Billy Carpenter

Billy Carpenter

@billycarpy.bsky.social

Write about Arsenal. I also write for SCOUTED. Here's my newsletter: https://billycarpenter.substack.com/

12.1K followers185 following3K posts

Billy Carpenter reposted

— Enzo offside for winner, unanimously ruled error by KMI — Bruno G denied pen (+ Maatsen second yellow), unanimously ruled error by KMI — Phantom pen against Konsa, unanimously ruled error by KMI — Gravenberch sent off for two soft yellows, 0:0 becomes 3:0 It's a lot so early in the season.

My approved notes for Arteta the next time Merino is an unused sub: "I made a mistake by putting someone of the stature of Pelé or Maradona on to warm up and then not putting him in the game. If it were today I would not do it."

Been trying to riff on... "I made a mistake by putting someone of the stature of Pelé or Maradona on to warm up and then not putting him in the game. If it were today I would not do it." ...and it's impossible. Nothing beats the real thing!

Not proud of it, but I once got creative and registered a team of 20-year-olds in a U10s tournament. Other coaches kept saying things like "you can't use them" and "they have beards" and "I think that's Myles Lewis-Skelly." But whatever happened behind the scenes, the game is won on the pitch.

Paris FC signed him for €7.5m. 5 starts, 5 G+A.

Billy Carpenter@billycarpy.bsky.social

Per transfermarkt values, the best Moneyball signing my model can find (basically, performance compared to fee, sub-€10m, not for Arsenal) is Lassine Sinayoko at AJ Auxerre. Dribble, shoot, carry, and has good defensive underlyings. Was involved with 47% of their goals (16 G+A).

The gameplan backed the players to play with composure and through the press, the personnel had the technical security to do it, but they didn't execute. Some early loose touches got contagious, and they weren't on the same page in terms of rotations/showing against the press.

Midfield options: Rice, Bruno G., Zubimendi, Lewis-Skelly, Ødegaard, Eze, Dowman, even Saka and Havertz as needed. I like Merino as a midfielder plenty (especially as a late game 10) but it's probably past time to look at him as the primary Havertz cover at striker.

Something I was concerned about with Martinelli's departure is that he relieved a lot of pressure in these cup games and group games with his flat-track bullying. Madueke showed some of that last year, and is looking like he could take on that role for real.

Not saying it's universal, or good/bad, but it's interesting how I have different adjustment periods to seeing players in the shirt. For Bruno G, there's still some disbelief there, like it doesn't feel quite real. For Konsa it *immediately* felt like he's been here 10 years.

When they started slowing it down to see if it hit Enzo's head, it felt like the moment when the low strings start sawing in a horror movie. NO, NOT THAT DOOR. DON'T GO IN THAT DOOR.

Don't know a single person who wouldn't be able to determine what Ballard did for the pen yesterday with a single view. And don't know a single person who wouldn't say Enzo was "clearly attempting to play a ball" from an offside position with a single view.

The first time a winger lines up a 1v1 against Timber, there is still hope in their eyes. It is a naïve hope, a foolish and youthful hope, the dim hope of "who knows." But hope nonetheless. Once he squeezes the life out of that first one, you typically never hear from them again.

My two bugbears last year were A) initial selections, which often contained pockets/triangles of non-complementary players, and B) hoofing. Arteta is picking great lineups this year. And the level of application is great. Today was "hard game is hard." I'm very happy.

An example because I'm petty: I timed a random Danso throw-in at 29 seconds. Calafiori was whistled for taking too long at 18 seconds.

Billy Carpenter@billycarpy.bsky.social

A technical area yellow for Arteta, denying Arsenal a corner before half, Sunderland taking five minutes per throw-in, phantom penalty on a shirt pull ... from Ballard. You'll rarely witness such committed #NarrativeRefereeing.

Apparently the timer rule doesn't apply to long throw routines, which a) I didn't know, and b) feels silly/arbitrary (Calafiori should have wiped the ball off and acted like he was going long?). Would be interested in how they even define "long throw routine."

A technical area yellow for Arteta, denying Arsenal a corner before half, Sunderland taking five minutes per throw-in, phantom penalty on a shirt pull ... from Ballard. You'll rarely witness such committed #NarrativeRefereeing.

Club fans moan about international duty taxing their players. But I remember Havertz playing tight and hesitant, then coming back from Germany and immediately beating Brentford with a headed winner. Same feel with Ødegaard and the World Cup. Sometimes it's exactly what they need.

PSG have 7 different Ballon d'Or nominees who played less than 50% of league minutes: Kvara: 48.3% Hakimi: 44.9% Neves: 42.1% Mendes: 41% Ruiz: 37% Dembéle: 34.7% Marquinhos: 34.4%

Today: 86 touches, 10 touches in opposition box, 5 shots, 5/6 dribbles completed, 3 chances created, 7 passes into final third, 3 interceptions, 5 recoveries, 2 aerial clearances, 1 banger.

With defensive solidity getting so much better, the value of deflections in the box (and how you react to them) is getting more important. 3 of 4 goals in the Newcastle/Bournemouth game were after an initial shot. It's one of the only real opportunities to scramble a shape.

I'd love to zag the public opinion, but if you think it's inconceivable that Arsenal have left their attack thinner (and slower!), that's because it is. We can still win everything, and Konsa/Bruno are great, but we've let questions persist when we could be turning the screw.

Billy Carpenter reposted

Once we finally find one of the 5 best attackers in the world who only wants us and is 70m and is young and injury-free and is a dog out-of-possession it’s so over for the rest of you

This transfer window has reminded me that people get the basic shit all wrong. Life is not all about fancy new toys! It's not about winning or losing, either. It's not even about your family or friends. It's about sticking to your internal valuation of a player.

My dad used to patiently watch me fumble around with some project (mechanical, art, whatever) and then eventually say "alright, you wanna see how you're supposed to do it?" And then he'd show me. As far as I can tell, that is Merino's role on a football pitch

— We were lucky to have that fixture early. — We were unlucky not to have Bruno G from the start. He has all the exact kind of passes you need. — We still do not have runners for such a game.

Emery-style blocks force every bit of timing and passing to be perfect, or they're a) offside or b) collected. If you don't have serious runners, you have to be even more exact, and you'll judge the passers more harshly. Look how tiny the margins are on every touch.

Fofana:

Billy Carpenter@billycarpy.bsky.social

It's a pretty gut/top-level observation from when I actually spent a night or two watching his games a year ago. Thought he'd have trouble imposing his game in the league and needed a year or two to work things out, and felt like one of those in need of a spell in the mid-table. Open-minded though

Now, has my club made a marquee signing at forward? No. But I *have* been able to guffaw at some of the fees being offered and paid. Which, in my mind, [I momentarily sob a little but try to pass it off as a cough], is just as good.