INET Complexity Economics

inet.ox.ac.ukOpportunity Spaces and the Cost of Labor Reallocation in the United…Using a sample of displaced workers, 1984–2024, we estimate the earnings cost of task distance and use it to assign a price to the reallocation of labor…

Tomorrow's #ComplexityEconomics seminar will have Ljubica Nedelkoska from @csh.ac.at talking about Opportunity Spaces and the Cost of Labor Reallocation in the United States - 28 October at 2.30pm UTC online and in person www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/oppor...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford

@inetoxford.bsky.social

Job opportunity! Post Doctoral Research Associate in the Economics of Technological Change @inet-complexity.bsky.social Work with @francoislafond.bsky.social @doynefarmer.bsky.social @maxroser.bsky.social @oxmartinschool.bsky.social More info: www.inet.ox.ac.uk/vacancies

inet.ox.ac.ukVacanciesJobs and Vacancies at INET Oxford, The Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford

inet.ox.ac.ukToken taxes as a mechanism for reducing AI-driven power concentrationToken taxes – surcharges on model inference applied at the point of sale – are a promising contender for such a mechanism as they are more likely to be…

Our #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 21 October will see Lucas Irwin from @oxmartinschool.bsky.social's AI Governance Initiative presenting Token taxes as a mechanism for reducing AI-driven power concentration. Online/in person at 2.30pm UK time #AI #AIGovernance www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/token...

appgclimsec.ukinquiry — All-Party Parliamentary Group for Climate and Security

Congratulations to Valentina Antonaccio Guedes for having her evidence referenced in the All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) on Climate, Nature and Security Inquiry report. @inetoxford.bsky.social www.appgclimsec.uk/inquiry

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For many people living in areas exposed to growing climate risks, remaining in place is not necessarily a choice. Financial constraints, legal barriers, caring responsibilities, disability and limited access to information can all prevent people from moving to safety.

A lack of movement does not always signal resilience. It can be a warning sign of deepening vulnerability. This distinction matters for how we understand climate-related security risks and design early warning systems. Monitoring displacement alone is not enough.

appgclimsec.ukinquiry — All-Party Parliamentary Group for Climate and Security

Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford

Her contribution focused on an often-overlooked dimension of climate-related mobility: trapped populations. When we think about climate change and displacement, we often focus on those who move. But what about those who cannot?

INET Complexity Economics reposted

@inetoxford.bsky.social

Job opportunity! Post Doctoral Research Associate in Agent-Based Climate Macroeconomics @inet-complexity.bsky.social Work with @doynefarmer.bsky.social @drdonalbrown.bsky.social @ecioxford.bsky.social @smithschool.ox.ac.uk More info www.inet.ox.ac.uk/vacancies

inet.ox.ac.ukVacanciesJobs and Vacancies at INET Oxford, The Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford

Another new term, another series of #ComplexityEconomics seminars! We start with Lucas Irwin from the @oxmartinschool.bsky.social AI Governance Initiative presenting Token taxes as a mechanism for reducing AI-driven power concentration on 21 October www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/token...

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inet.ox.ac.ukMaking Statistics Work: Information Theory and Bayesian Statistical…Making Statistics Work presents a synthesis of information theory and Bayesian inference that addresses these fundamental problems. Foley, of Making…

Ellis Scharfenaker from the University of Utah will be discussing his book Making Statistics Work: Information Theory and Bayesian Statistical Inference on 11 November www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/makin...

inet.ox.ac.ukThe climate-sovereign doom loop: physical risk, fiscal space and…European governments face a widening gap between necessary climate adaptation investment and what their fiscal rules permit. Moving from the impacts of…

Finally, Karl Naumann-Woleske @wuvienna.bsky.social sky.social rounds off the term on 25 November with The climate-sovereign doom loop: physical risk, fiscal space and financial stability. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/the-c...

Next up we're delighted to host Ljubica Nedelkoska @csh.ac.at on Opportunity Spaces and the Cost of Labor Reallocation in the United States on 28 October www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/oppor...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

youtube.com682. Exploring Complexity: From Physics to Economics with J. Doyne FarmerYouTube video by unSILOed Podcast with Greg LaBlanc

15 Sept

My conversation wtih Greg Lablanc at the unSILOed podcast is now online. Among other things we dicuss why complexity science has not displaced mainstream economics and how we can better understand complex economic systems #Complexity www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekEJ...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

OxfordSmithSchool

@smithschool.ox.ac.uk

15 Sept

New working paper by #OxfordSmithSchool & @inetoxford.bsky.social finds that banks’ risk models assign lower credit risk to higher-emitting companies, raising questions about whether transition risks are fully reflected in these assessments. www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/news/low-emi...

smithschool.ox.ac.ukLow emission companies deemed higher credit risk by banking sector data models - Oxford analysisA new working paper by academics at the Oxford Smith School and INET finds that banks’ risk models assign lower credit risk to higher-emitting companies, raising questions about whether transition ris...

smithschool.ox.ac.ukOxford Smith School and Bank of America renew partnership to advance research on energy storage and future fuelsThe University of Oxford’s Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment and Bank of America today announced the renewal of their partnership. Now in its fourth year, the partnership supports new res...

20 Aug

@doynefarmer.bsky.social is leading new research focusing on two areas with major implications for the global economy: energy storage and the development of fuels for sectors that are difficult to electrify @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/news/oxford-...

transitiontimes.netNN#7: A New Climate CatechismIt’s time for energy and climate modelers to start trying to tell the world what’s likely to happen, and show them how to phase out fossil fuels completely.

23 July

Time for energy and climate modelers to start trying to tell the world what’s likely to happen and show them how to phase out fossil fuels completely. @chrisnelder.bsky.social highlights why our work is important @doynefarmer.bsky.social @smithschool.ox.ac.uk www.transitiontimes.net/nn-7-a-new-c...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Conference on Complex Systems

@css-conference.bsky.social

8 June

You just realize #CCS2026 is taking place in four months? You can still be a part of it! From computational social science to animal behavior, take a look at the satellite events we have lined up. You can still submit a contribution to any of them! 🛰️ ccs26.cssociety.org/program.html

ccs26.cssociety.orgCCS 2026: The 2026 Conference on Complex Systems @ Binghamton, NY, USA

youtu.be'Cities all the way down: a new geographical framework for development'YouTube video by Oxford Martin School

16 June

Worried that you missed Luís Bettencourt's talk 'Cities all the way down: a new geographical framework for development' at @oxmartinschool.bsky.social last week? Don't worry - you can watch it on YouTube! youtu.be/0Tes4Hhh4N4

cmsr.rutgers.eduDoyne Farmer – Quantitative complexity economics: A revolution in the makingCenter for Mathematical Sciences Research, The School of Arts and Sciences, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey

15 June

Coming up on Wednesday 17th - @doynefarmer.bsky.social will be presenting Quantitative complexity economics: A revolution in the making @rutgersuniversity.bsky.social #Complexity #EconSky cmsr.rutgers.edu/news-events-...

inet.ox.ac.ukAgents and Decisions: Exposure, learning and conditional choices in…In this talk, Luis Bettencourt will discuss several recent empirical results on decisions and sorting mechanisms in complex urban environments. In all…

2 June

In our final #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 12 June, @oxmartinschool.bsky.social Visiting Fellow Luis Bettencourt will discuss several recent empirical results on decisions and sorting mechanisms in complex urban environments @oxfordgeography.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/agent...

oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk'Cities all the way down: a new geographical framework for…REGISTRATION To register to attend in-person at the Oxford Martin School, please scroll down to the registration form at the bottom of the page To…

2 June

And if you want more Luis, you can also sign up for his @oxmartinschool.bsky.social talk on 10 June Cities all the way down: a new geographical framework for development www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/events/frame...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

sustainability.uzh.chGreening Growth, Carbon Pricing, Carbon Dioxide Removal

22 May

Join me on May 29 for the concluding session of the Beyond Carbon UZH lecture series: Greening Growth, Carbon Pricing, Carbon Dioxide Removal. I'll be in discussion with Ottmar Edenhofer @pik-potsdam.bsky.social @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.sustainability.uzh.ch/en/research-...

inet.ox.ac.ukModelling global trade with optimal transportGlobal trade is shaped by a complex mix of factors beyond supply and demand, including tangible variables like transport costs and tariffs, as well as…

21 May

In our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 27 May, we're delighted to have Güven Demirel from @qmul.bsky.social here (and online) to talk about modelling global trade with optimal transport #EconSky @inetoxford.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/model...

taylorfrancis.comFinancial Instability and Systemic Risk | From the Global Financial CrThe Global Financial Crisis revealed that systemic fragility arises not only from identifiable risks but also from systemic uncertainty – the endogenous and

13 May

Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa's book discusses how the Global Financial Crisis revealed that systemic fragility arises not only from identifiable risks but also from systemic uncertainty. And why this challenge is still a pressing issue. Free to download: www.taylorfrancis.com/books/oa-mon...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

11 May

I'm looking forward to Luis Bettencourt (University of Chicago) visiting us @inetoxford.bsky.social next month - and especially to introducing when he gives a lecture on a new geographical framework for development @oxmartinschool.bsky.social www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/events/frame...

inet.ox.ac.ukRethinking economics by understanding supply chain networks and their…New supply chain data allows us to literally observe how the economy works. Supply chain networks are highly dynamic and reconfigure at remarkable rates.…

11 May

Reminder: in our #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 13 May, Stefan Thurner from @csh.ac.at will explain how new supply chain data allows us to literally observe how the economy works #EconSky @oxfordgeography.bsky.social @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/rethi...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Andrea Bacilieri

@abacilieri.bsky.social

5 May

Many studies on national supply chains: It’s time to take stock! 1st to use rare admin data to establish a benchmark 🧵 🔗Paper tinyurl.com/3wf77bkw 🔥Code tinyurl.com/v9c63cub @francoislafond.bsky.social A Borsos M Hoefer @pastudillo.bsky.social @inet-complexity.bsky.social @inetoxford.bsky.social

tinyurl.comFirm-level production networks: What do we (really) know?Are standard production network properties similar across all available datasets, and if not, why? We provide benchmark results from two administrativ…

inet.ox.ac.ukCarbon pricing drives critical transition to green growthThere exists a critical carbon price beyond which energy producers suddenly switch fuels, emissions drop sharply, and (under the right redistribution) the…

1 May

Is there necessarily a tradeoff between growth, inequality, and sustainability? Isaak Mengasha will discuss this while examining how #CarbonPricing drives critical transition to green growth in the #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 6 May www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/carbo... @oxfordgeography.bsky.social

inet.ox.ac.ukDeciphering the global production network from cross-border firm…European industrial nations and China dominate critical intermediate products such as metals, common components and tools, while industrial complexity is…

28 Apr

Seminar reminder: Critical for policy-making and business operations, the study of global supply chains has been severely hampered by a lack of detailed data. Neave O'Clery uses cross-border firm transactions to decipher the global production network 📅29 April www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/decip...

We're happy to announce our final Complexity Economics seminars for this academic year (all online as well as in person). We start on 29 April with Neave O'Clery @casaucl.bsky.social on Deciphering the global production network from cross-border firm transactions. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/decip...

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We are delighted to host Stefan Thurner from @csh.ac.at on 13 May. He will look at rethinking economics by understanding supply chain networks and their dynamics. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/rethi...

We wrap up the series on 29 May with @qmul.bsky.social Güven Demirel on Modelling global trade with optimal transport. Examining impacts of the war in Ukraine, trade disputes with China, and Brexit, he'll show hidden patterns that trade volumes alone cannot reveal. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/model...

Next up on 6 May, Isaak Mengesha will show how #CarbonPricing drives critical transition to green growth. The findings raise a pointed question for policymakers: Is there necessarily a tradeoff between growth, inequality, and sustainability? www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/carbo...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford

15 Apr

Which technologies are likely to make advances? Which ones might develop so fast that they pose risks to humanity? How quickly will new technologies to be deployed? I'm looking for answers with @francoislafond.bsky.social @maxroser.bsky.social in our new program on forecasting technological change

Oxford Martin School@oxmartinschool.bsky.social

Which technologies will advance and are investment worthy? 📈 The Oxford Martin Programme on Forecasting Technological Change seeks to answer this question, and will create a new technological progress database, hosted by @ourworldindata.org. 🔗 Read more: www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/forecasting-...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

@inetoxford.bsky.social

13 Apr

Published in Quantitative Finance ➤ Social contagion and asset prices: Reddit's self-organised bull runs Valentina Semenova & Julian Winkler @inet-complexity.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications...

inet.ox.ac.ukSocial contagion and asset prices: Reddit's self-organised bull runsIn recent years, online discussion platforms have amplified the impact of social forces on financial markets. This paper uses text data from Reddit's…

inet.ox.ac.ukBook Talk: The Infinite AlphabetThis event is co-organised by The TIDE Centre We all understand that knowledge shapes the fate of business and the growth of nations, but few of us are…

There's still time to sign up for this afternoon's seminar with @cesifoti.bsky.social (online or in person)

INET Complexity Economics@inet-complexity.bsky.social

In our final #ComplexityEconomics seminar of the term on 11 March, we're delighted to welcome @cesifoti.bsky.social to talk about The Infinite Alphabet, exploring the many principles that govern how knowledge grows, moves and decays. @tidecentre.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/the-i...

en.ara.catJ. Doyne Farmer, physicist: "I like doing things that people think are impossible"The scientist argues that we cannot predict the future, but we can create better economic models through physics.

"I like doing things that people think are impossible" - Doyne Farmer's interview in ARA now available to read (in Spanish and Catalan as well as English) en.ara.cat/science-tech...

ara.catJ. Doyne Farmer, físic: "M'agrada fer coses que la gent pensa que són impossibles"El científic defensa que no podem predir el futur però sí crear, a través de la física, millors models econòmics

J. Doyne Farmer, físic: "M'agrada fer coses que la gent pensa que són impossibles" www.ara.cat/ciencia-medi...

es.ara.catJ. Doyne Farmer, físico: "Me gusta hacer cosas que la gente piensa que son imposibles"El científico defiende que no podemos predecir el futuro pero sí crear, a través de la física, mejores modelos económicos

J. Doyne Farmer, físico: "Me gusta hacer cosas que la gente piensa que son imposibles" es.ara.cat/ciencia-tecn...

inet.ox.ac.ukBook Talk: The Infinite AlphabetThis event is co-organised by The TIDE Centre We all understand that knowledge shapes the fate of business and the growth of nations, but few of us are…

6 Mar

INET Complexity Economics reposted

ecb.europa.euecb.europa.eu

5 Mar

Now available online: Liquidity Spirals - new working paper co-authored with Garbrand Wiesema @ecb.europa.eu and Esti Kemp (IMF) investigates how the (pecking) order in which institutions liquidate assets in response to shocks affects financial stability. www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpw...

inet.ox.ac.ukCutting Edge Climate Macroeconomics: Reflections from PisaTom Youngman, Research Project Manager for Macroeconomics of the Seventh Carbon Budget, reflects on the three-day workshop, 'Macroeconomic Implications of…

5 Mar

Tom Youngman and @pirta-palola.bsky.social were in Pisa last week presenting our work on a macroeconomic model to assess the impacts of the UK’s #CarbonBudgets at the Workshop on Climate Macroeconomic Pluralism. Tom shared his thoughts on the workshop: www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/reflect...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Complexity Science Hub

@csh.ac.at

5 Mar

We're hiring! Global shocks – wars, pandemics, climate extremes – don't just disrupt supply chains. They reshape societies. We're looking for a Postdoc to help us model exactly that, using ABM and complexity science. 3-year funded position in Vienna. Apply by April 1, 2026 👉 csh.ac.at/engage/jobs/

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Complexity Science Hub

@csh.ac.at

3 Mar

📢 We’re hiring! The Complexity Science Hub is opening 2–3 Postdoc positions in our #CSHPostDocProgram. 🌟 1 year funding to build your own research agenda 🎯 Training in leadership, science communication & more 🎡 Vibrant community in one of the world’s most liveable cities csh.ac.at/education/po...

standard.co.ukThe economist trying to save the planet with his own crystal ballNo one can predict the future... yet. Will Rogers-Coltman speaks to Professor Doyne Farmer about his lofty aims to build the world’s first super-simulator

2 Mar

The economist trying to save the planet with his own crystal ball: read @doynefarmer.bsky.social's interview in The Standard #ComplexityEconomics #EnergyTransition @smithschool.ox.ac.uk @inetoxford.bsky.social www.standard.co.uk/lifestyle/ec...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Oxford Martin School

@oxmartinschool.bsky.social

24 Feb

Are we measuring economic progress the right way? INET Oxford founder @ericbeinhocker.bsky.social and entrepreneur and philanthropist @nickhanauer.bsky.social argue it's time for a new approach. Learn more on Thursday 5 March 👇 https://tinyurl.com/23djt3m2 @inetoxford.bsky.social

INET Complexity Economics reposted

museuciencies.cat Teoria del caos: el món és predictible? | Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona

24 Feb

This Thursday I'll be at @museuciencies.cat discussing chaos theory, time and its implications with @evamirandag.bsky.social and @ricardsole.bsky.social. Looking forward to it! museuciencies.cat/activitats/2...

inet.ox.ac.ukMiracle or Myth? The macroeconomic productivity gains from AI across…The presentation will focus on the expected macroeconomic productivity gains from Artificial Intelligence (AI) over a 10-year horizon in OECD and G20…

26 Feb

In our next #ComplexityEconomics seminar on 4 March @oecd-ocde.bsky.social's Peter Gal will be talking about the macroeconomic productivity gains from AI across the globe. Online and in person www.inet.ox.ac.uk/events/mirac...

INET Complexity Economics reposted

Ricard Solé

@ricardsole.bsky.social

14 Feb

Podem predir el futur mitjançant les matemàtiques? Què ens diu la teoria del caos? Quins són els límits de la nostra capacitat de predir la complexitat? Parlarem amb Doyne Farmer, un dels pares de la teoria, i amb la matemàtica Eva Miranda @evamirandag.bsky.social museuciencies.cat/activitats/2...