Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️

🚨 BREAKING ꟾ Anti-Zionist Greens have won a majority of seats on the Party rules committee. Standing Orders Committee (SOC) interprets party rules. With Greens for Palestine controlling SOC, we can be confident that "Zionism is Racism" will remain policy. (Via @TheGreenParty)

My take on "Zionism is Racism" 👇

🗳️ Holborn and St Pancras by-election: ꟷ SfL forecast ꟷ 🔴 Lab: 42% ( -7 ) 🟢 Grn: 29% ( +19 ) ꟷ Final result ꟷ 🔴 Lab: 45% ( -4 ) 🟢 Grn: 33% ( +22 ) My forecast suggested Labour would win by 12.5pts. They ended up winning by 12.4pts. +/- vs GE2024

🚨 BREAKING: The Green Party has voted to support the abolition of Israel, and to replace it with a single Palestinian state. The motion, passed by members at its conference, declares that "Zionism is racism" and commits the party to opposing the existence of Israel full stop.

🚨 BREAKING: The Green Party has voted to support the abolition of Israel, and to replace it with a single Palestinian state. The motion, passed by members at its conference, declares that "Zionism is racism" and commits the party to opposing the existence of Israel full stop.

🗳️ Holborn and St Pancras projected result: 🔴 LAB: 39% (-10) 🟢 GRN: 32% (+22) 🔵 CON: 10% (+3) ➡️ REF: 9% (+3) 🟠 LIB: 7% (+1) ⚪️ OTH: 3% (-18) Labour HOLD (16% swing to Green) +/- vs GE2024

So far 20 people have written to their Green Party Council (GPC) rep calling for a suspension review! Link: tinyurl.com/LobbyGPC GPC can call emergency meetings to review suspensions whenever it wishes. The meeting that suspended me was called with less than 24hrs notice.

This is why Stats for Lefties has died btw. The unjust suspension and smear campaign has caused a severe decline in my physical health (I have ME/CFS) due to the stress and anxiety inflicted on me by the party. I can't do this anymore. The longer it goes on the sicker I get.

I want to make it very clear that I remain a dedicated supporter of the Green Party, and fully support Zack Polanski in his campaign to be elected MP for Holborn & St Pancras The Greens remain the best vehicle for left politics in this country, and I support its leader and values without hesitation

Here is my response to the statement that was just posted on the Green Party's website:

‼️I can now reveal that Kai Taylor, the Green official who had me suspended, has links to a transphobic hate group. The group (GWD) is mostly composed of members expelled for transphobia. @kaitaylor97.bsky.social will you disavow this transphobic hate group who helped elevate you to office?

‼️Statement RE my suspension from the Greens. I was suspended for the 'crime' of being a trans woman who ran for a women's place. The "media interest" in my gender was cited as the sole reason for my suspension.

Delighted to say I have been elected to the Green Party's governing council 👏👏 We must build a radical anti-imperialist party that defends the vulnerable. Enormous thanks to Greens for Palestine (@Greens4P) for their support 🥰 this would not have been possible without them! x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Scottish poll | SNP lead by 11pts 🟡 SNP: 29% ( -2 ) 🔴 Lab: 18% ( +4 ) ➡️ Ref: 17% ( -6 ) 🟠 Lib: 10% ( - ) 🔵 Con: 10% ( +2 ) 🟢 Grn: 10% ( - ) -- Seats -- 🟡 SNP: 41 🟠 Lib: 6 🔵 Con: 4 🟢 Grn: 3 🔴 Lab: 2 ➡️ Ref: 1 Poll: FindOutNow, 4-10 Aug (+/- vs 19 Feb( x.com/LeftieStats/...

🚨 BREAKING | Poll hints at sizeable Farage win 👀 ➡️ Reform: 79% ( +33 ) 🗑️ Binface: 21% ( new ) Source: Survation, 11 August (+/- vs GE2024) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Scottish GE2029 nowcast: 🟡 SNP: 35% | 49 seats ( +40 ) 🟠 Lib: 9% | 5 seats ( -1 ) 🔵 Con: 11% | 2 seats ( -3 ) 🔴 Lab: 17% | 1 seat ( -36 ) ➡️ Ref: 17% | 0 seats ( - ) 🟢 Grn: 7% | 0 seats ( - ) Best SNP result since 2015 (56 / 59 seats) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Estimated result for Clacton if all parties stood: ➡️ Ref: 57% ( +11 ) 🔵 Con: 12% ( -16 ) 🔴 Lab: 9% ( -7 ) 🟢 Grn: 9% ( +4 ) 🟠 Lib: 7% ( +2 ) ⚫️ Res: 6% ( +6 ) Reform HOLD ( +/- vs GE2024 ) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Final estimate for Clacton by-election: ➡️ Reform: 73% ( +27 ) 🗑️ Binface: 21% ( new ) 🟥 Reclaim: 2% ( new ) Reform HOLD ( +/- vs GE2024 ) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ NEW | Reform lead by 3pts ➡️ Ref: 26% ( -3 ) 🔴 Lab: 23% ( +3 ) 🔵 Con: 23% ( +2 ) 🟢 Grn: 10% ( -2 ) 🟠 Lib: 9% ( -3 ) -- Seats -- ➡️ Ref: 178 🔵 Con: 172 🔴 Lab: 145 🟠 Lib: 52 🟡 SNP: 49 🟩 Plaid: 12 🟢 Grn: 11 Poll: Freshwater Strategy, 7-10 Aug (+/- vs 4 Jul) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ NEW | Labour lead by 2pts 🔴 Lab: 24% ( +2 ) ➡️ Ref: 22% ( -1 ) 🔵 Con: 21% ( +2 ) 🟢 Grn: 12% ( -1 ) 🟠 Lib: 11% ( -1 ) -- Seats -- 🔴 Lab: 200 🔵 Con: 140 ➡️ Ref: 130 🟠 Lib: 71 🟡 SNP: 49 🟢 Grn: 16 🟩 Plaid: 12 Poll: YouGov, 9-10 Aug (+/- vs 4 Aug) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Norfolk PCC by-election in Norwich: 🟢 Grn: 35% ( +6 ) 🔴 Lab: 20% ( -26 ) ➡️ Ref: 14% ( +14 ) ⚪️ Ind: 12% ( +12 ) 🔵 Con: 8% ( -8 ) 🟠 Lib: 7% ( -3 ) ⚫️ Res: 6% ( +6 ) This marks the first time that Greens have won the popular vote in a local authority in a PCC election. x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Welsh GE2029 nowcast: ➡️ 27.2% | 17 ( +17 ) 🟩 32.1% | 12 ( +8 ) 🔵 11.1% | 1 ( +1 ) 🟢 10.3% | 1 ( +1 ) 🟠 5.1% | 1 ( = ) 🔴 10.6% | 0 ( -27 ) Despite finishing second in votes, Reform would win a majority of Welsh MPs (53%). +/- vs GE2024 x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ NEW | Labour lead by 3pts 🔴 Lab: 28% ( +4 ) ➡️ Ref: 25% ( -1 ) 🔵 Con: 18% ( - ) 🟢 Grn: 12% ( -1 ) 🟠 Lib: 9% ( -2 ) -- Seats -- 🔴 Lab: 258 ➡️ Ref: 175 🟠 Lib: 65 🔵 Con: 59 🟡 SNP: 49 🟩 Plaid: 12 🟢 Grn: 9 Poll: Ipsos, 30 Jul-4 Aug (+/- vs 30 Jun) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ POLL | Who would you prefer as PM? 🔴 Andy Burnham: 71% ➡️ Nigel Farage: 29% Poll: Lord Ashcroft, 3 August x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Norfolk PCC by-election in Gr. Yarmouth: ⚫️ 43% ( +43 ) ➡️ 20% ( +20 ) 🔵 11% ( -29 ) 🔴 10% ( -31 ) ⚪️ 7% ( +7 ) 🟢 6% ( -5 ) 🟠 3% ( -5 ) 81% of Yarmouth voters backed right-wing candidates. -- Key -- ⚫️Res➡️Ref🔵Con🔴Lab⚪️Ind🟢Grn🟠Lib x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ NEW | Reform PLUNGES to third place 😲 🔴 Lab: 27% ( +6 ) 🔵 Con: 23% ( +2 ) ➡️ Ref: 18% ( -3 ) 🟢 Grn: 15% ( -2 ) 🟠 Lib: 8% ( -1 ) -- Seats -- 🔴 Lab: 269 🔵 Con: 193 🟡 SNP: 49 ➡️ Ref: 37 🟠 Lib: 36 🟢 Grn: 23 🟩 Plaid: 12 Poll: Lord Ashcroft, 3 Aug (+/- vs 29 Jun) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ NOWCAST | Reform leads, but only just... ➡️ 24.5% | 203 ( +198 ) 🔴 23.4% | 173 ( -238 ) 🔵 19.4% | 88 ( -33 ) 🟢 12.5% | 18 ( +14 ) 🟠 11.3% | 76 ( +4 ) 🟡 2.9% | 49 ( +40 ) 🟩 1.1% | 12 ( +8 ) Most likely government: Labour minority🔴 x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ NEW | Reform/Labour tied ➡️ Ref: 24% ( +1 ) 🔴 Lab: 24% ( +1 ) 🔵 Con: 18% ( -1 ) 🟢 Grn: 14% ( - ) 🟠 Lib: 11% ( - ) -- Seats -- ➡️ Ref: 203 🔴 Lab: 194 🟠 Lib: 77 🔵 Con: 64 🟡 SNP: 49 🟢 Grn: 21 🟩 Plaid: 12 Poll: Find Out Now, 5 Aug (+/- vs 29 Jul) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ NEW | Labour lead by 2pts 🔴 Lab: 27% ( +6 ) ➡️ Ref: 25% ( -2 ) 🔵 Con: 20% ( -1 ) 🟠 Lib: 12% ( - ) 🟢 Grn: 10% ( -1 ) -- Seats -- 🔴 Lab: 231 ➡️ Ref: 165 🔵 Con: 85 🟠 Lib: 77 🟡 SNP: 49 🟩 Plaid: 12 🟢 Grn: 8 Poll: JL Partners, 1-3 Aug (+/- vs 19 June) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🚨How Clacton would vote if all parties ran: ➡️ Ref: 57% ( +11 ) 🔵 Con: 11% ( -17 ) 🟢 Grn: 9% ( +5 ) 🔴 Lab: 9% ( -7 ) 🟠 Lib: 7% ( +3 ) Reform HOLD (14% swing to Reform) Via @Survation, 16 - 24 July ( +/- vs 2024 ) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🫡Glory to the Iranian resistance, whose courageous fight against the imperialist dogs of the USA has utterly humiliated the Great Satan✊ Inshallah Iran will fully repel US imperialism, Palestine will be freed from the bloodthirsty Zionist entity and Israel will be abolished✊

🗳️ NEW | Reform lead by 1pt ➡️ Ref: 23% ( +1 ) 🔴 Lab: 22% ( - ) 🔵 Con: 19% ( -2 ) 🟢 Grn: 13% ( - ) 🟠 Lib: 12% ( +1 ) -- Seats -- ➡️ Ref: 190 🔴 Lab: 164 🔵 Con: 101 🟠 Lib: 77 🟡 SNP: 49 🟢 Grn: 24 🟩 Plaid: 12 Poll: YouGov, 2-3 Aug (+/- vs 27 July) x.com/LeftieStats/...