Street tunnel which opened in 1989.

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Ben Ross reposted

This whole argument, which preoccupies Bluesky, is stupid. People care about more than one thing. Some are material interests and others can be social status, moral beliefs, etc. They will vote different ways in different elections, without changing their beliefs, based on what issues are salient.

Kirsten Bladh@kerstanley.bsky.social

I think this tendency, at least on the left, comes from a very limited definition of material conditions and/or a failure to consider that some groups have a greater interest in their relative material conditions than their absolute conditions.

This whole argument, which preoccupies Bluesky, is stupid. People care about more than one thing. Some are material interests and others can be social status, moral beliefs, etc. They will vote different ways in different elections, without changing their beliefs, based on what issues are salient.

Kirsten Bladh@kerstanley.bsky.social

I think this tendency, at least on the left, comes from a very limited definition of material conditions and/or a failure to consider that some groups have a greater interest in their relative material conditions than their absolute conditions.

Voters overall agree with Democrats on rich-vs-others economic issues, so making those issues salient is good campaign strategy. Issue salience depends not just on whether voters agree with you, but also how much they care about what you say. And your positions on other issues matter too.

This is where you wind up when progressive doctrine tells people they must never "punch left." The left gets dragged into endorsing stupid, unpopular, & often immoral ideas. Then some group seeks factional advantage by taking an even more extreme position.

Chris Sommerfeldt@c-sommerfeldt.bsky.social

Pro-Palestinian protesters gather outside City Hall to call out Mayor Zohran Mamdani for what they see as his betrayal of the movement. "Mayor Mamdani, you can't hide we charge you with genocide" was a chant that just rang out.

Confirmed that NY anti-Mamdani demonstration was organized by InOurLifetime. This is the group aligned with the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (Palestinian secularist rejectionist group famous for 1960s-70s airplane hijackings). bsky.app/profile/benr... www.nytimes.com/2026/10/08/n...

nytimes.comSome Palestinians Express Discomfort With Protest Targeting MamdaniPalestinian advocates acknowledged the range of viewpoints within their movement but were dismayed by the vitriol directed at Mayor Zohran Mamdani, a longtime ally of their cause.
Ben Ross@benrosstransit.bsky.social

The internal dynamic in anti-Israel protest for the last few years is that secularist Palestinian groups aligned with the PFLP (InOurLifetime, Palestinian Youth Movement) are outflanking the Islamist-aligned leadership of SJP by more openly advocating the destruction of Israel by military means.

The constituency for road-building is the road builders, who don't care whether the roads are useful, and the toll road promoters, who don't care whether the toll roads are really profitable because they will be gone when the roads go bankrupt. The other supporters are just taken in by the grift.

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It's more than a little contradictory to say that you're worried about the safety of kids if a building for 80- and 90-year-olds is built across from a school, and then demand that the building must have parking for the residents.

Mark Jackson-Brown@markster3000.bsky.social

Thr parents' association at my kids' school included a NIMBY flyer about a proposed seniors residence across the street from the school. They are asking to raise $20,000 to hire lawyers to fight it at the OLT! Say the line, Bart:

Ben Ross reposted

Replying to @holz-bau.bsky.social

Can someone explain to me how anyone is supposed to walk to this "BRT station"? Compared to this, the train stations in the middle of the interstate in Chicago & Fairfax County VA are the height of urbanism.

Ben Ross reposted

It is no exaggeration that the doctrine of Miller and Trump are unAmerican, at least in how we have understood American values over the last century.

🗽LOLGOP🗽@lolgop.bsky.social

FDR v. Stephen Miller

I'm old enough to remember that one of the biggest arguments against congestion pricing was that it would increase traffic in places immediately outside the pricing zone.

"The Mamdani administration is taking advantage of a reduction in motor vehicle traffic in western Queens by adding a crucial new protected bike lanes and wider sidewalks — and you can thank congestion pricing." 👏👏👏

Ben Ross reposted

Replying to @segyges.bsky.social

Everyone is banned from talking about bayes unless they can name their prior variables without missing anything, and define the joint density function of their priors and their evidence. Anything else is bullshit

Ben Ross reposted

Replying to @epcot.gay

If a traffic light is broken, it's reported & fixed immediately. Not so for beg buttons. DOTs don't care about beg buttons. And the public can't report broken beg buttons, because identical signage for beg buttons that do & don't change the cycle means that you can't tell whether it's broken.

Ben Ross reposted

Replying to @jonniola.com

Why not make anyone who buulds a parking space pay into a fund instead They are the ones imposing costs on taxpayers. Indeed, it's very odd that "transportation impact" fees for road building are always per apartment or per square foot, not per parking space.

Ben Ross reposted

Replying to @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social

The US left retreated into a subculture in the late 1940s & entrenched itself in it in the late 60s. The habits acquired as a subculture have been very hard to shake off. Mike Harrington tried in the 1970s & then gave up. And now that it has become a mass movement, those habits still weigh it down.

Ben Ross reposted

Truly a classic bit of nimbyism: I moved to near the Red Line to get away from the Purple Line. So you can't build new apartments near the Red Line!

In today's mail, I got 11 pages of paperwork informing me that my Medicare drug plan paid minus 13 cents on my behalf in August and paid 23 cents in the 8 months from January to August. No further detail, and these numbers cannot be correct. Somehow I think this system could be made more efficient.

A Democratic wave is on the way, even if Cook, Sabato & IE refuse to see it. All 3 rate the Vermont governor race Safe Republican. The first public poll of that race in 2 months just dropped. It's from an NYT-rated quality pollster. It shows Democrat 6 points ahead. scholars.unh.edu/survey_cente...

scholars.unh.eduPartisan Headwinds Hamper Scott in Race With Janoo for Governor of Vermont 9/24/2026Democratic nominee for governor Amanda Janoo has increased her support significantly since winning the Democratic Primary last month and is now in a statistical tie with Republican incumbent Phil Scot...

This is the project where neighbors' lawn signs read "No Apartments. No Compromise."

Barbara Samuels@bsamuels72.bsky.social

Baltimore Co Council unanimously endorsed TOD for Lutherville Sta over NIMBY opposition. Enables project to pursue state & local $$ but still needs zoning approval. The mixed use project has already been shrunk to 325 homes from 600, trying to accommodate NIMBYs www.bizjournals.com/baltimore/ne...

This @the-downballot.com piece is an important analysis! Its significance becomes clearer in the light of @gelliottmorris.com's account of how "all polls are models now." substack.com/inbox/post/2... [Nerd warning] You can describe this in the mathematics of control theory - short thread 1/n

substack.comAll polls are models nowTraditional polling is dead. A new paradigm of public opinion research has high uncertainty, and pollsters need to do a better job communicating about error.
The Downballot@the-downballot.com

In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.

View full thread

The strength of the @the-downballot.com analysis of primary turnout is that it's a two-parameter model. The parameters are the slope & intercept of the line on this graph. The model fits the data exceptionally well - both raw data & its time derivative.

Equally important, the model rests on a causal mechanism that is intuitively reasonable - that people tend to vote in the primary of the party they intend to vote for in the general election. (It is what we call, in scientific models, "physically reasonable.") /end

This @the-downballot.com piece is an important analysis! Its significance becomes clearer in the light of @gelliottmorris.com's account of how "all polls are models now." substack.com/inbox/post/2... [Nerd warning] You can describe this in the mathematics of control theory - short thread 1/n

substack.comAll polls are models nowTraditional polling is dead. A new paradigm of public opinion research has high uncertainty, and pollsters need to do a better job communicating about error.
The Downballot@the-downballot.com

In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.

View full thread

Control theory (I'm generalizing the ideas here beyond where they are proven mathematically) says that adding more parameters always can fit the data better. But beyond a certain point, that hurts rather than helps. Uncertainty in the new parameter lowers accuracy more than the better fit raises it.

One way of stating @gelliottmorris.com's point is that polls now use many-parameter models to go from input to output. This adds uncertainty from both the imperfectly known values of the parameters, and also from the structure of the model which may not correspond to real-world behavior.

This @the-downballot.com piece is an important analysis! Its significance becomes clearer in the light of @gelliottmorris.com's account of how "all polls are models now." substack.com/inbox/post/2... [Nerd warning] You can describe this in the mathematics of control theory - short thread 1/n

substack.comAll polls are models nowTraditional polling is dead. A new paradigm of public opinion research has high uncertainty, and pollsters need to do a better job communicating about error.
The Downballot@the-downballot.com

In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.

In that language, polls are always models. What has changed is the number of parameters (adjustable constants, estimated from some data set). An unweighted poll has zero parameters; it just assumes poll responses are proportional to votes. 2/n

If they want to find violations in high- & low-income areas equally, all they need to do is ticket everyone who is storing lawn equipment in their garage in violation of minimum off-street parking requirements.

AmberWavesofFlame@amberwavesofflame.bsky.social

Ok, so now Dallas is having hidden Flock cameras mounted on their trash trucks sweeping neighborhoods for HOA-style code violations based on whatever anomalies the camera flags, and then issuing tickets and threats accordingly. www.nbcdfw.com/investigatio...

Ben Ross reposted

Replying to @resnikoff.bsky.social

It's fair to say regulation is yimby's top priority. What's wrong is that "regulatory reform" is a euphemism for deregulation. The yimby program is the opposite of dergulation; it seeks to impose uniform rules on a chaotic system of arbitrary local decisions made by small local interest groups.

This🧵 is correct. For structural reasons (eg life of buildings > financing time horizon) markets won't build enough housing on their own. BUT right now many cities have extreme shortages. Zoning & nimbys are the main constraint. Added public finance will do little without removing those constraints.

Thomas Silverstein@tsilverstein.bsky.social

Exhibit _ for why a robust public sector role in housing provision (ideally via mixed-income social housing) is critical. Market-based solutions can work to moderate rent growth & even to induce modest rent decreases. That's way better than an alternative of... sanantonioreport.org/san-antonio-...