John Sides

John Sides

@johnsides.bsky.social

Professor of Political Science, Vanderbilt University - https://johnsides.org/ Publisher of Good Authority - https://goodauthority.org/

9.2K followers403 following151 posts

John Sides reposted

James Downie
@jamescdownie.bsky.social

Bah gawd that's Mitt Romney's music! (from @johnsides.bsky.social and Lynn Vavreck's "The Gamble)

Kevin@reginageorgebush.bsky.social

from AdImpact, a nice chart of how Republicans' reliance on super PACs to fund their TV ad campaigns is heavily blunting the impact of their massive spending advantage, because FCC rules actually *require* stations to price-gouge the shit out of super PACs

John Sides reposted

Christopher Clary
@claryc.bsky.social

I think readers interested in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and US policy toward the region will want to stick around to the end of this conversation with Asfandyar Mir.

Good Authority@goodauth.bsky.social

Pakistan is waging its own war in Afghanistan. @claryc.bsky.social and Asfandyar Mir discuss how these former allies are now in open conflict – and why this might escalate further. Read: goodauthority.org/news/pakista...

goodauthority.orgPakistan is waging its own war in AfghanistanPakistan is waging its own war in Afghanistan. Christopher Clary and Asfandyar Mir discuss how these former allies are now in open conflict – and why this might escalate further.

John Sides reposted

Colette
@csmarcellin.bsky.social

Excited to share that Cindy Kam’s and my article is published online! We examine item refusal pre- and post-Dobbs and find a significant increase in women’s refusal to disclose their pregnancy status after the decision, with concerning implications for research, policy, and women’s health.

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ@poqjournal.bsky.social

Did Dobbs have a chilling effect on survey responses? In POQ, Kam & Marcellin find that women were less willing to disclose their pregnancy status in the nation's premier health survey (BRFSS), on the heels of the Dobbs decision. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

John Sides reposted

Good Authority
@goodauth.bsky.social

Women in Congress are wealthier than men in Congress. A new article looks at nearly 40 years of financial disclosures from members of Congress. See the data in the latest article from @johnsides.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/women-i...

goodauthority.orgWomen in Congress are wealthier than men in CongressWomen in Congress are wealthier than men in Congress. A new article looks at nearly 40 years of financial disclosures from members of Congress.

John Sides reposted

Good Authority
@goodauth.bsky.social

Fewer people think the American dream is alive – but they disagree on why. A new book argues that politics influences how we explain inequality. Read the latest from @johnsides.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/fewer-p...

goodauthority.orgFewer people think the American dream is alive – but they disagree on whyFewer people think the American dream is alive – but they disagree on why. A new book argues that politics influences how we explain inequality.

John Sides reposted

Christopher Clary
@claryc.bsky.social

Happy to listen and learn from Brian Greenhill on Trump's withdrawal from dozens of international organizations last week, @goodauth.bsky.social . Part of what Brian calls the liberal international order's "moment of crisis." goodauthority.org/news/trump-p...

goodauthority.orgTrump plans to pull the U.S. out of dozens of organizationsTrump plans to pull the U.S. out of dozens of organizations. Brian Greenhill discusses the impact of this move – and how Americans see international organizations.

John Sides reposted

Heather Sullivan
@hsulli.bsky.social

The admin is proposing indefinite control of Venezuelan oil, but evidence suggests that Venezuelan cooperation will only extend as far as it‘s coerced - and can’t extend past what the crumbing infrastructure can generate. Meanwhile ordinary Venezuelans continue to suffer. @goodauth.bsky.social

Good Authority@goodauth.bsky.social

Restoring the oil sector – and securing friendlier relations – may prove equally difficult. Here's what to expect in Venezuela, after Maduro. Read from @hsulli.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/what-to...

goodauthority.orgWhat to expect in Venezuela, after MaduroWhat to expect in Venezuela, after Maduro. Restoring the oil sector – and securing friendlier relations – may prove equally difficult.

John Sides reposted

Elizabeth N. Saunders
@profsaunders.bsky.social

Some thoughts on what Trump has done in Venezuela and what it might mean for US national security. Caveat: not a Latin America scholar so this is focused on US policy. Clearly huge consequences for Venezuela that others can address. First, despite the buildup, I didn't think Trump would do it. 1/

John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

I'm chairing the APSA Carey McWilliams Prize Committee. This prize goes to someone who has made "a major journalistic contribution to our understanding of politics." More information is here: apsanet.org/programs/aps... We would be grateful for people to submit nominations!

apsanet.orgCarey McWilliams Award - American Political Science Association (APSA)Carey McWilliams Award Carey McWilliams Award Nominations now open. The McWilliams Award honors a major journalistic contribution to our understanding of
John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

Under Biden, there was no thermostatic shift in public opinion about the size of government. The public stayed relatively liberal. Take attitudes toward the government's role in health care:

John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

Imagine asking people two questions -- whether each of these is a good or bad way to run a govt: 1) having a democratic political system 2) having a strong leader who does not have to bother with parliament and elections What percent says *both* are good? 44%!

John Sides reposted

Phil Klinkner
@pklinkne.bsky.social

Just like in his 1st term, Trump is going to hover around 40% approval. As @johnsides.bsky.social et al point out in their 2020 election book, Trump always sides with his base rather than choose policies with broader appeal. When you only aim to satisfy 40% of the population, you get 40% approval.

YouGov America@today.yougov.com

NEW Economist/YouGov Jul 25-28 % who approve | disapprove of Trump U.S. adult citizens 40% | 55% (-15) Last week 41% | 55% Start of term 49% | 43% Democrats 6% | 91% Independents 29% | 62% Republicans 86% | 12% Men 44% | 51% Women 37% | 59% d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...

John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

I worked with E.J. for many years and highly recommend her for any academic looking to polish their writing and reach a larger audience!

E.J. Graff@ejgraff.bsky.social

Academics & researchers: Is this your summer for finishing your book or publishing that oped? Get in touch! I've got time opening up in my editorial coaching schedule. We will have fun AND will get that piece polished & published. www.linkedin.com/in/ejgraff/

linkedin.comlinkedin.com
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John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

People also appear to raise the out-party less favorably than "out-partisans" (i.e., Ds rate the "Republican Party" less favorably than "Republicans"). Suggests that "the party" calls to mind party leaders and activists not just ordinary folks, as some research has suggested.

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John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

Methodological point: you have to separate the later ANES studies by survey mode, because out-party feelings are cooler in the self-completed mode than in face-to-face or phone interviews. If you don't, you're conflating changes over time with changes in mode (and I've seen some people do this).

John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

Once you separate by mode, you get the expected finding: people express less favorable views of the out-party when they complete the survey themselves. Raises the possibility that the ANES was underestimating affective polarization because it used only face-to-face interviews for many years!

John Sides
@johnsides.bsky.social

In general, in-party feelings are stable. Perhaps they were higher in the 1960s, although the change the object being evaluated (e.g., from "Democrats" to "Democratic Party") makes it harder to compare. But as we've known, out-party feelings have become cooler. 2024 only continued the trend.