David Bingham Brown

David Bingham Brown

@bingham.bsky.social

PhD in the computer sciences. I do math about math.

136 followers305 following203 posts

If the Kharg invasion happens, we'll find out what happens when the weapons used to attack American personnel have cameras built in, not just killing Americans but broadcasting their deaths to the whole Internet.

David Bingham Brown reposted

11 million out of 300 million people is not a big ask, you can do it. Take the quoted post and copy it or make your own version, ask your family and friends to join. We only need 3.5% of the US population to commit to a general strike and to make the oligarchy kneel. Let’s get it done by May. #3E

Anonymous@youranoncentral.bsky.social

If you want a general strike we need at least 10 million people to commit to ensure a successful action. The numbers are still too low. Use a burner email and name if needed to sign. Sign here: generalstrikeus.com #3E #GSUS #GeneralStrike

Both ballot initiatives in Wisconsin called for "No" (the option pushed by the Democrats), and are up 15 points with 78% reporting. Looking at the map, while the obvious GOP strongholds are there, they're not as strong in rural WI as would be expected. This should probably be concerning for Trump.

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What we're seeing a textbook example of regression to the mean. Trump isn't a political genius; he got lucky once against a poor candidate. His party underperforming consistently since then is the more accurate reflection of his politcal acumen.

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Ultimately, to be bullish on Trump, you'd have to think that either his personal brand -- while he coughs up hundreds of millions in damages and flies between courtrooms for his criminal cases -- is better than it was when he lost in '20.

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Even if any particular one of these legal concerns isn't likely to have a significant negative impact on his campaign, the sheer number of crises he has to dodge makes it likely \*something\* is going to hit him.

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Trump is lurching through a minefield of legal ramifications. Sure, he's gotten a pass on \*one\* of them (for now), but still has three other trials in process and has to come up with money that it doesn't appear he even has for two of his recent losses in court.

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We've seen a lot of coverage on support for the candidates in their primaries. Biden's worst performance, so far, is better than Trump's best performance. The Democrats are much more aligned behind Biden than the Republicans are behind Trump. This reality isn't really objectively

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There have been four special elections since -- in New York, Rhode Island, Utah, and Virginia -- and all of them have resulted in \*worse\* margins for the Republican candidate than in '22. The midterms were bad for the Republicans, and elections since then have shown no

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Firstly, look back at 2022. Talk about the "red tsunami" was everywhere, with conservative pundits crowing about it up until election day -- when you might recall the GOP had the worst performance of an opposition party in a midterm in twenty years.