Paul Wallace

Tribes make strategic decisions about how, when, and where to launch enterprises. New Center for Indian Country Development analysis shows that tribes operate businesses in a variety of geographies, from rural to urban areas and on and off tribal lands. https://bit.ly/3TYbCbW

#AI replacement of human workers seems like it's a long way off, and maybe it won't ever come. But what if AI takes over just parts of our jobs and it's the parts that we like the most? Our @tuuyentran.bsky.social explains.

Quits and layoffs are leading indicators of employment & unemployment. QLMonthly (@amandamichaud.bsky.social + Kathrin Ellieroth) makes available the share of workers who were employed last month and not this month by reason for their separation: quit or layoff. https://bit.ly/4hIGvsv

What’s driving the surge of microbusinesses in the Federal Reserve’s Ninth District? Is it entrepreneurs with big dreams or workers looking for side hustles? Here’s what the data tell us: https://bit.ly/3UzwHJY

Regional Economic Conditions: Ag Credit 11/13, 10-10:45am CT We survey farm lenders across the 9th District quarterly to check the pulse of agriculture in this heavily rural region. Join Joe Mahon for live webinar to discuss latest results Register here: https://bit.ly/4s7U0qB

Regional Economic Conditions: Ag Credit 11/13, 10-10:45am CT We survey farm lenders across the 9th District quarterly to check the pulse of agriculture in this heavily rural region. Join Joe Mahon for live webinar to discuss latest results Register here: https://bit.ly/4s7U0qB

Our latest #BeigeBook report shares the 5th straight positive reading with overall economic activity up slightly; construction and manufacturing being two bright spots. However, high fuel costs, tariffs, and inflation continue to affect people through the region. Full report: https://bit.ly/4jY0shL

Did you know...? $100 in 2016 would be worth $139.26 today. Try out the #inflation calculator on our website and plug in your own numbers and dates. https://bit.ly/3Xho8PL

Our 2010 interview with Hall where he spoke about labor market dynamics, financial frictions, monetary policy and dating a recession: bit.ly/47kA7TJ

Congratulations to Robert E. Hall and Michael Woodford on winning the @nobelprize.org in Economic Sciences. In our 2014 interview with Woodford, he spoke about Fed mandates, effective forward guidance, and cognitive limits in human decision making. Read the interview here: bit.ly/4s2akcn

Philadelphia Fed is in the market for a senior vice president of strategic communications. rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/de...

Research, insights, and event information. Sign up today for the Economic Research Newsletter and receive a quarterly email with the latest from our Research Division. https://bit.ly/4cYJw3C #EconSky

LIVE NOW: President Kashkari in conversation with Congressional Budget Office Director Phillip Swagel to kick off the 2026 Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute Research Conference. Tune in here to watch: https://www.minneapolisfed.org/live

The 2026 Institute Research Conference starts soon! Join us at 9:30 CT for a keynote conversation with Congressional Budget Office Director Phillip Swagel and @minneapolisfed.bsky.social President Neel Kashkari. Visit pigeonhole.at/2026institute to ask a question. https://bit.ly/3SRGASn

New data indicators available from Minneapolis Fed Research—built by economists to inform research and policy. Updated regularly to provide credible, timely inputs on macro trends. Explore & download: https://bit.ly/4hIGvsv #EconSky

@minneapolisfed.bsky.social President Neel Kashkari live interview this morning on @bloomberg.com. Watch now.

LIVE NOW: President Kashkari is participating in a Q&A at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, moderated by @cnbc.com 's @steveliesman.bsky.social. Tune in to the livestream here: https://www.minneapolisfed.org/live

Conversations with the Fed: Decoding Today's Confounding Labor Market October 1, 11-11:45am CT @amandamichaud.bsky.social and Simon Mongey take on your questions in our latest live conversation hosted by @jeffhorwich.bsky.social. For event details and to register: https://bit.ly/4Afzrwd #EconSky

TODAY: President Kashkari will participate in a Q&A, 5-6pm CT, at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, moderated by @cnbc.com 's @steveliesman.bsky.social. The livestream of this event will be available here: https://www.minneapolisfed.org/live

Thanks to Cuc W. for this week's employee photo submission for Views from the Ninth, taken at the headwaters of the Mississippi at Itasca State Park. #Minnesota

Next Conversations w/ the Fed (Oct. 1) is open for registration! This time: Hiring, quitting, wages... minneapolisfed.org/events/2026/... Top @minneapolisfed.bsky.social labor market economists take on your Qs and dig behind the unempl. rate. Join me w/ @amandamichaud.bsky.social & Simon Mongey.

Did you enter a guess as to how much shredded currency was in the cube at our booth at the MN State Fair? Drumroll please... $361,080.00 If you entered a guess, we'll be contacting the winner by Friday, September 18. Keep an eye on your inbox!

For agencies that train workers, AI is a new challenge. Read more in @tuuyentran.bsky.social 's latest article: https://bit.ly/4i56vAt

Read about economic conditions in Reserve Bank Districts in the #BeigeBook (1/2): www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...

Keynote remarks by Chairman Warsh at the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium @kansascityfed.bsky.social: www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s... Watch live: www.youtube.com/KansasCityFed Learn more about Chairman Warsh: www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/...

Are the recent tariff changes reversible? Doireann Fitzgerald, Michael Waugh, and @jeffhorwich.bsky.social talk trade, tariffs, and the U.S. economy during our recent Conversations with the Fed event. You can view the full event video here: https://bit.ly/4wmNcXq #EconSky

The Virtual Seminar series on Monetary Economics is back! Co-hosted by CEPR & Center for Monetary Research of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. First session: 3 Sept, 5PM CET. More information: cepr.org/events/event... #EconSky @michaeldbauer.bsky.social @mcmahonecon.bsky.social

#AI is hitting the economy from all angles: Jobs, prices, productivity, capital spending, wealth. The future could be wild. But what does it all add up to for the overall U.S. economy facing policymakers today? @jeffhorwich.bsky.social considers the balance of forces. https://bit.ly/4fDFCSy #EconSky

Yesterday President Kashkari appeared on @cnbc.com 's Squawk Box. View the full interview here: https://cnb.cx/4hRU7U6

Virtual event today at 11am CT on the new economics of trade features 2 @minneapolisfed.bsky.social economists Doireann Fitzgerald and Mike Waugh. Session is moderated by our senior economics writer @jeffhorwich.bsky.social. #econsky Register: www.minneapolisfed.org/events/2026/...

Conversations with the Fed: Unboxing the New Economics of Trade August 4 | 11-11:45am CT @jeffhorwich.bsky.social will moderate a conversation with Doireann Fitzgerald and Michael Waugh. For full event information and to register, visit: https://bit.ly/4wmNcXq

Statement on my #FOMC Dissent A gradual tightening of policy now is preferable to a bolder action later Read President Kashkari's full statement here: https://bit.ly/4w0EHQO #EconSky

Conversations with the Fed: Unboxing the New Economics of Trade August 4 | 11-11:45am CT @jeffhorwich.bsky.social will moderate a conversation with Doireann Fitzgerald and Michael Waugh. For full event information and to register, visit: https://bit.ly/4wmNcXq

Registration is live for our online trade econ conversation August 4! Excited to have two excellent @minneapolisfed.bsky.social research economists whose work I have had the pleasure to write about. Looking forward to many great questions from our audience. www.minneapolisfed.org/events/2026/...

Economic activity in our district is up. But this time Joe & Ron go deep on the farm sector, where we've been relaying hard times for a while. Researching this latest Beige Book, we heard farmers are making some tough calls just to stay in business. Full #BeigeBook report: https://bit.ly/38gH0aC

Rising input prices, scarce skilled labor, and tougher competition for fewer projects put pressure on the district’s construction landscape, especially for residential and commercial builders. @erickgarcialuna.bsky.social’s new article explains: https://bit.ly/4w9RdhB

We have posted the minutes from the #FOMC meeting held June 16-17, 2026: www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/p...

Remote work rates still vary widely across the country, according to a recent analysis. D.C., MA, & CO have the highest remote rates in the country, while states like MS, AL, & AK have some of the lowest. Haley Chinander explains more about recent remote work trends: https://bit.ly/4fhtLck

TODAY: President Kashkari will be participating in a panel discussion this morning 10:30-11:30am CT at the Aspen Ideas Festival. You can view this event live on our website: https://www.minneapolisfed.org/live

Ben Bernanke on Alan Greenspan: ‘I was sorry to hear of Alan’s passing. He was a great central banker who helped lead his country through almost two decades of prosperity. I always found him generous with his time and insights. We are still learning from him, even if he is no longer with us.”

Read Chairman Warsh's full opening statement from the #FOMC press conference (PDF):  www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/...

New research from Card, Rothstein, and Yi finds no evidence that Black workers live farther from “good jobs” than White workers. Proximity doesn’t explain the racial earnings gap. What other factors may be at play? Learn more in @lisacamnermckay.bsky.social 's latest piece: https://bit.ly/4aDA5YZ

How are recent policy changes like zoning reforms and rent stabilization affecting Saint Paul’s housing market? Results are mixed, according to data from our new Saint Paul Housing Dashboard—and according to perspectives of property owners and managers. https://bit.ly/4x8zqsl

Is #AI transforming business overnight? Not quite. Our latest analysis of Census data shows 20% of U.S. businesses now use AI—but adoption remains experimental and uneven. Learn more in @erickgarcialuna.bsky.social 's new article. https://bit.ly/4dGZXFx

What's up in the Ninth District's economy? Gas/diesel/airfare prices Construction materials like PVC Overall economic activity Construction activity Uncertainty Watch latest #BeigeBook video to hear more about what's up (and down) in our regional economy. Read more: https://bit.ly/38gH0aC

Cyclical... Median... Trimmed Mean... and the most vividly named alternate inflation statistic: Sticky! @jeffhorwich.bsky.social explores different ways Fed measures inflation in his new Fed Fluent video--with special shoutouts to SF Fed, @clevelandfed.bsky.social, Dallas Fed, and @atlantafed.org.

President Kashkari will be participating in a panel discussion at the 2026 Bank of Korea International Conference. This event will be livestreamed on our site 12:50am-2:20am CT. Watch here: https://www.minneapolisfed.org/live

In the Midwest we often focus on crops like corn, soybeans, and wheat. But what about sugar beets? In a recent webinar sharing results from our Q1 ag credit survey, a viewer asked Joe Mahon about sugar beets. Here’s what he had to say. (Find the full webinar here: https://bit.ly/3Osbwqn)