François Heisbourg

François Heisbourg

@fheisbourg.bsky.social

Senior adviser (Europe), IISS, Special adviser, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique

13.3K followers192 following2.5K posts

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1707 1. Ballistic missile attacks vs Kyiv 2. Local cease-fire begins at Oleskhy [Kherson) 3. Romania 🇷🇴 's SRI says 🇷🇺 organised touching of CARFIL arms plant near Braşov

François Heisbourg reposted

There's some difference of opinion re: Nov. 3, but less than most cycles in the past. Even the most optimistic non-insane Rs are like, "All these Senate races are toss-ups." Even the most optimistic non-insane Ds are like "We like our odds, but we'll believe it when we see it." Original post

François Heisbourg reposted

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1606 1. Putin partner Vucic loses elex in Serbia 🇷🇸 . Putin ally Dodik of Rrpublika Srbska to visit DC. Trump ally Bolsonaro loses Brazil 🇧🇷 elex 2 Full speed Starlink still not back 2. 112/140 strike drones down/out (56/60 jet propelled) . 3 Kh-59/ 69 downed

François Heisbourg reposted

Depuis début octobre, les attaques de drones ont fait près de 30 morts ou disparus parmi les marins. La chute des exportations de céréales et la hausse des coûts du transport menacent les marchés mondiaux. ➡️ https://l.liberation.fr/9ge

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1704 1. Neutral mediator Witkoff extols Putin as a humanitarian 2. Zelensky says direct 🇷🇺 🇺🇦 talks begin in November 3. 260 POWs exchanged 4. Another ship sunk by 🇷🇺 drone off Romania 🇷🇴 coast 5. Crimea largely blacked out 5. 101/126 strike drones down/out (50/61 jet propelled)

François Heisbourg reposted

François Heisbourg reposted

Le #Royaume-Uni a protesté contre les propos de Steve Witkoff, représentant spécial du président américain, qui qualifiait le dictateur russe Vladimir Poutine d'humaniste. / Poutine a tué des milliers de personnes, des Ukrainiens innocents comme ses propres soldats russes.

bloomberg.comUK Rejects Witkoff’s Characterization of Putin as ‘Humanitarian’The UK pushed back against the description of Vladimir Putin as a “humanitarian” given by US President Donald Trump’s Ukraine war envoy, saying it rejected that characterization of the Russian leader.

François Heisbourg reposted

⚡️First tanker with Russian diesel under Trump deal heads to US, Reuters reports. The tanker Agioi Fanendes is delivering the first cargo as part of a deal announced by U.S. President Donald Trump on Oct. 9 to purchase Russian diesel.

kyivindependent.comFirst tanker with Russian diesel under Trump deal heads to US, Reuters reportsThe tanker Agioi Fanendes is delivering the first cargo as part of a deal announced by U.S. President Donald Trump on Oct. 9 to purchase Russian diesel.

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1703 1. Unlike others,Trump asseers Starlink back on, 🇫🇮 IceEye to help 🇺🇦 set up an alternate system 2. 140/176 strike drones down/out, 68/92 jet propelled

François Heisbourg reposted

Russia unleashed a barrage of missiles on Kyiv on Wednesday night, shortly after US President Donald Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff and Russian President Vladimir Putin failed to deliver a meaningful breakthrough on ending the war in Ukraine ft.trib.al/IOZj2Z6

François Heisbourg reposted

Replying to @antongerashchenko.bsky.social

Russian strikes damaged energy infrastructure, an ambulance station,a monastery,a hypermarket, a shopping mall, a medical facility,metro infrastructure on a bridge,office buildings,a restaurant complex,an auto repair shop, a university,private homes, apartment buildings, transport infrastructure.

François Heisbourg reposted

This is where we are after two years of Europeans groveling to Trump. Europe has to change tack and start putting serious pressure on the US and on Putin. The US cannot both be a dominant NATO member and side with Putin. Europe has leverage, it should use it.

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1702 1. Tooth fairy:Trump says end of war was never as close 2. New 🇵🇱 🇺🇦 rift as Lwiw preps ro honour UPA leader 3 630 drones vs Moscow area 4. Massive bombing in Kyiv area incl Iskander-M KN-23. 181/210 strike drones down/ out (87/110 jet propelledl

François Heisbourg reposted

Replying to @afp.com

➡️ Une rencontre s'est déroulée mercredi à Saint-Pétersbourg entre l'émissaire américain Steve Witkoff et le président russe Vladimir Poutine, à l'issue de laquelle Donald Trump a affirmé que la fin de la guerre n'avait jamais été "aussi proche".

François Heisbourg reposted

«La sûreté et la sécurité du personnel du département d’État et de leurs familles restent notre priorité absolue», a expliqué le porte-parole du département d’État. →https://l.lefigaro.fr/c2QT

François Heisbourg reposted

And Marine Le Pen is laughing her head off on her way to the electoral bank. Tragedy in the making

The New York Times@nytimes.com

As hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets across France in support of student protesters, many displayed a rallying cry: “Bismillah, c’est les ténèbres.” nyti.ms/4z7fsyU

François Heisbourg reposted

😳 Trump loses it and SNAPS at a string of reporters, says Ilhan Omar might "go to jail," calls Somalia "a shit house," and boasts that thanks to a new program he announced today Americans "will make millions of dollars by turning others in" during absolutely deranged Oval Office event Supercut:

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1701 1. Witkoff in Perersburg after Norway 🇳🇴 meeting of which Zelensky says US Iintel link is back 2. Kyiv hospital hit 3. 150/186 strike drones down/out

Hope dies lasf

Anton Gerashchenko@antongerashchenko.bsky.social

▪️Starlink service will be restored within 48 hours ▪️Ukraine is ready to stop striking sensitive Russian energy facilities in exchange for Russia agreeing to halt similar attacks ▪️Zelenskyy thanked the USA for resuming intelligence sharing, particularly early warnings about ballistic missile attacks

François Heisbourg reposted

"We aren’t losing the war,but we’re losing our people.That is why we want to end the war.Ukraine wants peace more than anything.It was Russia that started this war." -Zelenskyy Statements by Zelenskyy following the meeting in Oslo: ▪️Ukraine proposes moving to trilateral talks at the leaders' level

This is why the French have been banging on about strategic autonomy

Olga Nesterova@onestpress.onestnetwork.com

Telegraph: The White House has blocked the transfer of Patriot missiles to Ukraine, US officials have said. The transfer of interceptor missiles from countries friendly to Ukraine requires the approval of Pete Hegseth. I’ve been screaming about it for years - you use/sell/donate US tech on US terms

François Heisbourg reposted

Telegraph: The White House has blocked the transfer of Patriot missiles to Ukraine, US officials have said. The transfer of interceptor missiles from countries friendly to Ukraine requires the approval of Pete Hegseth. I’ve been screaming about it for years - you use/sell/donate US tech on US terms

François Heisbourg reposted

⚡️️ Poland to demand explanation from Ukraine over drone incident in Lithuania. Lithuania said the drone entered its airspace from the Polish side before exploding on its territory on Oct. 18. Ukraine linked the incident to Russian jamming.

kyivindependent.comPoland to demand explanation from Ukraine over drone incident in LithuaniaLithuania said the drone entered its airspace from the Polish side before exploding on its territory on Oct. 18. Ukraine linked the incident to Russian jamming.

François Heisbourg reposted

Replying to @theukrainianreview.bsky.social

🇵🇱 Sikorski: Some NATO countries still have missiles to transfer to Ukraine, but Poland is not one of them. Warsaw can only call on the states that have such stocks to share them.

François Heisbourg reposted

📹 Feijóo: "Estamos hablando y vamos a seguir hablando con Vox, desde la discreción y desde el respeto. Si Vox está a la altura, el PP también va a estar a la altura" social.elpais.com/qw3…

A vandal comments on vandals

Euronews@euronews.com

US President Donald Trump commented on the ongoing protests in France during a rally in Kansas, linking the unrest to immigration and criticising Democrats, as his Republican Party faces a challenging political climate ahead of the upcoming midterm elections.

On attend le commentaire e3 Melenchon qui avait récemment salué la victoire des independendantistes anti-immigrés du Québec

🇨🇦 La province pétrolière de l'Alberta s'est massivement opposée à l'organisation d'un référendum sur l'indépendance, une victoire pour le Premier ministre canadien Mark Carney qui a salué un "choix clair" en pleine guerre commerciale avec les États-Unis. ➡️ u.afp.com/SCaV

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1700 1. 🇷🇺 hits Kharkiv park, kills 6, 3 children 2. Trump says "what Russia does in 🇺🇦 is fine" 3. Zelensky says missile early warning data withheld by US yesterday. 4 115/165 strike drones down /out (73/105 jet propelled)

François Heisbourg reposted

⚡️️What Russia's doing to Ukraine is 'fine,' Trump says. "Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine. They haven't been doing much," Trump said, hours after a Russian drone strike in a public park killed six people, including two children.

kyivindependent.comWhat Russia's doing to Ukraine is 'fine,' Trump says"Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine. They haven't been doing much," Trump said, hours after a Russian drone strike in a public park killed six people, including two children.

François Heisbourg reposted

Baby Anhelina and her mom Inna were killed by Russia yesterday. Anhelina was just over a year old. Her mom, Inna Mariukhna, was a primary school teacher. They were in the park in Nova Vodolaha, Kharkiv region, when a Russian drone attacked. Little Anhelina was killed in her stroller.

Looks like full US intel flow has not been reestablished

The Kyiv Independent@kyivindependent.com

⚡️ US reacts to Kyiv's claim it received no advance notice of Russian ballistic missile launches. In the Oct. 19 attack on Kyiv, at least one person was killed, and eight others were injured as Russian missiles struck Kyiv in multiple waves overnight.

François Heisbourg reposted

⚡️Russian attacks hit Ukrainian water filtration, plastics factories overnight. The overnight assault also damaged a data center in Kyiv and infrastructure in Volyn Region, where around 66,000 electricity metering points were left without power, regional officials said.

kyivindependent.comRussian attacks hit Ukrainian water filtration, plastics factories overnightThe overnight assault also damaged a data center in Kyiv and infrastructure in Volyn Region, where around 66,000 electricity metering points were left without power, regional officials said.