Joni Askola

Joni Askola

@joniaskola.bsky.social

Finnish geopolitical analyst. PhD. Trying to help Ukraine with the 69th Sniffing Brigade https://buymeacoffee.com/joni_askola

30.1K followers572 following17K posts

These cruise missiles will help Ukraine a lot

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

Cheap air-launched cruise missiles from the ERAM program, launched by Biden and funded by Europe, should start arriving in Ukraine soon. Will Trump dare delay or block them?

Ukraine must hold maximalist demands and avoid Russia’s classic trap: making outrageous demands while refusing to compromise, forcing the other side to make concessions and give Russia more than it deserves. Russia doesn’t deserve to get anything

Trump's willingness to enter a trilateral summit with Putin and Xi plays right into Moscow's core geopolitical fantasy: a Yalta 2.0 where great powers carve the globe into spheres of influence. Symbolically, it would be a huge victory for the Kremlin

While Trump's failed foreign policy and tariffs made life far more expensive for Americans, he managed to double his own net worth over the last 2 years

Trump's only true ideologies are grifting and imperialism. He will always try to make money for himself and always side with imperialists. Everything else is negotiable and always ends in failure

Cheap air-launched cruise missiles from the ERAM program, launched by Biden and funded by Europe, should start arriving in Ukraine soon. Will Trump dare delay or block them?

Trump’s support clearly doesn’t help anyone in elections

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

Serbia finally got rid of Vučić, just like Hungary got rid of Orbán a few months ago. It's always encouraging to see, especially as both were supported by both the Kremlin and the White House, and still lost pathetically

Germany should send Taurus cruise missiles to Ukraine now!

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

Storm Shadow missiles have been extremely effective for Ukraine, despite the limited supply. It is not too late for Germany to send Taurus missiles to Ukraine

Russia could easily stop the war it started

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

For anyone claiming to care about human life, the solution is simple: Russia, which started this unprovoked war, stops fighting and withdraws to its borders. The killing would end immediately

Not a good system

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

Oligarchy is dangerous because figures like Trump, Musk, and Thiel constantly put their personal and business interests ahead of the country. They have no problem betraying American interests when it benefits them

Everything about Trump is a scam. That includes DOGE

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

Worth remembering: Trump has been US president for just over 2% of American history, but added nearly 30% of the national debt. That’s who Elon "DOGE" Musk is funding and supporting. They never cared about the public debt

Serbia finally got rid of Vučić, just like Hungary got rid of Orbán a few months ago. It's always encouraging to see, especially as both were supported by both the Kremlin and the White House, and still lost pathetically

Storm Shadow missiles have been extremely effective for Ukraine, despite the limited supply. It is not too late for Germany to send Taurus missiles to Ukraine

For anyone claiming to care about human life, the solution is simple: Russia, which started this unprovoked war, stops fighting and withdraws to its borders. The killing would end immediately

Oligarchy is dangerous because figures like Trump, Musk, and Thiel constantly put their personal and business interests ahead of the country. They have no problem betraying American interests when it benefits them

We are further from peace in Ukraine today than when Trump started negotiating, because he has refused to pressure Moscow and destroyed almost all the leverage he had

Worth remembering: Trump has been US president for just over 2% of American history, but added nearly 30% of the national debt. That’s who Elon "DOGE" Musk is funding and supporting. They never cared about the public debt

Trump’s failure in Iran and inability to end Russia’s war on Ukraine show that US hegemony has already ended. He has played a major role in ending it

Since Tucker Carlson acts as a sort of Kremlin spokesperson for Western audiences, these nuclear threats are just the usual posturing. What is really fascinating is how this kind of rhetoric shows just how badly the war is actually going for Russia

Trump and Musk have really hurt the credibility of the United States

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

One thing is extremely clear: European security cannot depend on the moods of Donald Trump and Elon Musk

Ukrainians know that ceding the rest of the Donbas to Russia would be Ukraine’s Sudetenland moment: surrendering over a decade of fortified defenses for a temporary illusion of peace. Russia cannot be trusted and would only use the opportunity to advance further

Putin claims this war is existential to his reign just to keep fighting, but it's a lie. Polls show that Russians would be relieved if he ended the war

This war is existential for Ukraine, but it is not existential for Russia or even for Putin’s reign, despite his efforts to convince the world otherwise to justify continuing it

Great news that starlink is back. This episode will serve as a vital warning for Ukraine and the rest of Europe to accelerate the development of alternatives

Musk thinks that he can hide his own incentives by lying about other people’s incentives

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

Speaking of elite incentives: Elon Musk wants Russia to divide and weaken Europe so we can't regulate his businesses and political interference. He also wants to do more business with Russia and China, which is why he wants the war to end fast in a Russian victory

You can always asked them what happened between 1939 and 1941

Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social

Russia never talks about 1939–1941 because it was allied with Nazi Germany, and would have stayed allied even longer had Hitler not betrayed them