Matt Hodges

Some thoughts on intelligence, reasoning, and pattern matching. And of course GEB. matthodges.com/posts/2026-0...

was not expecting Jay-Z to become the Dick Cheney of football.

The only reason anyone is talking about Marissa Mayer or Dazzle is that her marketing team understands how to deploy rage bait, and most of the Internet still can't spot it in the wild.

My electronic ballot marking device broke in the middle of voting today. I didn’t have to cast a provisional ballot as I feared. It just spit my blank ballot out and I started over on another machine. Poll workers were very on top of it.

My [now discarded] Roborock vacuum also hallucinated and attempted to call tools that connect to severs in China.

Over 2,000 alumni from Vivek’s all-boys catholic high school in Cincinnati have signed and circulated a petition demanding that he pull the ad and issue a public apology for “ignoring the moral responsibilities” of his Jesuit education. I think he’s pretty cooked.

But the original question was whether anyone would actually pay enough for AI inference to sustain an industry of this magnitude. Well, they're paying. In industrial quantities.

The bears said the economics would require an absolutely obscene amount of revenue to work, and Anthropic apparently responded, “Yes. Correct.” 💀

Net revenue retention of *900%* is completely off the charts. That's as-of Sept 30, definition below.

19% adjusted operating margin, holy smokes

Tomorrow feels like an excellent day to go Early Vote in Texas.

cool, cool

Depends on the definition. Just about anyone with a wired internet connection is within miles of the nearest POP.

Tangent: I learned that Pew is now serving content as markdown. Claude found this article in markdown form: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

I don’t think voters have a formed definition of the word “corrupt.” Corrupt is a synonym for “bad”.

I stand by this.

2¹⁰

Ominous og:image

CNBC guy posts all-caps headline, doesn’t include a link, cites an unnamed AP reporter, mentions that the information was seen on X, and tags Reuters. We need to talk more about this kind of social media brain rot. It’s not just glonzo stuff; it’s a complete breakdown of verifiability and context.

I like this cartogram! Periodic reminder that maps are for answering "where" not "how much" but we smoosh those two ideas in Congressional dataviz. You can't really do both (big New Jersey!). Congressional lines are administrative artifacts, and it's ok (good!) to discard that when counting.

So every seat gets the same space here. Seat by seat (@cookpolitical.com): 214 favor Democrats, 200 favor Republicans, 21 toss-ups decide the majority.

I tried to Ask HN but it got instantly flagged: Is anyone successfully using a Karpathy LLM Wiki?

That 13% to ads seems very low for any candidate with TV spend, unless you're marking the entire outlay to a media consultant as "consulting" and not "pass through media buying" (see my Platner piece where I walk through this cauldronllc.substack.com/p/how-did-th...)

how are we expected to turn a profit selling the random number four (4) when others are simply giving away much larger random numbers

I am sorry but this is the funniest outcome. They ragequit the CA business because people were mean to them on social media loooooool emudhra.com/en/press-rel...

did we do this one yet www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_4W...

her [annoyed]: "What are you doing?" me [frantic]: "I have to patch the picture frame!" her: "What?" me: "FOUR!" her: "What!?"

did we do this one yet www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_4W...

My version of this is “presidentials”.

The thing about building an entire political identity around sophomoric edgelord memes is that once you’re in power, people remember they hate edgelords.

“We found some Americans who moved to Europe and hated it.” “We found some Californians who moved to Texas and hated it.” “We found some New Yorkers who moved to Florida and hated it.” It’s a meme now to seek out people who don’t like a place and turn that into a story.

Tommy Teepell’s dad Timmy

I wanna see the Nathan Fielder movie but I have less than zero desire to argue with strangers on the internet over armchair parasocial psychology about Elizabeth Holmes.

Politically speaking, I know that people feeling "locked in" to their super low mortgage rate is a salient issue a lot of households feel. But personally speaking, I have a hard time feeling relative sympathy for people who timed the market and won.

We're about to get a flood of breathless retrospectives on what AI did or didn't accomplish this election. They'll focus almost entirely on voter-facing slop, confidently declare which campaigns did and didn't use AI, and draw sweeping causal conclusions from what little they can see.

The version of this that I hate the most is, “my kids aren’t school-aged anymore so none of my tax dollars should go towards my community’s schools.” There’s a certain type of person who believes everything is oppression unless they can articulate a one-to-one personal transaction.

It’s gonna be wild if we flip Texas but not Ohio.

ICYMI youtu.be/eOQfNT6Jdkg 😂🫠