Ben Yoel

Ben Yoel

@benyoel.bsky.social

Postdoc @ Stanford CDDRL| PhD in Political Science from MSU | IPPSR Fellow | resistance to democratic erosion | Past: Predoc @ SNF Agora Institute, JHU, UChicago Visiting PhD student, Reichman University alum, EA @ JoP | benjaminyoel.com

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I'm absolutely thrilled to share that, starting in August, I'll be a postdoctoral fellow at Stanford University's @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social! I'll be focusing primarily on foreign pressure and opposition to democratic backsliding. I'm very grateful to my committee and others for their support.

We're at historic levels thus far in voter turnout in Israel's election (at 56% as of 4pm local time, compared to 47% in the 2022 election). Netanyahu's attempting to mobilize voters based on similar tactics to 2015 warning about Arabs "voting in droves." www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-oct...

timesofisrael.comVoter turnout at 55.7% as of 4 p.m., highest in recorded history for this hourAmid record voting levels, election committee says polling stations will stay open after 10 p.m. if people are waiting in line * Netanyahu warns once again of Arab voters ‘racing to the ballots,’ accu...

These are the first elections since the 10/7 attacks. Netanyahu is already laying the groundwork for a US 2020 style election fraud situation, claiming Arab voters are rigging the votes. Initial exit polls will be out in about 4.5 hours time, but results won't be in until early tomorrow local time.

In a few hours, Israelis head to the polls in the most consequential election. We have witnessed many events, including an attempt to start a new round of war by Bibi with Iran & now an effort to solicit a second endorsement from Trump. Stay tuned for more. www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-oct...

timesofisrael.com‘Never spoke to him about it’: Trump denies 2nd endorsement of Netanyahu followed pressure from PMSyria raises death toll to 8 after Jordan launches strikes in response to terror attack at church, closes main border crossing between the countries

Ben Yoel reposted

Yes, Tisza had a prominent leader. But it wouldn't have succeeded without the on-the-ground mobilisation by over 2,000 semi-autonomous local groups (Tisza Islands). In the end, it was (also) civil society mobilisation that defeated Orbán.

Oliver Grimm@grimmse.bsky.social

Isn't it interesting that in Hungary and Serbia, two completely opposite models of organising a political movement managed to beat autocratic leaders? In Hungary, the Tisza Party was entirely designed around a prominent leader. In Serbia, the Student Movement (for good reasons) refused to have one.

Thrilled to be presenting on 11/5 virtually as part of the Israeli Political Behavior Workshop my book project with @hmridge.bsky.social on ascriptive identities and support for backsliding using surveys from 5 countries. TLDR: what matters is not only who proposes backsliding but also the target.

Ben Yoel reposted

After three years of work, I am honored to share that my dataset of US Secretary of State speeches (1997-2026) is now public! Jay Revolinsky and I introduce a novel corpus of all remarks delivered by US SoS's throughout the post-Cold War (~17,700 speeches) including Rubio. github.com/revolins/sos...

github.comGitHub - revolins/sos-corpus: US Secretary of State -- Live CorpusUS Secretary of State -- Live Corpus. Contribute to revolins/sos-corpus development by creating an account on GitHub.

Ben Yoel reposted

Our paper introducing the US Secretary of State Speech (USSOS) Dataset (1997-2026) is now live on ArXiv! This was a labor of love, so we hope folks in IR/CP/AP/non-poli sci folks find it useful. A Shiny app will be out in a few weeks. All comments/suggestions most welcome. arxiv.org/abs/2610.19529

arxiv.orgIntroducing the United States Secretary of State (USSOS) Speech DatasetA large number of theories in international relations attribute importance to the rhetoric of leading foreign policy actors. Moreover, in recent years, there has been a significant growth in interest ...
Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social

After three years of work, I am honored to share that my dataset of US Secretary of State speeches (1997-2026) is now public! Jay Revolinsky and I introduce a novel corpus of all remarks delivered by US SoS's throughout the post-Cold War (~17,700 speeches) including Rubio. github.com/revolins/sos...

Our paper introducing the US Secretary of State Speech (USSOS) Dataset (1997-2026) is now live on ArXiv! This was a labor of love, so we hope folks in IR/CP/AP/non-poli sci folks find it useful. A Shiny app will be out in a few weeks. All comments/suggestions most welcome. arxiv.org/abs/2610.19529

arxiv.orgIntroducing the United States Secretary of State (USSOS) Speech DatasetA large number of theories in international relations attribute importance to the rhetoric of leading foreign policy actors. Moreover, in recent years, there has been a significant growth in interest ...
Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social

After three years of work, I am honored to share that my dataset of US Secretary of State speeches (1997-2026) is now public! Jay Revolinsky and I introduce a novel corpus of all remarks delivered by US SoS's throughout the post-Cold War (~17,700 speeches) including Rubio. github.com/revolins/sos...

I’m absolutely delighted to have been selected as an Early Career Fellow in the @epovb.bsky.social section! I’m very privileged and honored to be working with @laurenrprather.bsky.social during the academic year as I develop my book on foreign pressure and opposition to democratic backsliding.

epovb.bsky.social@epovb.bsky.social

Meet 2026–27 EPOVB Early Career Fellow Benjamin Yoel (Stanford)! Benjamin studies democratic backsliding, nonviolent resistance, and authoritarian politics. Mentored by Lauren Prather (UC San Diego). benjaminyoel.com

After three years of work, I am honored to share that my dataset of US Secretary of State speeches (1997-2026) is now public! Jay Revolinsky and I introduce a novel corpus of all remarks delivered by US SoS's throughout the post-Cold War (~17,700 speeches) including Rubio. github.com/revolins/sos...

github.comGitHub - revolins/sos-corpus: US Secretary of State -- Live CorpusUS Secretary of State -- Live Corpus. Contribute to revolins/sos-corpus development by creating an account on GitHub.
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In the paper, we show that Secretaries talk about a range of issues, and that our measure correlates well with existing measures of US geopolitical alignment (in particular Bailey et al's UNGA Voting Alignment score). We also replicate a core finding in the aid literature by Dietrich et al (2020).

Tldr if you've made it to this post: Secretaries of State talk A LOT. We hope the data and our paper help spur a new line of work on foreign ministers This project wouldn't have been possible without support from MSU Poli Sci and my amazing coauthor, Jay (a true interdisciplinary collaboration!).

After three years of work, I am honored to share that my dataset of US Secretary of State speeches (1997-2026) is now public! Jay Revolinsky and I introduce a novel corpus of all remarks delivered by US SoS's throughout the post-Cold War (~17,700 speeches) including Rubio. github.com/revolins/sos...

github.comGitHub - revolins/sos-corpus: US Secretary of State -- Live CorpusUS Secretary of State -- Live Corpus. Contribute to revolins/sos-corpus development by creating an account on GitHub.
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This started as one of the main empirical components of my dissertation on international democracy promotion and opposition to backsliding. We hope the data will be useful to a range of IR/CP/AP scholars, including those interested in nukes, guns, climate, cooperation, diplomacy, and IPE/CPE folks.

We're also working now to extend the data back in time thanks to the Hoover Archives. An updated version (~should be out in the next 8 weeks) will feature Warren Christopher's speeches as well, extending the data back to one of the key start dates of the US era of democracy promotion.

After three years of work, I am honored to share that my dataset of US Secretary of State speeches (1997-2026) is now public! Jay Revolinsky and I introduce a novel corpus of all remarks delivered by US SoS's throughout the post-Cold War (~17,700 speeches) including Rubio. github.com/revolins/sos...

github.comGitHub - revolins/sos-corpus: US Secretary of State -- Live CorpusUS Secretary of State -- Live Corpus. Contribute to revolins/sos-corpus development by creating an account on GitHub.

Question to folks that have used CloudResearch for US surveys: do you know how to embed an attention check and use that to remove respondents + do the same with those that don't consent to take the survey? Thanks in advance for all the help!

Ben Yoel reposted

How do elections in backsliding settings shape attitudes toward democracy? @gabrielagreilinger.com and I fielded two surveys: 1 pre/post & 1 after Hungary's election. In short, elections appear to increase satisfaction among winners, even months after. Working paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

papers.ssrn.comDemocratic Attitudes When Backsliding Reverses: Evidence from HungaryIncreasingly, opposition actors in settings undergoing democratic backsliding have been able to unseat anti-democratic incumbents. But unseating an anti-democra

Ben Yoel reposted

Excited to share our new working paper with @benyoel.bsky.social: we analyse public opinion dynamics around the consequential election in Hungary last April and specifically look at (anti-)democratic attitudes in the aftermath of Orbán's defeat. Available here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

papers.ssrn.comDemocratic Attitudes When Backsliding Reverses: Evidence from HungaryIncreasingly, opposition actors in settings undergoing democratic backsliding have been able to unseat anti-democratic incumbents. But unseating an anti-democra
Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social

How do elections in backsliding settings shape attitudes toward democracy? @gabrielagreilinger.com and I fielded two surveys: 1 pre/post & 1 after Hungary's election. In short, elections appear to increase satisfaction among winners, even months after. Working paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

How do elections in backsliding settings shape attitudes toward democracy? @gabrielagreilinger.com and I fielded two surveys: 1 pre/post & 1 after Hungary's election. In short, elections appear to increase satisfaction among winners, even months after. Working paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

papers.ssrn.comDemocratic Attitudes When Backsliding Reverses: Evidence from HungaryIncreasingly, opposition actors in settings undergoing democratic backsliding have been able to unseat anti-democratic incumbents. But unseating an anti-democra

Most alarming: we find, in the immediate aftermath of an election, winners became *more supportive* of anti-democratic principles, but that the effect of elections on such attitudes fades. We think the fact that a mere reminder of the election outcome increases SWD months after is quote noteworthy.

Ben Yoel reposted

Tomorrow at 9am PT/12pm EST/6pm CET, I'll be giving a talk at @snfagora.bsky.social (virtually) on my job market paper and book project on foreign pressure and opposition to democratic backsliding. All are welcome! Zoom link on website: snfagora.jhu.edu/event/academ...

snfagora.jhu.edusnfagora.jhu.edu
Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social

I'm thrilled to be giving a talk at next week at the @snfagora.bsky.social Academy Workshop on my job market paper, where I examine the causes and consequences of foreign pressure on democracy and democratic backsliding. The talk is fully online, link to join here! snfagora.jhu.edu/event/academ...

Tomorrow at 9am PT/12pm EST/6pm CET, I'll be giving a talk at @snfagora.bsky.social (virtually) on my job market paper and book project on foreign pressure and opposition to democratic backsliding. All are welcome! Zoom link on website: snfagora.jhu.edu/event/academ...

snfagora.jhu.edusnfagora.jhu.edu
Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social

I'm thrilled to be giving a talk at next week at the @snfagora.bsky.social Academy Workshop on my job market paper, where I examine the causes and consequences of foreign pressure on democracy and democratic backsliding. The talk is fully online, link to join here! snfagora.jhu.edu/event/academ...

Question to survey methods folks: is there a paper that shows/examines whether putting items in a matrix makes them more correlated as opposed to including them as separate individual items? Thanks in advance!

Sad I won't be there, but if you're in Atlanta/GA Tech this weekend, check out the excellent @gabrielagreilinger.com presenting our joint work on the effects of consequential elections in backsliding democracies on democratic attitudes and support for retaliation against former backsliding leaders.

Gabriela Greilinger@gabrielagreilinger.com

Excited to be in Atlanta to present ongoing joint work with @benyoel.bsky.social at Georgia Tech's "Problems of Democracy and Possible Solutions (PoDS)" workshop. Looking forward to meeting new colleagues concerned with the future of democracy and to spending two days in a *real* city! 🏙️

APSA 2026 done! Was a pleasure to serve as a discussant for an awesome panel on measuring democratic erosion and present my JMP on foreign pressure and public support for pro-democracy movements.

Still around at APSA? I'll be presenting my job market paper on the effects of foreign cues on public attitudes toward pro-democracy movements today at 10am at Hynes! The panel features a diverse set of papers on the domestic and international politics of opposition to democratic backsliding.

Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social

Heading to APSA this week? I'll be presenting my solo work on the effects of foreign pressure on attitudes toward pro-democracy movements on Sunday at 10am, alongside excellent papers by @yukosato.bsky.social, @osamet.bsky.social, @ozlemtuncel.bsky.social, and Pelin Musil on opposition politics.

Good to be in Boston for the first time. APSA Pre-Conference Job Market Workshop ✔️ now onto APSA! If you’re around tomorrow until Sunday, I’d love to grab coffee. I'll also be presenting my job market paper on Sunday at 10am.

Ben Yoel reposted

It's hard to underscore how unprecedented this move is. We have never seen a mainstream Jewish (Zionist) politician join a predominantly Islamist party. Segalovitz served as a leading figure in the Israeli police and earned a lot of allies in the Arab sector. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/31/w...

nytimes.comMansour Abbas Recruits Yoav Segalovitz to Join Raam Party in Israeli ElectionMansour Abbas has recruited a Jewish lawmaker best known for reducing the crime rate in Arab cities. Could that be enough to get Mr. Abbas a seat in the next government?

It's hard to underscore how unprecedented this move is. We have never seen a mainstream Jewish (Zionist) politician join a predominantly Islamist party. Segalovitz served as a leading figure in the Israeli police and earned a lot of allies in the Arab sector. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/31/w...

nytimes.comMansour Abbas Recruits Yoav Segalovitz to Join Raam Party in Israeli ElectionMansour Abbas has recruited a Jewish lawmaker best known for reducing the crime rate in Arab cities. Could that be enough to get Mr. Abbas a seat in the next government?

Up until now, cross-group parties (i.e., Jewish-Arab ones) have predominantly been on the left and communist flanks in Israel. By joining Ra’am, an Islamist party, that had voted in line with the govt and was informally part of it, Segalovitz's move sets an incredibly critical precedent.

I'll also have the pleasure of discussing four excellent papers on Friday at 2pm that seek to provide innovative measures to better understand trends in democratic backsliding by @semuhi.bsky.social, Daniel Quiroga-Angel, and the team at the Democratic Erosion Consortium. Come say hi if around!

First trip to the Hoover archive! Super comprehensive collection of diplomatic cables. My first ever time doing archival data collection. Thanks to everyone for the advice and tips.

Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social

Question to folks who have done/do archival research. What advice (if any) might you have? I'm doing some archival work for the first time for my book project at the Hoover Institution in a few weeks, and am primarily interested in digitizing documents. All comments/thoughts appreciated!

I'll be presenting my job market paper (part of my book) on this terrific panel in two weeks. More specifically, I examine the effects of foreign rhetorical pressure and attitudes toward pro-democracy movements in backsliding settings using two survey experiments. If you're at APSA come say hi!

The TLDR of the paper: foreign cues can actually be quite powerful in shaping people's opinions toward pro-democracy movements and willingness to share information about them, but I find that this depends heavily on the content. In short, whether a foreign actor praises or shames matters a lot!

I’m so thrilled and honored to be starting a Postdoc at @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social in the next few weeks! I’ll be mostly working on a book project on international pressure and opposition to backsliding. If you’re in or around Stanford and the Bay Area for the next year, I’d love to meet.

Question to folks who have done/do archival research. What advice (if any) might you have? I'm doing some archival work for the first time for my book project at the Hoover Institution in a few weeks, and am primarily interested in digitizing documents. All comments/thoughts appreciated!

My first ever European conference ✔️! It was a delight to present my dissertation work on foreign pressure in an age of democratic backsliding, to discuss some awesome work on the international dimensions of autocratization, and meet scholars with shared interests from Europe and around the world.

Great to be at EPSS. Today at 5:10pm I’ll be presenting my work on foreign cues and public support for pro-democracy movements in backsliding contexts and discussing three excellent papers on the international consequences of autocratization across the Global North and South.

Nice to be back in Europe. I‘m in Dublin and Belfast this week, and I’ll be presenting extensions of my dissertation work on foreign cues and support for pro-democracy movements at EPSS on Friday afternoon. If you’re in town, I’d love to meet!

Abstract of the follow up study. I fielded a survey before and after Hungary’s election. In short, I find that foreign cues are especially powerful in shaping public opinion toward pro-democracy movements in the pre-election period. Come to my talk Friday to hear more!