Time for Jenga bridges! It is a classic that you can achieve infinite overhang because the harmonic series 1 + 1/2 + 1/3 + 1/4... diverges (double the numbers in the figure). en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Block-s... #MathSky
Moritz Schauer
Moritz Schauer
@mschauer.bsky.social
Statistician, Associate Professor (Lektor) at University of Gothenburg and Chalmers; inference and conditional distributions for anything https://mschauer.github.io http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3310-7915 [ˈmoː/r/ɪts ˈʃaʊ̯ɐ]
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Time for Jenga bridges! It is a classic that you can achieve infinite overhang because the harmonic series 1 + 1/2 + 1/3 + 1/4... diverges (double the numbers in the figure). en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Block-s... #MathSky
Time for Jenga bridges! It is a classic that you can achieve infinite overhang because the harmonic series 1 + 1/2 + 1/3 + 1/4... diverges (double the numbers in the figure). en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Block-s... #MathSky
Time for Jenga bridges! It is a classic that you can achieve infinite overhang because the harmonic series 1 + 1/2 + 1/3 + 1/4... diverges (double the numbers in the figure). en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Block-s... #MathSky
If you have a budget of 4 blocks, arranging them like this is proven to be optimal to create an overhang of about 1.168 arxiv.org/html/0710.2357
☡ Some dangerous bends ahead. #MathSky en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bourbak...
Moritz Schauer reposted
And for all us children that like to build correct spiderwebs in their living room, I thought I try Claude with manim to animate and narrate this. Amazing, honestly m.youtube.com/watch?v=qF87...
#MathSky Trying to demystify Caratheodory's measure extension theorem: mschauer.github.io/share/friend...
I elaborate a bit about this "Extension theorem? Caratheodory? Let's first try to extend a premeasure to a single new set" here: mathoverflow.net/a/512016/593...
Here is Furstenberg's topological version: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fursten...
#mathsky bsky.app/profile/msch...
Furstenberg gave a fascinating proof that extracts the infinitude of the primes from seemingly innocuous manipulations of clopen sets. Here is a retake: The σ-algebra 𝓕ₚ = σ(n ↦ n mod p) encodes exactly the information contained in knowing n mod p. That is natural, σ-algebras model information.
The σ-algebra viewpoint also gives a nice form of the Chinese remainder theorem: for pairwise coprime n₁, …, nₖ it holds σ(x mod n₁, …, x mod nₖ) = σ(x mod n₁⋯nₖ). Knowing the residues separately is exactly the same information as knowing the residue modulo the product.
Furstenberg gave a fascinating proof that extracts the infinitude of the primes from seemingly innocuous manipulations of clopen sets. Here is a retake: The σ-algebra 𝓕ₚ = σ(n ↦ n mod p) encodes exactly the information contained in knowing n mod p. That is natural, σ-algebras model information.
Gaurav Arya’s presentation at PLDI'26 on "Gradient Estimation as Probabilistic Inference" bringing sound, compositional and automatic gradient estimation for expectations in probabilistic programs. Great job, Gaurav!! www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aWz...
Paper link: doi.org/10.1145/3808...
Moritz Schauer reposted
arXiv📈🤖 The Difference Between "Replicable" and "Not replicable" is not Itself Scientifically Replicable By Devezer, Buzbas
Moritz Schauer reposted
arXiv📈🤖 Betting on Bets: Anytime-Valid Tests for Stochastic Dominance By Arnold, Choe, Scarsini et al
Moritz Schauer reposted
Replying to @rg9119.bsky.social
Yes, that's the contrast of interest The relevant observations are imo 1. MH is a causal inference problem first and a probability problem second, and 2. the association usually called collider bias is information you can make use of for decision rather than just being, as it normally is, a problem
Moritz Schauer reposted
Moritz Schauer reposted
REMEMBERING HARRY VAN ZANTEN Botond Szabó and Aad van der Vaart in the ISBA Bulletin.
Moritz Schauer reposted