ECFR

ECFR

@ecfr.eu

European Council on Foreign Relations: the only pan-European think-tank. We foster coalitions for change and promote debate on Europe's global role.

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ECFR
@ecfr.eu

📆 03/11 at 10:00am CET Can Europe still count on Berlin? This webinar will present the key findings of ECFR‘s latest research on New Politics that uses a scenario for Germany in 2029. Register and join us! 👇 https://ecfr.eu/event/can-europe-still-count-on-berlin-navigating-a-changing-germany/

ecfr.euCan Europe still count on Berlin? Navigating a changing Germany – European Council on Foreign RelationsA stagnating economy, political volatility, and the rise of the far right are reshaping Germany's domestic political landscape. But what do these developments m
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

The geopolitical rupture the world is living through has already encouraged the EU to look outward, writes @ilketoygur.bsky.social. #viewsfromthecouncil https://ecfr.eu/article/rupture-politics-how-the-eu-and-canada-can-build-global-communities/

ecfr.euRupture politics: How the EU and Canada can build “global communities” – European Council on Foreign RelationsThe vision Mark Carney has espoused needs the EU at its centre. This week decision-makers have the chance to make this happen
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

While forecasts predict that the House of Representatives—and possibly the Senate—will turn blue on November 3rd, Europeans should not assume that Democrats can rein in Trump’s foreign policy. https://ecfr.eu/article/a-democratic-win-isnt-enough-how-europe-can-prepare-for-trump-beyond-the-midterms/

ecfr.euA Democratic win isn’t enough: How Europe can prepare for Trump beyond the midterms – European Council on Foreign RelationsMany Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s pol

ECFR reposted

ECFR Africa
@ecfrafrica.bsky.social

Moscow hosts the Third Russia-Africa Summit tomorrow. Despite a smaller economic footprint than the US, Europe or China, Russia has gained influence in Africa through security ties, arms sales and diplomacy. Take a moment to revisit some of our @ecfr.eu analyses. 🧵👇️

ECFR
@ecfr.eu

This is not the “old Israel” and Europeans need to reckon with that reality. Its liberal forces have weakened while its ultra-nationalist ones are ascendant. These shifts will endure far beyond Netanyahu. @ecfrmena.bsky.social Check it out: https://ecfr.eu/special/the-ideas-of-israel/

ecfr.euThe ideas of Israel – European Council on Foreign RelationsIsrael’s illiberal and ethno-nationalist forces are reshaping the country in their image. This is a structural transformation that runs deeper than October’s el
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Lula’s fourth-term victory should keep EU-Mercosur alive—but Brussels cannot relax yet. The European Parliament must still approve the deal, and Europe needs to offer deeper industrial cooperation with Brasilia, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social. @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://bit.ly/4BtzlS9

ecfr.euLula has won in Brazil, but Europe still needs to fight for Mercosur – European Council on Foreign RelationsLula’s fourth-term victory should keep EU-Mercosur alive—but Brussels cannot relax yet. The European Parliament must still approve the deal, and Europe needs to
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

There is a potential European-security wedge within the RN electorate that other candidates could benefit from. https://ecfr.eu/article/unlikely-europeans-the-hidden-voters-who-could-sway-frances-presidential-election/

ecfr.euUnlikely Europeans: The hidden voters who could sway France’s presidential election – European Council on Foreign RelationsAhead of the 2027 presidential election, pro-European candidates may find unexpected opportunities among voters of both the radical left and the far right
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

29 October - 9:30-13:30 How can Europe build this new architecture, and what should policymakers and businesses prioritise? How should it plan, finance and protect the infrastructure that an electrified economy depends on? Register⬇️ https://ecfr.eu/event/towards-a-new-european-energy-architecture/

ecfr.euTowards a new European energy architecture – European Council on Foreign RelationsEurope’s future depends on the energy choices it makes today. Can Europe secure cleaner, more affordable and more reliable energy, and build the infrastructure
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Whether Europeans have a say in Trump’s deals with Russia is not a decision for Washington but for EU governments. The next EU sanctions package may be a good place to start. https://ecfr.eu/article/trumps-russia-deals-are-not-his-to-make/

ecfr.euTrump’s Russia deals are not his to make – European Council on Foreign RelationsIn just a few weeks the White House has lifted some sanctions on Russia and offered Moscow lucrative business deals. If European governments act fast, they can
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

While forecasts predict that the House of Representatives—and possibly the Senate—will turn blue on November 3rd, Europeans should not assume that Democrats can rein in Trump’s foreign policy. https://ecfr.eu/article/a-democratic-win-isnt-enough-how-europe-can-prepare-for-trump-beyond-the-midterms/

ecfr.euA Democratic win isn’t enough: How Europe can prepare for Trump beyond the midterms – European Council on Foreign RelationsMany Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s pol
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

📆 03/11 at 10:00am CET Can Europe still count on Berlin? This webinar will present the key findings of ECFR‘s latest research on New Politics that uses a scenario for Germany in 2029. Register and join us! 👇 https://ecfr.eu/event/can-europe-still-count-on-berlin-navigating-a-changing-germany/

ecfr.euCan Europe still count on Berlin? Navigating a changing Germany – European Council on Foreign RelationsA stagnating economy, political volatility, and the rise of the far right are reshaping Germany's domestic political landscape. But what do these developments m
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

An unfair election and small-scale manipulation may not be enough to stop a shift in popular attitudes, as Viktor Orban’s stunning defeat in Hungary showed earlier this year. https://ecfr.eu/article/between-vucic-and-the-future-five-post-election-scenarios-for-serbia/

ecfr.euBetween Vucic and the future: Five post-election scenarios for Serbia – European Council on Foreign RelationsAfter nearly two years of protests, Serbia’s students and their supporters are the most credible opposition Vucic has faced in his 14 years of rule. The EU shou
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Join us! 29 October - 9:30-13:30 How can Europe reduce its energy dependence and strengthen its grids? Which external dependencies can it accept, and where does it need greater control? @ecfrmadrid.bsky.social Register here ⬇️ https://bit.ly/47wiOiK

ecfr.euTowards a new European energy architecture – European Council on Foreign RelationsEurope’s future depends on the energy choices it makes today. Can Europe secure cleaner, more affordable and more reliable energy, and build the infrastructure
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

An unfair election and small-scale manipulation may not be enough to stop a shift in popular attitudes, as Viktor Orban’s stunning defeat in Hungary showed earlier this year. https://ecfr.eu/article/between-vucic-and-the-future-five-post-election-scenarios-for-serbia/

ecfr.euBetween Vucic and the future: Five post-election scenarios for Serbia – European Council on Foreign RelationsAfter nearly two years of protests, Serbia’s students and their supporters are the most credible opposition Vucic has faced in his 14 years of rule. The EU shou
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Many Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s policies. https://ecfr.eu/article/a-democratic-win-isnt-enough-how-europe-can-prepare-for-trump-beyond-the-midterms/

ecfr.euA Democratic win isn’t enough: How Europe can prepare for Trump beyond the midterms – European Council on Foreign RelationsMany Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s pol
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

📆 Webinar on 30 October, 09:00am CET How can Ukraine and its partners respond to growing risks to shipping and critical infrastructure in the Black Sea? And what more can Europe, the EU, and NATO do? @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social Register and join us!👇 https://bit.ly/3WHvgd0

ecfr.euStorm in the Black Sea: Consequences, Escalation, and the Way Forward – European Council on Foreign RelationsRussia’s ongoing attacks on Odesa and Ukraine’s Black Sea infrastructure are having far-reaching consequences – as pressure grows on Ukraine’s main export hub,
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

An unfair election and small-scale manipulation may not be enough to stop a shift in popular attitudes, as Viktor Orban’s stunning defeat in Hungary showed earlier this year. https://ecfr.eu/article/between-vucic-and-the-future-five-post-election-scenarios-for-serbia/

ecfr.euBetween Vucic and the future: Five post-election scenarios for Serbia – European Council on Foreign RelationsAfter nearly two years of protests, Serbia’s students and their supporters are the most credible opposition Vucic has faced in his 14 years of rule. The EU shou
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

While forecasts predict that the House of Representatives—and possibly the Senate—will turn blue on November 3rd, Europeans should not assume that Democrats can rein in Trump’s foreign policy. https://ecfr.eu/article/a-democratic-win-isnt-enough-how-europe-can-prepare-for-trump-beyond-the-midterms/

ecfr.euA Democratic win isn’t enough: How Europe can prepare for Trump beyond the midterms – European Council on Foreign RelationsMany Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s pol
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

After nearly 2 years of protests, Serbia’s students are the most credible opposition Vucic has faced in his 14 years of rule. The EU should support their democratic movement before & after the election on Oct 25th, write @engjellushem.bsky.social and @gbuldioski.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/betw...

ecfr.euBetween Vucic and the future: Five post-election scenarios for Serbia – European Council on Foreign RelationsAfter nearly two years of protests, Serbia’s students and their supporters are the most credible opposition Vucic has faced in his 14 years of rule. The EU shou
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Beijing criticises the revised Cybersecurity Act as unfairly targeting Chinese companies, while its own procurement notices explicitly name European companies as supply-chain risks to be removed from critical infrastructure.

ecfr.eu“Secure and controllable”: How Beijing is writing Europe out of its systems – European Council on Foreign RelationsChinese utilities are stripping European technology out of their critical infrastructure on security grounds, while Chinese suppliers are trying to expand acros
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

An unfair election and small-scale manipulation may not be enough to stop a shift in popular attitudes, as Viktor Orban’s stunning defeat in Hungary showed earlier this year. https://ecfr.eu/article/between-vucic-and-the-future-five-post-election-scenarios-for-serbia/

ecfr.euBetween Vucic and the future: Five post-election scenarios for Serbia – European Council on Foreign RelationsAfter nearly two years of protests, Serbia’s students and their supporters are the most credible opposition Vucic has faced in his 14 years of rule. The EU shou

ECFR reposted

ECFR European Security
@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

How can Ukraine and its partners respond to growing risks to shipping and critical infrastructure in the Black Sea? And what more can Europe, the EU, and NATO do to contribute to Black Sea security and prevent further escalation? Join our webinar on 30 October at 09:00 CET⬇️ ecfr.eu/event/storm-...

ecfr.euStorm in the Black Sea: Consequences, Escalation, and the Way Forward – European Council on Foreign RelationsRussia’s ongoing attacks on Odesa and Ukraine’s Black Sea infrastructure are having far-reaching consequences – as pressure grows on Ukraine’s main export hub,
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

The coming Israeli election could see Netanyahu finally unseated. But Israel’s hard-right shift goes far beyond the PM & Europeans should prepare for more continuity than they'd like, writes Beth Oppenheim https://ecfr.eu/article/whoever-wins-the-election-israels-illiberal-turn-is-here-to-stay

ecfr.euWhoever wins the election, Israel’s illiberal turn is here to stay – European Council on Foreign RelationsThe coming Israeli election could see Netanyahu finally unseated. But Israel’s hard-right shift goes far beyond the prime minister, and Europeans should prepare
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

A scrappage scheme for diesel vans could cut emissions and ease the geopolitical dependencies pushing up costs for Europeans, write @noahjgordon.bsky.social and Alex Turnbull. @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://ecfr.eu/article/van-guard-how-europe-can-kick-its-global-diesel-dependence/

ecfr.euVan guard: How Europe can kick its global diesel dependence – European Council on Foreign RelationsA scrappage scheme for diesel vans could cut emissions and ease the geopolitical dependencies pushing up costs for Europeans
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Many Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s policies. https://ecfr.eu/article/a-democratic-win-isnt-enough-how-europe-can-prepare-for-trump-beyond-the-midterms/

ecfr.euA Democratic win isn’t enough: How Europe can prepare for Trump beyond the midterms – European Council on Foreign RelationsMany Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s pol
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

📆 03/11 at 10:00am CET Can Europe still count on Berlin? This webinar will present the key findings of ECFR‘s latest research on New Politics that uses a scenario for Germany in 2029. Register and join us! 👇 https://ecfr.eu/event/can-europe-still-count-on-berlin-navigating-a-changing-germany/

ecfr.euCan Europe still count on Berlin? Navigating a changing Germany – European Council on Foreign RelationsA stagnating economy, political volatility, and the rise of the far right are reshaping Germany's domestic political landscape. But what do these developments m

ECFR reposted

Jeremy Cliffe
@jeremycliffe.bsky.social

On Nov 2 @ecfr.eu's New Politics Project publishes a new paper by @jpuglierin.bsky.social, Piotr Buras, @angelamehrer.bsky.social & me on how political flux in Germany is reshaping its European and global role. 🇩🇪 Online launch with @chassnews.bsky.social & Andreas Rödder ⬇️ ecfr.eu/event/can-eu...

ecfr.euCan Europe still count on Berlin? Navigating a changing Germany – European Council on Foreign RelationsA stagnating economy, political volatility, and the rise of the far right are reshaping Germany's domestic political landscape. But what do these developments m

ECFR reposted

Agathe Demarais
@agathedemarais.com

In past weeks Trump has lifted some sanctions on Moscow and offered the Kremlin lucrative business deals - in our fresh @ecfr.eu piece, Jim O'Brien and I outline three concrete steps that Europeans can take to derail US-Russia plans (spoiler: the EU has all the tools at hand) ecfr.eu/article/trum...

ECFR reposted

PubAffairs EU Debates, News & Opinions 🇪🇺
@pubaffairsbruxelles.eu

[Commentary] #Tech: Tomorrow’s market today: Why #Europe needs to invest in #AI compute, by Ivo Prokopiev | @ecfr.eu www.pubaffairsbruxelles.eu/opinion-anal...

pubaffairsbruxelles.euTomorrow’s market today: Why Europe needs to invest in AI compute - PubAffairs BruxellesIn 2025, buying a megawatt-hour of electricity on Europe’s wholesale markets cost about $95 (around €83) on average. But running that same electricity through a server full of the newest AI chips, the...
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

A Europe that depends on America for chips, cloud and the price of compute has little leverage left in trade and technology talks, writes Ivo Prokopiev. @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://ecfr.eu/article/tomorrows-market-today-why-europe-needs-to-invest-in-ai-compute/

ecfr.euTomorrow’s market today: Why Europe needs to invest in AI compute – European Council on Foreign RelationsEurope won’t out-build America on AI data centres. But it should get ahead in pricing and financing its compute capacity
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Update! Join us! 29 October - 9:30-13:30 How can Europe reduce its energy dependence and strengthen its grids? Which external dependencies can it accept, and where does it need greater control? @ecfrmadrid.bsky.social Register here ⬇️ https://bit.ly/47wiOiK

bit.lyTowards a new European energy architecture – European Council on Foreign RelationsEurope’s future depends on the energy choices it makes today. Can Europe secure cleaner, more affordable and more reliable energy, and build the infrastructure

ECFR reposted

PubAffairs EU Debates, News & Opinions 🇪🇺
@pubaffairsbruxelles.eu

[Commentary] #GlobalEurope - A Democratic win isn’t enough: How #Europe can prepare for #Trump beyond the midterms, by Nevada Joan Lee | @ecfr.eu www.pubaffairsbruxelles.eu/opinion-anal...

pubaffairsbruxelles.euA Democratic win isn’t enough: How Europe can prepare for Trump beyond the midterms - PubAffairs BruxellesMany Europeans are hoping for a blue Congress after the US midterm elections. While this result would change the tone in Washington, it won’t change Trump’s policies. A midterm scenario It’s January 3...

ECFR reposted

ECFR Africa
@ecfrafrica.bsky.social

📃 We wrote a report for @oecd-ocde.bsky.social that examines Africa’s current and potential role in critical mineral supply chains, with recommendations for African countries to leverage their minerals endowments for their development objectives. @ecfr.eu Read it here 👇️ buff.ly/lnOT76y

buff.lyCritical minerals in AfricaThis policy paper examines Africa’s current and potential role in critical mineral supply chains and identifies policy recommendations for African countries to leverage their minerals endowments for…
ECFR
@ecfr.eu

Beijing criticises the revised Cybersecurity Act as unfairly targeting Chinese companies, while its own procurement notices explicitly name European companies as supply-chain risks to be removed from critical infrastructure.

ecfr.eu“Secure and controllable”: How Beijing is writing Europe out of its systems – European Council on Foreign RelationsChinese utilities are stripping European technology out of their critical infrastructure on security grounds, while Chinese suppliers are trying to expand acros