Frontline Democracy

Democrats just hit a new record high in my 2026 House Forecast. Chance of a DEM-Majority: 92.4% Estimated Democratic Seats: 238 View the full Election forecast here: www.frontlinedemocracy.net/p/2026-house...

Reddit Poll results: North Carolina should go first in the 2028 Democratic Primary! www.frontlinedemocracy.net/p/which-stat...

US 2026 Election House Forecast Update Jan 23rd 2026 🔵DEM: 236 Seats 🔴REP: 199 Seats Probability for a Democratic Majority: 90% Take a look at the district-level map: www.frontlinedemocracy.net/p/2026-house...

Five States have officially asked the DNC to be the first state of the 2028 primary. Nevada, North Carolina, South Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire. I'm conducting a poll to find out which state the people prefer: forms.office.com/e/GiQWnBMNH5

US 2026 Election House Forecast Update Jan 10th 2025 🔵DEM: 237 Seats 🔴REP: 198 Seats Probability for a Democratic Majority: 92% Take a look at the district-level map: www.frontlinedemocracy.net/p/2026-house...

Ohhhhh OK! This is trolling On a whole new level Well done South Park Dudes #Mm

US 2026 Election House Forecast Update Dec. 19th 2025 🔵DEM: 234 Seats 🔴REP: 201 Seats Probability for a Democratic Majority: 88% Take a look at the district-level map: frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/2026-house...

Here's why IOWA should be a prime target for House Democrats in 2026: Chance for Dems to win three seat: 🔵 IA-1: 82% (Likely D Flip) 🟡 IA-2: 39% (Toss-UP) 🔵 IA-3: 70% (Lean D FLip) Take a look at the full map: open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...

My 2026 US House Election Forecast is LIVE: open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...

Kentucky Senate 37th District Special Election Results: 🔵 Dem: 72,6% 🔴 Rep: 25,1 % Seat was Harris +6 in 2024 so that's an overperformance of *41 points!

Tomorrow, I'll release my 2026 House Forecast Model, including an interactive map of all 435 Districts! Subscribe to get notified: frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com

A look at 2025 Election data shows that the AFD's strength is being boosted by Western Germany. Any attempt to stop them should start there: open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...

I calculated the new Indiana Gerrymander based on different elections. It's a R9-0D map in 2024, but the 1st District becomes competitive if the nationwide results get closer: 1st District: 2024 Pres.: 🔴 R+12 2020 Pres.: 🔴 R+4 Democrats will also have an incumbent running in that district.

Let's not forget a time when political violence did not have any consequences: frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/the-murder...

DISNEY: "OK, we are putting Jimmy Kimmel back on the air. You can resubscribe now." ME: "I unsubscribed because you immorally bowed to fascism. I'm not going to resubscribe because you immorally bowed to finances."

Public pressure works. Bowing to bullies doesn’t. Jimmy Kimmel’s return is a win — now Disney and ABC must stand firm in defending his First Amendment rights and those of every American. When political power can silence speech, our democracy itself is at risk.

Jimmy Kimmel is back!

The Deep South has not overcome its past, 2024 election data shows: open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...

Have you ever wondered how differently Democrats and Republicans respond to incidents of political violence? The answer is stunning... Take a look at our comparison: frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/only-one-s...

The difference is staggering.

Can Germany ban the far-right AFD? I've taken a look at the facts, here are my findings: frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/can-german...

The WSJ upstaged me! They fabricated the Trump-Epstein story to draw attention away from my latest post, which already had like 10 views and would have certainly blown up if the crooks from the WSJ had not stolen the spotlight! frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/germany-ju...

Inflation rates are going up! The latest CPI report for June 2025 shows inflation at 2,7%. It’s the highest level seen since February of this year. Experts say that the impact of initial tariffs are finally starting push prices higher, with more yet to come. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/15/b...

🔴 What do you think has been Republican’s most successful election strategy over the past decades? Comment below ⬇️ (hint: it’s one they are still using…)

Wanna know what the winning strategy for Republicans looks like? It looks like racism... frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/the-winnin...

👉 Freedom Dies with Book Bans As Trump floods the news with crisis after crisis, we should not forget that Republicans are quietly banning history ⬇️ frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/freedom-di... #bookbans #trump

A lot of people on here are comparing Trump 2.0 to the Nazis. So I, as a German, felt compelled to take a close look at how America's democratic decay may look like. This seems urgent after the newest arrests frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/is-america...

“Where is the great march to Los Angeles, led by Barack Obama, with hundreds of thousands of Democrats saying enough is enough?” The Germans are worried about L.A. ⬇️ open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...

Our Poll results are here. Thank you all for participating. "Who do you want to lead Democrats in the Senate?" The answer is clear: Sen. Chris Murphy frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/poll-sen-c...

Joni "Well, we are all going to die" Ernst is probably the kind of person MAGA views as a "good christian"

The "TACO-trade" thing is the funniest and perhaps most memorable thing that Democrats and the media can use against Trump. It's catchy, easy to understand, and enrages Trump more than anything else TACO = Trump Always Chickens Out

Here's my own definition of MAGA: MAGA 1. A political movement disguised as patriotism, driven by misinformation, fear, and loyalty to a single figure rather than the Constitution. 2. A call to “Make America Great Again” by turning back progress, ignoring facts, and silencing dissent.

If you agree that American has no kings, add ❌👑 to your name!

Spoiler: They still support Trump It's the old "BUt I DiDn'T VOtE foR tHis" trope Yes, you did. You all did. You all voted for your friend Carol to get deported. Why? Either because you were misinformed or stupid, or both. Has to be one www.nytimes.com/2025/05/28/u... #Carol

👉 "More and more Americans are willing to accept violence in politics. What changed, and why is it Trump's fault?" Read the whole story here frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/something-...

Brazen, open corruption. Presidency for sale. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/27/u...

Trump pardons convicted tax cheat felon Paul Walczak after his mother donated >one million dollars www.nytimes.com/2025/05/27/u...

We heard about the outrageous pardon of Michele Fiore, the "Lady Trump," but Trump also pardoned Paul Walczak, a Florida health care exec whose mother tried to expose the contents of Ashley Biden’s diary. Walczak was convicted for tax crimes used to finance a lavish lifestyle, including a yacht.

Donald Trump just pardoned Paul Walczak, a Palm Beach Gardens health care executive convicted of tax evasion for siphoning more than $10.9 million in payroll taxes from the paychecks of doctors and nurses. Used it to buy a yacht.

✍️ EU and UK sign "BREXIT reset" deal 🇮🇱 Israel's allies rebuke Neanyahu 🎓 Harvard sues Trump administration & more Read all the news you've missed this week: frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/weekly-new...

I've heard Republicans are the new Anti-American party?

🚨 Donald Trump's tax bill was passed in Congress today The vote: 215 vs. 214 in favor Why couldn't Democrats stop the bill? Because their Representatives keep dying... open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...