Dan Weiner

Dan Weiner

@danw329.bsky.social

Senior Director, Elections and Government Program, Brennan Center for Justice @ NYU Law. Previously, Senior Counsel, FEC. Husband. Dad. 🇺🇸🏳️‍🌈✡️

5.6K followers204 following239 posts

NEW this a.m. from @brennancenter.org: Analysis of the top 40 super PAC donors as of mid-Oct over the last 4 midterms since Citizens United shows big changes, incl. a major shift of big $$ to the GOP, new crypto cash + the disappearance of labor from the top 40. www.brennancenter.org/our-work/res...

brennancenter.orgBig Changes to Makeup of the Biggest Midterm DonorsSince Citizens United, the composition of the top 40 donors in the midterms has shifted dramatically: more money, more support for Republicans, less transparency, and new industries like crypto surgin...

Dan Weiner reposted

It’s all about corruption in this final push before the midterms. The striking findings from the @financialtimes.com’s survey echo @cnbc.com’s final All-America Economic Survey, too, where voters pointed to corruption as one of the top issues facing the country right now www.cnbc.com/2026/10/23/c...

cnbc.comCorruption is voters' top issue ahead of midterm election, CNBC survey showsDemocrats have worked to contrast economic hardship with President Trump's surging net worth and his family's lucrative business dealings.
Dan Weiner@danw329.bsky.social

NEW from the @financialtimes.com: 70% of voters are very or somewhat concerned about self-dealing and other corruption in the Trump Admin, including 1/2 of Trump voters. This echoes our polling, which shows that corruption and affordability are linked in voters’ minds www.ft.com/content/2770...

It’s not a surprise that candidates are focused on corruption in the closing weeks of the campaign. But the big question is what the winners will do about it.

Dan Weiner reposted

🚨Happening now: The campaign finance limits that have governed U.S. elections since Watergate are nearing collapse, with major implications for the midterms. Join our Reddit AMA to discuss how big money is shaping the election. bit.ly/3UEUA2K

Dan Weiner reposted

Bad actors are pushing out inauthentic paid political ads on social media to sway voters, without disclosing ties to candidates. This makes it hard to discern "legitimate sources" from "shadier, more nefarious sources," @danw329.bsky.social told @nytimes.com.

nytimes.comU.S. Political Money Funnels to Indian Bots to Lure VotersAt least three dozen videos of people on the street expressing support for a Democratic candidate appeared millions of times on social media. It was unclear who paid for them.

Corruption is a truly cross partisan issue. Our own polling has shown that Republicans, Democrats and Independents are all very angry about it.

Scott MacFarlane@macfarlanenews.bsky.social

Washington Post has released series of new polling this morning Perhaps this is the most striking finding:

Dan Weiner reposted

Replying to @ianvan.bsky.social

The most extreme example is Texas, where James Talarico outspent Ken Paxton by $100M, and Republicans’ super PACs outspent Democrats’ by $200M. That includes pro-Cornyn spending from the primary, but the bulk is from Elon Musk, who has given at least $168M to pro-Paxton groups.

Dan Weiner reposted

Across the 6 Senate elections most likely to decide control of the chamber (AK, IA, OH, ME, MI, TX), Republicans have a spending advantage, with $700M to Democrats’ $600M.

The last big bonanza of FEC filings before the election has come in! My top takeaway: the legal framework we’ve had since Watergate for limiting the corrupting influence of money in elections is close to dead, with a stark divide between the two parties emerging in how they fundraise.

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The last big bonanza of FEC filings before the election has come in! My top takeaway: the legal framework we’ve had since Watergate for limiting the corrupting influence of money in elections is close to dead, with a stark divide between the two parties emerging in how they fundraise.

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The last big bonanza of FEC filings before the election has come in! My top takeaway: the legal framework we’ve had since Watergate for limiting the corrupting influence of money in elections is close to dead, with a stark divide between the two parties emerging in how they fundraise.

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Of course, donor disclosure is now largely optional. Dark money is much harder to track than it was 5 years ago, but it’s clear this election will break records, as my colleague @ianvan.bsky.social lays out here. bsky.app/profile/ianv...

Ian Vandewalker@ianvan.bsky.social

In a sign that dark money is breaking records, the super PACs affiliated with congressional party leadership all took in more than ever through their dark money arms that keep donors identities secret. On the Senate side, both parties more than doubled their prior record.

Last point: when the Supreme Court struck down limits on national party campaign spending earlier this year, some experts were hopeful that would lead to a shift away from super PACs back to the main party organizations, who are seen as more responsible players. See: www.usatoday.com/story/opinio...

usatoday.comThe Supreme Court gave political parties their power back | OpinionA little-noticed Supreme Court decision could reshape how elections are funded ‒ and it's a win for democracy, not just donors.

The last big bonanza of FEC filings before the election has come in! My top takeaway: the legal framework we’ve had since Watergate for limiting the corrupting influence of money in elections is close to dead, with a stark divide between the two parties emerging in how they fundraise.

View full thread

Democratic candidates are pulling in record $$$ from conventional donors (who can give up to around $7K per cycle). GOP candidates are raising much less, but more than making up the difference through super PACs funded by Elon Musk and other megadonors like the Uihleins, Jeff Yass and Miriam Adelson

The last big bonanza of FEC filings before the election has come in! My top takeaway: the legal framework we’ve had since Watergate for limiting the corrupting influence of money in elections is close to dead, with a stark divide between the two parties emerging in how they fundraise.

Huge amounts of money coming in from big donors to pay for the WH ballroom, including from major govt contractors.

Eric Petry@eepetry.bsky.social

Wow. Leaked list obtained by @washingtonpost.com shows a stunning $333M in private donations to Trump’s White House ballroom, including from major federal contractors.

NEW from @ianvan.bsky.social: five things you need to know about how money in shaping the midterms.

Brennan Center@brennancenter.org

This election has seen the biggest giving by any donor in modern history, with Elon Musk reportedly spending at least $366 million to elect Republicans. Here’s what to know about money in the midterms: bit.ly/47TbFsK

Of course, we don’t know how much Musk or any wealthy donor is actually giving, because campaign disclosure rules are also very easy to evade through dark money groups that don’t disclosure their donors. We only know about the money reported here because Musk and his entities wanted us to know.

IMO massive GOTV operations are much more valuable than the sort of last minute ad blitzes that used to be super PACs’ stock and trade. The effect is also harder to pick up in polls. We likely won’t know the impact this money had until after the election.

It’s striking that this massive infusion of cash is coming from someone whose companies are making so much money from the government. Government contractors are supposedly barred from donating to campaigns, but the ban is laughably easy to evade. (Democrats benefit from it too).

This money is mostly flowing through super PACs and much of it will be used for Get-Out-the-Vote operations. Super PACs, made possible by Citizens United, used to primarily run attack ads. But in 2024 the Federal Election Commission made it much easier for campaigns to outsource GOTV to them.

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This is basically the reverse of 2024, when Trump got outraised but still had plenty of money, including almost $300M from Elon Musk, who then embedded himself in the administration.

Which is the real point here. Both parties need to raise more and more money to compete. The question is what the donors giving all that money expect in return. The American public overwhelmingly sees this dynamic as corrupt. www.brennancenter.org/our-work/ana...

brennancenter.orgPoll: Voters Want Solutions for Government CorruptionOverwhelming majorities across parties see corruption as a major problem and back measures to limit self-dealing by officials and the influence of money in politics.
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One reason these factors might not be decisive is that the Democrats are being outspent but still managing to hold their own, including through record fundraising by their own super PACs.https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/06/us/politics/senate-majority-pac-democrats.html

nytimes.comTop Democratic Super PAC Raised Record Amount in Third QuarterDemocratic Senate candidates have generally out-raised Republicans, but are struggling to match outside spending from Trump-affiliated groups.

The big one is Get Out the Vote (GOTV). The election will turn on who gets their voters out. Thanks to Citizens United (w/ an assist from the legendarily dysfunctional FEC), campaigns can outsource GOTV to super PACs, where the GOP currently has a big advantage www.brennancenter.org/our-work/res...

brennancenter.orgFifteen Years Later, Citizens United Defined the 2024 ElectionThe influence of wealthy donors and dark money was unprecedented. Much of it would have been illegal before the Supreme Court swept away long-established campaign finance rules.