The Stockologist

A trading tip that's made me a LOT of money. Gift for my Bluesky peeps. Confirm w/price 📈 RSI 14>50 in an Uptrend=strong move Dips that stay above RSI 50=bullish consolidation=buy 📉 RSI 14<50 in a Downtrend=selling pressure Rallies that fail to break above RSI 50=dead cat bounce=sell/short

Stock market definitely pricing in another rate hike this year. Once funds dump stocks for bonds, watch out.

finance.yahoo.com/economy/arti...

Trump doing all he can to rig the mid-terms, including pressure on Walsh to not raise interest rates which will lower stocks. If he doesn't, it'll show where his loyalties lie.

finance.yahoo.com/economy/poli...

Possible double/triple-top formation, not confirmed. #SP500

Mail-in ballots are major issue for Trump because mail-in ballots are processed separately, usually at a central election office, using central-count high-speed scanners/tabulators. The count is near impossible to hack. And Democrats use mail-in ballots more than Republicans. Almost 3 to 1.

The stockmarket is massively propped up by bond buybacks. They can't have inflation, super high food and gas prices, AND a falling stock market during mid-terms. BTC is momentarily above the 200MA and close to the theoretic halving bottom in a month.

4 months later and nothing has changed. Nothing will change unless Trump is removed or Iran gets its toll. Three more years? How high will inflation go? www.reuters.com/world/middle...

Reuters reports that markets are currently assigning roughly a 44% probability of a September rate hike, with next week's CPI potentially being a major catalyst. CPI, 10-year treasury, high yield spreads to watch. www.reuters.com/business/wal...

History: The S&P 500 tends to drop sharply during midterm election years, and the bottom usually comes in August.

And yet... still nothing has changed. Only the reporting. Same same, just different versions of the same thing.

Just wait until the lock up period ends for SpaceX IPO.

Nothing has changed in the Straight of Hormuz... and nothing will.

Musk is dictating valuation, investments, etc. Don't expect it to be profitable anytime soon, but that doesn't mean the stock won't move from fanatics. www.reuters.com/legal/transa...

Overbought. We might see 7,000 again.

If you forego the unethical reasons and corruption, this is as close as you can get for a sure thing portfolio to follow. unusualwhales.com/politics/pro...

I agree with most of his theories. Be prepared for what's to come. www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTJG...

Worth repeating. Inflation is skyrocketing, but dip buyers will be dip buyers.

If you believe anything this admin says on Iran and the Straight of Hormuz... then I have a bridge for sale.

If Hormuz hinges on enriched uranium, it's unlikely Iran gives that up.

So now the US is blocking the Strait of Hormuz... not Iran.

Stock market is showing a cup and handle formation, which could shoot to 7000... if and only if the ceasefire holds. The rally is getting ahead of reality, but you play where the ball lies.

I will repeat what I said 4 days ago. The Straight of Hormuz will be closed indefinitely... until Trump is removed or Iran gets its toll.

Doesn't a ceasefire require countries to stop firing missiles? #whatceasefire

Trump and the administration are committing blatant war crimes in Iran. Not even hiding it anymore. The Straight of Hormuz will be closed indefinitely. Inflation will continue to skyrocket. Take your profits. Ground invasion coming. 12 generals have already been fired for refusing the suicide op.

6100 for SP500 is the next major support.

These are straight up lies. No negotiations. No deals. No leverage to end. Iran won this war on day three when $4million interceptors x 5 couldn't intercept $40k drone bombs. Key to watch is if other countries start paying in yuan. We are at an inflection point.

Stock market jumping on fake plans for Iran. Iran dictates the terms, not Trump. There will be no "deal". It's a lie as thousands of ground troops are ready to invade for a suicide mission.

High Yield spreads are blowing out toward 470bps while the S&P sits 6% off its highs and has broken its 200-day moving average. Credit markets are screaming stress. Today's relief rally is noise, not a fix.

The bounce today was predicted. But this will be short-lived. There is no off-ramp. Iran is dictating this war and when it ends, not Trump.

The US is at a critical tipping point. If the rest of the world decides to switch to the yuan to get shipments through in the next few weeks, the US dollar collapses. Countries dump US bonds, US experiences hyperinflation as it prints money. US dollar is no longer the world currency.

SP500 below the 200MA for daily. It should bounce up Monday unless we get some more bad news over the weekend. It is oversold.

Iran war is a disaster. It would be wise to take some profits and get back in when we fall further.

Oh man, the hit at Ras Laffan has taken almost 20% of output (i.e. roughly 3% of global LNG volumes) offline for *3-5 years*.

9 day MA is now resistance for the SP500.

All signs point to this war dragging on a while. No plan. No off-ramp. No thought behind it. Stockmarket on the down trend. MACD crossed below, RSI below 50... dip buyers will come in again until they don't. 6600 is the key support.

stock futures price is at the 200MA. Wow!

Brent Crude Oil $116.01 now

We hit the catalyst for the down trend. #Trump

the president has no idea what he has set in motion. none. www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

There's not enough munitions or even raw earth materials to make it. If China delayed anything right now, US is in deep deep...hole.

Stock market has fallen to the 100 MA support. Lots of support here. But if it breaks, 6600. 3rd time touching the 100MA in Feb.

Okay my read: since the court struck down the tariffs as unlawful from the start, it's refund time. Jurisdiction will be US Court of International Trade, they'll have to unpack it. But there should be refunds coming. Looks like a complete repudiation of IEEPA-based tariffs and total loss for Trump.

The 9MA and 20MA are now resistance for the stock market. High-yield spread has been widening since the end of January. Warning signs.

Stock market is treading water waiting for its next catalyst. Tariff ruling, NVDA earnings. Iran war, Fed cuts, etc could lead to major swings.

Key support area to watch for the stock market is the 100 MA. Lots of volume. If it breaks, you can see Nov. 2025 levels.

After reading about Epstein and Hollywood with adrenochrome, I’ll never look at Monsters Inc the same.

Epstein funding the development of $BTC and creating Satoshi is one I didn’t expect, but doesn’t surprise me. Epstein files will go down in world history as the most evil thats ever happened.

$BTC oversold so you might see a little bounce, but overall trend is still downward. #SP500 continues on its very slow downward trend, but dip buying has occurred every single time so far.

Xi Jinping called for the yuan to become a global reserve currency in a speech excerpt published Jan 31, 2026, per sources like SCMP and others. He emphasized building a "strong currency" for international use.