Blue Tsunami #NoKings

I live in a quiet but relatively high town where nobody protests anything. But I decided to go for a walk and put up chalk writing at the intersection saying “FDT” (F*** Donald Trump) at that intersection. Just those three letters.

Just do it!

I have a Fedora laptop with 16 GB of RAM. I use zram and swap to give myself effectively unlimited memory. It never lags for more than a second on window transitions. Linux is a resource saver, and it's easier than many people think.

Spoiler: it's Android, which is technically Linux based. (ChromeOS is also worse than Windows for the same type of reasons: forced accounts, pushes to use the cloud, and no easy removal.) www.youtube.com/watch?v=L32K...

I have a Fedora laptop with 16 GB of RAM. I use zram and swap to give myself effectively unlimited memory. It never lags for more than a second on window transitions. Linux is a resource saver, and it's easier than many people think.

If someone says "Mac is Linux", they are either joking, or have basic understanding of Linux's command line and see the commands work across them (or the other way around).

The blue supernova scenario is that Republicans have frontloaded their votes disproportionately and Democrats have a huge pool of voters waiting for Election Day

It's wild that Kansas is a realistic flip this year. We could get all five.

If I could guarantee the outcome of FIVE key races this cycle here's what I would choose: Texas Senate: James Talarico Texas Governor: Gina Hinojosa Kansas Senate: Adam Hamilton New Jersey 7th House: Rebecca Bennett Vermont governor: Amanda Janoo

Less than nothing because it reduces critical thinking in many cases.

Less than nothing because it reduces critical thinking in many cases.

The 18-29 vote is much higher than other early votes especially in NYC historically. I’m surprised at the lower unaffiliated share. That tends to be relatively R leaning in NY though it still very likely has more D votes especially this year. Mamdani’s work paid off!

Translation: Republicans are cooked.

And they won't be able to win the popular vote either because that implies losses elsewhere.

In recent elections in New Jersey, in person early voting has been the MOST Republican vote category. If that holds (no guarantee) it's an extinction level event in NJ and probably nationally given the other states

Democrats definitely aren't winning by 60 or even 40 percent nationally but still, this shows a historic loss for the GOP is coming. (But we all need to vote, assuming you haven't already).

And they won't be able to win the popular vote either because that implies losses elsewhere.

Lots of things are unlawful by Trump.

I have thought the same thing many times.

Hidalgo County, Texas (the most Hispanic large county in America) is turning out at historic levels. Even though high turnout was bad for Democrats in 2020 and 2024, this time is very different. The electorate alone swung 13% and that's not even including the high amount of 2024 nonvoters.

‪NJ-7 is now safe D.‬

‪NJ-7 is now safe D.‬

I totally agree.

I feel like it’s weird how even though college is perceived as left wing its structure is very right-libertarian. No aides. Limited accomodations. Same tests for everyone. Payments required for something that is actually free in many countries. And so on.

This is very bad news for Republicans: their turnout has weakened in red suburban areas like Montgomery County (not shown directly here) despite turnout holding strong in other areas.

Brazil’s right wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro is expected to lose based on overseas vote station counts and internal exit polls, which would make him the first candidate to win a Brazilian presidential election in the first round to lose the runoff ever.

If we something like Democrats sweeping the election but Michigan and Wisconsin vote 5% redder but still give Democrats trifectas, they need to pass the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact there. If they pass it in all three, they only need Arizona OR Nevada to sign on to do it.

Here's the thing from a Linux laptop owner. Linux users tend to be the "superusers". Roughly speaking, *on average* (among personal computer users): Windows laptop: 0-80 percentiles of computer skills Mac laptop: 80-95 percentiles of computer skills Linux laptops: 95+ percentile of computer skills

Not all of the Christian churches. We have Episcopalians, Black churches, and others who oppose Trump overwhelmingly unlike White Evangelicals.

It's kind of the same reason Mississippi is red even though it has the highest percent of Blacks but with lower margins (racist whites).

Given how in person early voting historically correlates to Election Day turnout and by extension actual results Democrats could flip 2 House seats in New Jersey and crack 40% of the vote in deep red NJ-4 (roughly coextensive and copartisan with Ocean County).

Weekends tend to not have much early voting data (and the election night is when we find out for real). But still, it looks very bad for Republicans

The early voting data suggests a historic collapse in Republican turnout. If that holds, and independents overwhelmingly break for Democrats as expected, we are looking at a blue supernova, not even just a blue tsunami.

Not all of the Christian churches. We have Episcopalians, Black churches, and others who oppose Trump overwhelmingly unlike White Evangelicals.

The early voting data suggests a historic collapse in Republican turnout. If that holds, and independents overwhelmingly break for Democrats as expected, we are looking at a blue supernova, not even just a blue tsunami.

The "Latinos are swing voters now" take will have mostly aged like milk in the next 10 years as Republicans never come close to their record 2024 performance because of the voters they activated. Latinos became swing voters in California in the 1990s and 2000s but never really looked back.

The "Latinos are swing voters now" take will have mostly aged like milk in the next 10 years as Republicans never come close to their record 2024 performance because of the voters they activated. Latinos became swing voters in California in the 1990s and 2000s but never really looked back.