Nick Gray

Nick Gray

@path-dependent.bsky.social

Political economy & place‑based policy Fellow of things at Teesside University That's not Teesside in the banner photo https://research.tees.ac.uk/en/persons/nicholas-gray

3.2K followers1.5K following2.7K posts

Also, it's a public event so eyes down looking in for the supercilious bingo. I'm obviously looking out for "inequality within regions is a bigger challenge than inequality between regions", but "maybe our biggest problem is that we don't shout enough about what we are good at" is a good one too.

What message could flip this back? This platform knows median earners aren't highly taxed *and* public service pressures with an aging population are going nowhere. But if voters dissgree there's going to be trouble for all politicians.

Luke Tryl@luketryl.bsky.social

🧵Am struck by how quickly the thermostatic flip in public opinion on tax and spending seems to have happened this Parliament. In 2024, Britons prioritised investing in public services over cutting tax (54% - 30%). Now, that’s flipped: 49% choose tax cuts, 36% public services

I don't think people are totally malleable to media messaging but the ambient noise of highest tax burden since the war, yhe ballooning welfare bill, and 'the boats', has to promote the idea that there's a simple, mostly painless route to lower taxes.

I very much welcome this. Not the content - I haven't read it yet. I mean I welcome the government having a catchy name and implied conceptual underpinning for it's regional policy agenda. It's very convenient for academics and think tankers. www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/andy-b...

huffingtonpost.co.uk'I’m The Prime Minister. Here’s How My Government Will Deliver Growth In Every Postcode'Writing exclusively for HuffPost UK, Andy Burnham explains his push to devolve spending powers in the upcoming Budget.

After cities and local growth, Northern Powerhouse, and levelling up, this was a glaring omission from the Starmer government. It means we can write papers nobody reads and have seminars the usual people turn up to on "good growth in practice" or "what is Manchesterism?"

Does Haldane have a history of fiscal hawkishness? If he does then I don't remember it. And 'taxed out'? The UK might be currently sensitive to higher taxes, and people might not want to pay more, but we are objectively not a high tax country. I know that's not a brave thing to say on here

Similarly, many people voted Labour because they were fed up with the state of public services. There's no world in which the UK government simply cuts spending.

Also, on my 40 minute train journey yesterday from Newcastle to education cold spot Hartlepool, I was sat next to some Newcastle University students.

Nick Gray@path-dependent.bsky.social

If only Hartlepool had a successful FE college that offered highly regarded training in technical subjects, in partnership with the local post 92 University. www.hartlepoolmail.co.uk/education/re...

They could say "yes but you're not good enough", at which point these assumptions about institutional inertia start doing all the heavy lifting. They always do because they are low cost.

Young woman next to me on the train... "Well you can see me in forty minutes if you pick me up at the station. [...] What could you be busy doing that's more important than being my mother?" Cheek can be funny when it's not your offspring doing it.

There's some consternation on X that the government isn't ostentatiously preparing for France-style civil unrest. Of course, when we recently did have civil unrest here, and the state came down like a ton of bricks, these people complained.

Newcastle United FC have commissioned a recording of Blaydon Races and I've just heard it for the first time. Oh dear god no. I’m going to have to find a way of keeping it from Dr Mitchell for a long as possible. When she discovers it, she will torment me.

'Coming home Newcastle' by Busker still floors her with laughter. She's from Hampshire, we live up here and she finds the mawkish Geordie stuff enduringly hilarious. Has done since shortly after we got together and I was drunk and almost tearful watching the 1999 FA cup final in a London pub.

An apparently respectable small business owner on a local Facebook group just told me to open my eyes to what's happening. He appeared absolutely convinced that government is covertly bussing huge numbers of 'migrants' into Gateshead. The internet has driven people mad.

I'd only commented on a post to say if planning permission was granted for self contained flats then that's what would be delivered. People have decided that every piece of building work in town is an HMO for 'them'.

Whatever anyone's view on the fairness of the home office approach to housing people seeking asylum, Sunderland is objectively not full. The city's population is still smaller than it was thirty years ago.

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I'm going to correct "Sunderland's weak economy" to "Sunderland's weak economic position" For those who care, that's a more place-based, relational perspective. We're not blaming Sunderland's residents, businesses or political leadership for all its problems.

Whatever anyone's view on the fairness of the home office approach to housing people seeking asylum, Sunderland is objectively not full. The city's population is still smaller than it was thirty years ago.

If only the US has some sort of Nobel prize winning, high profile, public intellectual economist who had constantly gone on about Republicans being fiscal hawks in opposition but increasing the deficit in power, including in mainstream books that you can even buy at the airport.

Chris Jones@chrisjones1.bsky.social

Christ alive, that US deficit

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What's the implication? That people claiming social security are maliciously living on the same street? Congregating in urban rookeries to come up with ever more wicked schemes to freeload of the taxpayer?

Reminds me of when the Telegraph revealed the Stalinist "parts of the UK" were more than half of people were in the pay of the state. It turned out to be jobs not residence, and places like Morpeth - the county town for Northumberland - where local public services and admin clustered.

I assume this is output areas. I’m not sure what the rationale for using OA is other than the small population turns out an agreeably high % of people claiming social security, and everybody can pearl clutch about it and demand punishment.