Oldcoach

Oldcoach

@oldcoach.bsky.social

Old man, retired statistics teacher, athletics coach, home cook, bad pop music aficionado.

201 followers139 following2.2K posts

Interesting ending to the top of the 7th in Toronto. Half of the players and the scoreboard thought there were 2 outs, really only one out, routine fly ball to center resulted the runner on 1st doubled off. /1

Fun couple of days in NY: 2 museums, a Broadway show, some great food, shook hands with Mayor Mamdani, sat next to Kevin Zavian from Antiques Roadshow on the subway. Good times!

The whole point of the Fauci business today is Republicans trying to gin up their base with the classic MAGA hits before the midterms because they have absolutely nothing other than failure after failure to run on otherwise.

RIP Tracy Kidder, terrific writer and wonderful guy. Came to my school some years ago to speak on his book Mountains Beyond Mountains, really engaged with the students. He will be missed.

I attended a local vigil for Renee Good in Hingham MA this afternoon. It triggered some thoughts, as follows: in August 1988 I arrived in Prague on the 20th anniversary of the Soviet invasion. I was just an American traveling in Eastern Europe, unaware of the significance of the day. /1

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I don’t know how many were detained or beaten, I managed to get away. I didn’t really find out what had happened until I got to West Berlin, since there was no reporting on it in the communist bloc. It all seemed extremely dire for the citizens of Prague. /4

And yet, barely over a year later, they were free! They were up against an untitled state apparatus, state media, and the ability to clamp down on any form of dissent. But still they triumphed. Our situation is far for favorable than theirs. Their victory gives us hope. /end

I attended a local vigil for Renee Good in Hingham MA this afternoon. It triggered some thoughts, as follows: in August 1988 I arrived in Prague on the 20th anniversary of the Soviet invasion. I was just an American traveling in Eastern Europe, unaware of the significance of the day. /1

As I walked through downtown, I saw many people on the street looking in the same direction. I decided to head in that direction to see what was happening. It took me to Wenceslas Square. There was a group of maybe 50-60 people in the square, chanting in Czech. /2

Many more folks were standing around the fringes of the square, watching. I didn’t understand Czech, so I didn’t know what the chants were. Soon a bunch of yellow school buses pulled up. The doors opened and riot police with shields and batons piled out. I, along with everyone else, ran. /3

The days of our years are threescore years and ten; and if by reason of strength they be fourscore years, yet is their strength labour and sorrow; for it is soon cut off, and we fly away. You might guess which birthday this is today.

I stand with President Trump that we should do everything to destroy the hate-filled organizations which radicalized the shooter of Charlie Kirk. Wait, I’m getting an update …

My one take on the discourse today: it is interesting that our “elites” believe that in a historically violent country, awash in guns, allowing or indeed providing content that degrades and dehumanizes people will NOT result in violence. /1

It’s actually impressive that the murder rate has declined as much as it has in spite of the rhetoric of hate and fear. Most people want only to live quiet, safe lives. “Elites” can shrug off the rhetoric because they feel safe from it. /2

Here’s an old Soviet joke: every day a man walks past a newsstand on his way to work. He stops, looks at the front pages, then continues on his way. After a few weeks of this, the news dealer stops him one day and asks, “why don’t you ever buy the paper?” “Oh, I don’t really want the paper,” /1

the man replies, “I’m just looking for an obituary.” “You’ll never find it that way, the dealer answers, “the obituaries aren’t on the front page, they’re in the back of the paper.” “Not the one I’m looking for,” the man replies. In 2025, in the United States of America, I am that man. /end

Actually, my main reaction to the Times hit piece on Mamdani is, “if that’s all they’ve got the man must have lived a life as pure as the driven snow.” Quite a contrast to his rivals!

Hey @willbunch.bsky.social , I know you are a big Philly booster so I wanted to let you know that I had a great time in your hometown last weekend! I was there with some of my HS athletes for the New Balance Nationals at Franklin Field. We stayed downtown, it was lively, public transit was good /1

It seems to me that Trump’s asserted effort to balance the trade in goods with every other nation is a modern equivalent of bringing back the barter economy, at least as it applies to international trade. “We’ll swap our goods for your goods.” I wonder why we stopped doing that in ancient times?

Apologies for the long thread but I’ve been thinking about this for a while. I had a great teacher at MIT, the economist Rudi Dornbusch. When discussing currency crises, which occur when confidence in a currency collapses and its value plummets, he would always say, /1

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Many people still believe in the status quo even though the basis for that belief is rapidly collapsing. One day the crisis will arrive, and the legitimacy of the administration will collapse. Their incompetence makes that certain, but as in Dornbusch’s saying, it will take longer than we expect. 4/

What then? Has anyone thought this through? Does anyone in opposition have a plan? How should we react? What comes next? That is the great uncertainty for me. /end

Apologies for the long thread but I’ve been thinking about this for a while. I had a great teacher at MIT, the economist Rudi Dornbusch. When discussing currency crises, which occur when confidence in a currency collapses and its value plummets, he would always say, /1

“The crisis takes much longer to arrive than you expect, but when it arrives it happens faster than you can imagine.” That’s because ultimately a currency crisis is a psychological phenomenon, not an economic one. It is similar to political crises, like the collapse of the USSR /2

Or the Shah’s regime in Iran. The status quo is sticky, people believe in it for a time even after the underlying conditions which support it have disappeared. Our government has done bad things in recent years, but today’s combination of hundreds of daily crimes and utter incompetence is new. /3

MSPB (Merit Systems Protection Board) rules this AM that the firing of 6 probationary employees in the Dept of Energy was an illegal reduction in force. Employees reinstated. Logic applies to all fired probationary employees.

Just returned from a rally at the West Roxbury MA Veterans Admin hospital supporting laid off federal workers. Several hundred in attendance. Focus was on veterans services but support for all federal workers was expressed by the speakers. /1

Rep. Stephen Lynch, City Councilor Ed Flynn, union reps from AFGE, NAGE, and the VA Nurses union all spoke, along with Sen. Markey’s state director Jim Cantwell. Cantwell read remarks from Markey where he pledged to vote against any Trump nominees until the Administration starts following the law./2

Lynch was asked by a constituent if he would make a similar pledge to vote against all Administration-sponsored legislation. He demurred. The crowd was not pleased. /end

Even though Republicans were the drivers of the trade policies which helped drive manufacturing out of the Midwest in the 90’s, Democrats got most of the blame. Why? Because workers thought that the Democrats were there to protect them and they didn’t. 1/

The Democratic Party must think that was a great success, because they are replaying that game now. As a spouse of a federal employee and supporter and contributor to Democrats, I’m beginning to understand how all those Midwest auto workers felt. /end

There’s much to be afraid of in the US today. Musk is employing his “move fast and break things” mantra, but he and his youth corps don’t understand what they are dealing with and will certainly break many things. If they crash the economy, as seems possible if or even likely, things get ugly. /1

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It’s not just the olds, it’s also young people who feel their future taken away, and not just individual acts of violence. The anger will be channeled into new political movements- think Tea Party on steroids- whose motivating principle will be vengeance. /3

Who will the targets be ? Whoever the most charismatic demagogue decides it should be. It’s not a recipe for a happy future. I hope somehow they screw up so quickly that we can stop them before disaster occurs, but I’m not optimistic. We have to keep trying, though! /end

There’s much to be afraid of in the US today. Musk is employing his “move fast and break things” mantra, but he and his youth corps don’t understand what they are dealing with and will certainly break many things. If they crash the economy, as seems possible if or even likely, things get ugly. /1

There is a large group of boomer retirees whose income depends on their investments. If these crater, they will feel that everything they worked for their whole lives has been taken away. Many of these people own guns. Desperate, angry people, many with not that long to live, cause trouble. /2