Dan Goldhaber

Dan Goldhaber

@cedr.bsky.social

Who am I? I wonder sometimes and then remind myself here: http://cedr.us. Views are usually mine, & are not necessarily reflective of anything.

5.9K followers81 following1.1K posts

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Nice @nctq.bsky.social write up about our (many authors) new paper on the distribution of teacher job applications across districts and schools. What job applications reveal about where teachers want to work www.nctq.org/research-ins...

nctq.orgWhat job applications reveal about where teachers want to work - National Council on Teacher QualityNew research finds high-need schools get fewer applicants because their districts draw fewer candidates. What it means for teacher recruitment.

Dan Goldhaber reposted

Brendan Bartanen
@brendanbartanen.bsky.social

I'm signal boosting this because the authors deserve to be heard out on their own terms, even though I don't agree that the response addresses the core issues raised in my post.

Jing Liu@drjingliu.bsky.social

This is my first Bluesky post and I would like to respond to Brendan's critique on my recent paper: "The Effects of Course-Integrated AI Tutoring on Student Performance and Engagement: A Randomized University Trial." (1/2)

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

I believe when teacher evaluation roles around again (I believe and hope it will), we will do it better based on what we've learned. This reminds me to say, this paper on implementation is worth reading: edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1601 5/5

edworkingpapers.comWhy Does Education Policy so Frequently Disappoint? Lessons from Teacher EvaluationDecades of K–12 education reform — much of it focused on teaching — have produced a persistent paradox: policies grounded in strong evidence disappoint when scaled, even as some implementations achiev...
Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

I like Mike's 3 commandments, boiled down to mandate from above when: 1) There's overwhelming evidence for something; 2) Mandate can be easily implemented and enforced; 3) There are intractable barriers to local implementation. But... 2/n

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

I wonder if we would have learned about policies that work (or don't work) without a state mandate and whether we need mandates for innovation. Mike talks about the Science of Reading. Would that have met the 3 commandments criteria back in the day? I doubt it. 3/n

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

The answer is that the licensure tests do seem to both limit supply and, in some cases, predictive. A few thoughts: 1) Policymakers sometimes treat it as a problem if the tests limit supply, but isn't that part of the theory of action for having them? 2/n

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

2) The licensure tests (particularly the new Science of Reading exam) predict teacher effectiveness. I've also studied licensure tests that don't predict much. We need to get more nuanced about these tests and what's on them to make them better! 3/3

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

I got a chance to participate in this fun/important documentary @edutuan.bsky.social is working on about the importance of teachers. Here are a few teasers from it 👇

Tuan D. Nguyen, Ph.D.@edutuan.bsky.social

Why Teachers Matter Documentary @mimiarnoldlyon.bsky.social Rise and fall of teaching youtube.com/shorts/ks-GE... Chris Cost of turnover youtube.com/shorts/7eBXq... @cedr.bsky.social Teacher quality youtube.com/shorts/_VK_H... Seth Most rewarding job youtube.com/shorts/bKu3s... Thank a teacher!

youtube.comMimi the rise and fall of teachingYouTube video by Tuan D. Nguyen, Ph.D.
Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Thanks Adam! We are indeed worried that the instability of the public system for producing and vetting research (i.e. IES) has been endangered, especially at a time when we need to be jump starting improvements in education.

Adam Gamoran@agamoran.bsky.social

Cogent essay from @cedr.bsky.social & @viviancwong.bsky.social on the importance of federally sponsored education research for local decision making. www.edweek.org/policy-polit...

edweek.orgWhy Local Control Over Education Won't Work Without Federal Support (Opinion)The Trump administration's retreat leaves local education leaders vulnerable.

Dan Goldhaber reposted

David Houston
@dmhouston.bsky.social

Replying to @dmhouston.bsky.social

"The Long Division: How the Politics of Education Became Partisan" examines how elementary and secondary education in the United States became increasingly organized around political partisanship and why this shift matters for American democracy and public schooling.

Dan Goldhaber reposted

Chad Aldeman
@chadaldeman.bsky.social

If Teachers Are the Most Important Thing, Why Don’t States Act Like it? Read my latest piece @the74.bsky.social, featuring new research from @nctq.bsky.social --> www.the74million.org/article/if-t...

the74million.orgIf Teachers Are the Most Important Thing, Why Don’t States Act Like it?Aldeman: Fewer states are giving incentives for educators to work in hard-to-staff subjects and schools. But bonus pay can really help end shortages.
Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

This is cool (nice job! @edutuan.bsky.social @joshbleiberg.bsky.social) and very useful for understanding how teacher turnover in one district compares to others! teacherturnovernowcast.com edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1602

edworkingpapers.comNowcasting Teacher TurnoverPolicymakers need timely, local information about teacher turnover to make informed decisions, yet turnover data are typically several years out of date and lack the context to assess whether a distri...
Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Everything is bigger in TX, right? In the case of the TX Teacher Incentive Allotment (TIA) I think the answer is yes. I am so interested in this big state initiative to encourage effective teaching as the design is definitely research informed! fordhaminstitute.org/national/res...

fordhaminstitute.orgTexas-sized paychecks for great teachers | Episode 1038 of The Education Gadfly ShowMary Lynn Pruneda, director of education and workforce policy at Texas 2036, joins Mike Petrilli and David Griffith to discuss Texas’s Teacher Incentive Allotment (TIA), a performance-based teacher pa...

Dan Goldhaber reposted

Morgan Polikoff
@mpolikoff.bsky.social

"Among sections of the same course, AI tutor access reduced final grades by 0.37 standard deviations and learning management system participation by 0.90 standard deviations. Participation declines ... were greater among first-generation students." edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1598

edworkingpapers.comThe Effects of Course-Integrated AI Tutoring on Student Performance and Engagement: A Randomized University TrialWe evaluate access to a course-integrated generative AI (GenAI) tutor in a randomized controlled trial involving 2,379 undergraduate students and 30 instructors across multiple disciplines in a large ...

Dan Goldhaber reposted

ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin
@rfberlin.bsky.social

⌛ 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗹𝗲𝗳𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝗴𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗥𝗙𝗕𝗲𝗿𝗹𝗶𝗻 𝗔𝗻𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝘂𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰 𝗟𝗲𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲! On 𝗧𝘂𝗲𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟬 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 at 𝟭𝟲:𝟬𝟬, 𝗝𝗮𝗻𝗲𝘁 𝗖𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗶𝗲 will give her lecture on 𝘐𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘊𝘩𝘪𝘭𝘥 𝘔𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘏𝘦𝘢𝘭𝘵𝘩: 𝘐𝘮𝘱𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘏𝘶𝘮𝘢𝘯 𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘋𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘭𝘰𝘱𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵. 🆓 Admission is free, but registration is required ➡️ buff.ly/o1IGUKZ

Dan Goldhaber reposted

Paul Bruno
@paul-bruno.com

New, from me, a slightly experimental project I've been working on: School Staff Shortages and the Wider Labor Market shortages.paul-bruno.com A sort of dashboard trying to put common conversations about school staff shortages into more context.

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Congratulations to Megan Austin who has been announced as the new CALDER Director. She gets to work with a terrific set of researchers on important issues! www.air.org/news/press-r...

air.orgEducation Systems and Policy Expert Megan Austin Named Director of CALDER at the American Institutes for Research | American Institutes for ResearchMegan Austin, a veteran education researcher who has worked with numerous states to generate and use evidence to improve student outcomes, has been named the new director of the National Center for An...
Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

So much of ed policy is predicated on the notion that successful reforms will spread and be sustained. This often proves not true and is one of the central issues in the interesting discussion about the use of the portfolio model in Camden, NJ. + 👇 fordhaminstitute.org/national/res...

fordhaminstitute.orgAre portfolio districts the future—or the past? | Episode 1037 of The Education Gadfly ShowKevin Shafer, president of City Fund, joins Mike Petrilli and David Griffith to discuss efforts to expand access to high-quality public schools across the country.
Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Super interesting findings in Amber's RM about what happens over time in growing and declining (student enrollment) districts. It might not be what you think! Take a look: direct.mit.edu/edfp/article...

direct.mit.eduEnrollment, Fiscal, and Resource Changes in American Public School Districts, 1998 to 2019Abstract. Total public school enrollment has decreased in recent years and is forecast to continue decreasing for the foreseeable future. Experts and educators are concerned about how enrollment decli...
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Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Takeaway: GPA and SAT thresholds are blunt proxies for a signal that preparation programs already generate. Evidence that what is observed/evaluated in teacher education/college is predictive of teacher performance. 10/11

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Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Retention: early interest in education predicts staying, about 0.8 points lower annual attrition (baseline ~8%). GPA doesn't predict who leaves. 8/11

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Caveats: these are associations, not causal effects of raising GPA. Three universities, one state; value added only in tested grades and subjects; grades in teacher courses are compressed near the top. 9/11

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Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

The GPA result holds with a Heckman selection correction (instrument: teacher openings at the student-teaching school), district fixed effects, grades standardized within course, and first-year teachers only. 6/11

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Which grades? The signal comes mainly from GPA in math courses designed for teachers, not regular math. Teachers who took an advanced (400-level+) math course were also more effective in both math and ELA. 7/11

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Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Entry: unsurprisingly, early interest in education is the big predictor (+22 percentage points). SAT barely matters. A 100-point higher SAT score changes the probability of teaching by just 0.1 points. 4/11

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Effectiveness: SAT scores and total credits earned don't predict value added. College GPA does. A 1 SD higher GPA is associated with a 0.02–0.03 SD gain in math and ELA value added, about half the return to a teacher's first year of experience. 5/11

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

Why it matters: GPA minimums, licensure requirements, and scholarships all treat college academic performance as a proxy for classroom effectiveness. Whether it's a valid proxy has been largely untested. 2/11

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

The data: 113,287 graduates followed from college application into the classroom. 3,559 became WA public school teachers, and we observe value added for 801 math and 851 ELA teachers. 3/11

Dan Goldhaber
@cedr.bsky.social

You wouldn't guess this from looking at U.S. roads, but the growth of electric cars as a share of the market in many other countries is really striking.

Justin Mikulka@justinmikulka.bsky.social

"Gasoline-only cars fell below 50% of global new vehicle sales for the first time, as the Hormuz crisis and record fuel prices accelerated the shift toward EVs."

oilprice.comFuel Price Shock Pushes Global Gas Car Sales Below 50% for First Time | OilPrice.comThe share of gasoline cars in global vehicle sales fell below 50% for the first time ever as the Hormuz shock and the resulting record-high fuel prices accelerated the previously sluggish shift toward...