Jason Doctor

Boomers spent their peak earning years demanding lower income taxes now spending retirement years demanding no property taxes — that puts a very large burden on the income-earning generation squeezed between their kids and declining parents.

It's amazing how much time and money people can save when a government agency decides to consolidate two applications that go to two desks in the same building into one application that goes to both desks at once.

#nordicmaxxing in Seattle

Choo choo!

The Matisse smoothing algorithm

But if you power pose while reading a disfluent it is a game changer.

Nature meta-research project puts claims in social-science paper to the test. Refs in last post I'm interested in Econ and Psych so I focused on that: Econ had about the same rate of "not reproducible" analyses as Psych and a worse rate then Political Science.

It's hard to look at things like this and not see a country headed toward some form of collapse.

I am excited to read Jennifer’s new book.

🚨New Paper🚨: We find that US adults visit self-storage after a negative life event. ~8.9% used self-storage in the past year & 1 in 4 of these report a life disruption (e.g., divorce, eviction) led to use. Missed opportunity for mental health outreach. doi.org/10.1016/j.ws...

On February 7, 1784, after eight months of activity, the Laki eruption finally came to an end. From a system of 135 fissures and volcanic craters, an estimated 14 km³ of lava poured out, enough to cover the surrounding landscape beneath a100-meter thick lava layer...

NEW: Rx Inspector, our free, searchable tool, allows you to look up where your generic prescription drug was made. From patients and doctors to researchers, it is already reshaping how people make decisions. “This is a godsend,” one professor told us.

Third-year post doc.

"are you enjoying duo mobile" does a hamburger enjoy being made of quarks. does a fish enjoy linear time. does the mountain enjoy the first taste of a cup of hot chocolate when you get back to the ski lodge. your question means nothing to me. i couldn't enjoy duo mobile even if i tried

A remarkable finding that the opioid epidemic damage trust in Democrat politics and resulted in increased Republican vote share.

Just let me use one more p value then I promise I will stop.

People who have more complex social identities view political identity as a less reliable source of information about others. Therefore they rely less on group-based stereotypes when judging outgroup members. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022103125000915

Clicked "See All" on Concur but sadly did not become omniscient.

Both 2FA and accepting cookies all day. I predict in 2035 there will be a third thing.

Sure QJE has a fabricated data scandal. But once again, they claim this is somehow new, when a few psychologists had been doing this for years.

LLMs seem like the human experience of reading aloud when it is going extremely well, as if, to the listener, you could look away from the book and continue reading all the same. Musicians call this "reading ahead". It is predicting the next letter, word, tone, mood from what came before.

Reading aloud improves comprehension. In this case, that means reduced confusion and differential response to risk vs mirrors. files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/EJ8...

I’ll use this as an opportunity to promote a second independent non-replication. bsky.app/profile/geow...

Sending my accountant a long philosophical stream-of-consciousness email a few days before the tax deadline.

Live picture of Trump showing his cross-modality matching tariff results where he was asked to adjust the brightness of a light and loudness of a pure tone to generate power functions that would set the tariffs.

this guy should call his senator tbh

When I was in grad school in the 90's the rule of thumb from twin studies was that the heritability of everything was ~50%. It turns out that twin studies are highly confounded, & after unconfounding w/ new genome-based methods (Family-GWAS), the median heritability of behavioral phenotypes is ~5% 🧪

Sure it's a 1/1000 chance. But, the real question is "What’s the probability of such a bad trading day, given that the economy is actively being destroyed by someone.” Then it is more like 9/10. #ForeverBayesian

Mutiny is totally a thing pirates do. Can we blame him? www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...

Dolphins greeting astronauts—a beautiful planet

social scientists should be smart enough not to see broad trends in observational data and conclude it's due to their pet theory BUT ALAS I GUESS

Now you can read a short version of our comment on the AER paper, "Decisions under Risk Are Decisions under Complexity" on Data Colada. ... or the long version: bsky.app/profile/geow... ... or a follow-up (just posted yesterday): bsky.app/profile/geow... Bonus points for reading all 3.

Twitter is so creepy and weird now.

His past drug use does not disqualify him, but his “lived experience” doesn’t speak to the experiences of those who died or otherwise didn’t make it out of that hole.

minus the free homestead

Exciting hockey! Like '80 Olympics. But, I worry this time Russia will win.

ya think?

Public comment genuinely matters. Courts will overturn rules based on an administration not responding to substantive comments.

lol

"naughty naughts"

This is a bombshell announcement. Administrative and report burden NIH grants are far greater at NIH than at foundations and foundations do not have a salary cap, while NIH does.

A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN. The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper. The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

🚨 Oprea (2024 AER) argued that prospect theory choice anomalies were not due to risk, but due to complexity-driven mistakes. But this new analysis convinces me that Oprea (2024) is substantially wrong. In my opinion, the paper should be retracted.