Lukas Rudolph

📣 Reminder: Open-panel paper proposals for @dvpwkongress.bsky.social #dvpw2027 in Leipzig, are due Oct 31, 2026. SekMethoden organizes three panels; four more are affiliated with the section ⬇️ ▶️ Submit your proposals: meine.dvpw.de/einreichungen/ @gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social

7 Sept

📢 Call for papers for several panels associated with the @dvpw.bsky.social Methods section for the 2027 conference in Leipzig on causal inference, survey experiments, text as data & AI, measuring democracy, data on democratic challenges, climate communication & tools for theory 📆31/10/26 Panels 🧵👇

7 Sept

Causal Inference with Observational Data Advances in Survey-Experimental Research Text as Data in the Age of Generative AI Linking Data to Study Democratic Challenges The Future of Measuring Democracy Climate Change Communication on Social Media Political Theory in Times of Crises Submit 🧵👇

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

7 Sept

Full descriptions (incl more panels): www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/aus... Submission info: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/aus... Submissions in English are welcome!

dvpw.dePanel Abstracts

Lukas Rudolph reposted

@poqjournal.bsky.social

13 Aug

How does the American partisan divide influence support for Ukraine? In POQ, Rudolph finds that support for Ukraine among Republicans is lower than among Democrats, and support among conservative Republicans is particularly cost-averse. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

stellen.uni-konstanz.deDoctoral Researcher in Electoral Behavior, Inequality, and Climate Change PoliciesDeadline: July 5th, 2026

4 July

One day left to apply! Join us @uni-konstanz.de as #PhD researcher on Electoral Behavior, Inequality and Climate Change Policies stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/d... #AcademicJobs

Lukas Rudolph@lukrudolph.bsky.social

📢 #PhD Researcher at the #PoliticalScience Department & Inequality-Cluster @uni-konstanz.de Apply by July 5 to join our @dfg.de funded team researching citizens' demand for representation amidst Green Transition infrastructure conflict #AcademicJobs Call: stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/d...

stellen.uni-konstanz.deDoctoral Researcher in Electoral Behavior, Inequality, and Climate Change PoliciesDeadline: July 5th, 2026

Lukas Rudolph reposted

30 June

📢 Open call for two additional contributions to our Special Issue "Methodological Advances for the Study of German Politics" @pvs-journal.bsky.social. 📄 Submit by July 12: www.sosci.uni-hamburg.de/pvs/ ℹ️ www.dvpw.de/gliederung/s... @gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

doi.orgVignette Experiments Can Replicate Actual Behavioral Intent and Partly Actual Behavior: Panel Evidence on Environmental Migration from Bangladesh | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridg...Vignette Experiments Can Replicate Actual Behavioral Intent and Partly Actual Behavior: Panel Evidence on Environmental Migration from Bangladesh

26 June

Within-study validations of survey experiments are rare. I show hypothetical treatments can correspond to comparable real-world evidence, indicating respondents know their potential outcomes. Intent-behavior gaps complicate generalizability. Out in @jepsjournal.bsky.social at doi.org/10.1017/XPS....

Lukas Rudolph reposted

Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR

@cambup-polsci.cambridge.org

24 June

#OpenAccess from @jepsjournal.bsky.social - Vignette Experiments Can Replicate Actual Behavioral Intent and Partly Actual Behavior: Panel Evidence on Environmental Migration from Bangladesh - https://cup.org/4oNQb8z - @lukrudolph.bsky.social #FirstView

stellen.uni-konstanz.deDoctoral Researcher in Electoral Behavior, Inequality, and Climate Change PoliciesDeadline: July 5th, 2026

10 June

link.springer.comClimate change policy preferences and foreign state behavior – survey experimental evidence on reciprocal defection - Climatic ChangeThe Paris Agreement emphasizes transparency over individual country targets and achievements as a coordination instrument for ‘ratcheting up’ global climate policy. Does free-riding of third countries...

13 May

Out in Climatic Change: I show that major emitters defecting from their Paris obligations lowers citizens' support for ratcheting up climate policy - especially when citizens fear economic Green Transition costs. Likely, Trump's withdrawal matters beyond the US. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

13 May

I thank the editors, excellent reviewers, Thomas Bernauer (@eth.ch), @mattomildenberger.bsky.social , and @phanxi.bsky.social for feedback, and @bafu.admin.ch for funding within the Swiss Environmental Panel.

22 Apr

Out @thejop.bsky.social: measuring shocks like weather or immigrant exposure has vast researcher degrees of freedom. We (@phanxi.bsky.social) show: equally plausible measures diverge + yield spurious results. So, investigate the full set. For us, a null for climate opinion www.doi.org/10.1086/735706

academic.oup.comIs There a Partisan Divide in Citizens’ Preferences on Ukraine Support? Survey-Experimental Evidence from the USAbstract. Models of democratic responsiveness imply that consistent US foreign policy is furthered by bipartisan agreement on core US strategy. A broad lit

22 Apr

Now out in @poqjournal.bsky.social: I show that both Democrats and (even strong) Republicans care relevantly about Ukraine's defense - indicating low polarization once citizens consider trade-offs in foreign policy, tying the hands of the current administration to the extent it counts the public in.

22 Apr

Thanks to @carlmc.bsky.social, Fabian Haggerty and Paul Thurner (@lmu.de) - and @dsfrieden.bsky.social for funding.

17 Mar

How do rural host communities respond to environmental migrants? With @linus-hormuth.bsky.social, @the-free-heart.bsky.social & V. Koubi (@ethz.ch), we show for a Global South context and with visual conjoint experiments that deservigness matters -- now in Comm. Earth & Environment: rdcu.be/e8Czw

European Journal of Political Research

17 Mar

@commsearth.nature.com

Lukas Rudolph reposted

@ejprjournal.bsky.social

17 Mar

🌀 🔎 How do French and German voters view arms exports? 🧭 @lukrudolph.bsky.social @markusfreitag.bsky.social & Paul Thurner look into public attitudes in France and Germany towards arms exports and how voters balance strategic interests with moral concerns.

buff.lyHow do French and German voters view arms exports?The war in Ukraine has focussed attention on public attitudes to arms exports. New research by Lukas Rudolph, Markus Freitag, and Paul Thurner finds that in France and Germany, while a small minority…

28 Jan

Looking forward to a surely insightful talk by @moritz-marbach.com today on "Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes" at the Center for Data and Methods Colloquium @uni-konstanz.de. Join at 12.00-13.00 (D351) if you are around. Read his paper here: osf.io/pq3bd

osf.ioOSF

br.deBayern 2 | Bayern 2 Die Welt am AbendPolitik Gesellschaft Wissenschaft 17.23 Werbung 17.30 / 18.30 Nachrichten um halb, Wetter, Verkehr 17.53 Das Wirtschaftsgespräch 18.00 Nachrichten, Wetter, Verkehr 18.15 Wissenschaft schnell erzählt ...

28 Jan

Great that German public broadcasting reports on our new study (with F. Haggerty/P. Thurner) in Nature Communications, "Examining public support for Ukraine's defense against autocratic aggression" -- listen in here: www.br.de/radio/live/b... (in German). Thanks to Jan Kerckhoff for the interview.

Lukas Rudolph@lukrudolph.bsky.social

Just out in Nature Communications: "Examining public support for Ukraine’s defense against autocratic aggression". With F. Haggerty and P. Thurner, we show that Western citizens back Ukraine’s fight, but moral and strategic concerns, as well as internal divisions, impose restraints. rdcu.be/eYKAr

doi.orgClient Challenge

@gesistraining.bsky.social

13 Jan

doi.orgClient Challenge

Lukas Rudolph reposted

GESIS Training

1 Dec 2025

📣 New month, new chances! Explore our latest #GESISworkshop: "Introduction to Conjoint Survey Experiments" with @phanxi.bsky.social & @lukrudolph.bsky.social Register Now! ➡️ t1p.de/WebTrackingD... Our entire workshop program at gesis.org/workshops

Lukas Rudolph reposted

24 Nov 2025

⏰ Two weeks left to apply for SekMethoden 2026 — the annual meeting of the DVPW Section "Methods of Political Science"! ⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal. @gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

Denis Cohen@denis-cohen.bsky.social

🚨 CfP: SekMethoden 2026 🗓️ March 12-13, 2026 🗺️ Hannover, Germany ⏰ DL Dec 07, 2025 👉 Apply here: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/sekmethoden2... 👥 @gessler.bsky.social, @lukrudolph.bsky.social, @donyhu.bsky.social, Jona Baumert, Morten Harmening and I look forward to your submissions!

Lukas Rudolph reposted

3 Nov 2025

doi.orgHow Relevant is NIMBYism to Citizens’ Support for the Large-Scale Deployment of Public Goods? Experimental Evidence from 5G Antenna Placement in Switzerland - Political BehaviorSupplying society-wide public goods often depends on site-specific provision. Yet, (perceived) localized provision costs may at times outweigh localized individual benefits and thus lead to “not-in-my...

NIMBY opposition can hamper effective public good provision. With @phanxi.bsky.social and T.Bernauer, I study its nature for a peculiar public good providing both local costs & benefits all across the country: 5G mobile network infrastructure. Now at @polbehavior.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1007/s111...

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Together, NIMBYism of residents who feel they face localized negative consequences of 5G antennas in their immediate vicinity, and a large share of citizens against this technology on principled terms can help account for the strong contestation of 5G in Switzerland at the time of our survey.

We thank @aklin.bsky.social, @retobuergisser.bsky.social, T. Shibaike, A. Uji and @epgonline.bsky.social / EPG / EPSA participants for comments and the Swiss Federal Ministry of the Environment for funding.

We draw on a survey experiment in which we reveal maps with real-world, household-specific information on 5G antenna placement to a random set of Swiss residents. Survey respondents were previously largely unaware of antenna locations, and relevantly increase worry for proximity under treatment.

Especially those in close proximity to antennas exhibit NIMBYism. This tendency is, against our expectations, stronger among those ex ante positively inclined toward 5G in principle. In additional experiments, we show that proximate respondents have a high willingness to pay for tangible opposition.