Quantum Strategy

Quantum Strategy

@quantumstrategy.bsky.social

The leading researcher in macro that matters to markets

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Quantum Strategy reposted

Meanwhile, pro-democracy, pro-Europe protesters in Tbilisi, Georgia, are tonight nearing their 700th consecutive day of protest against the pro-Russian government. They haven't missed a single day in the last 23 months.

Traffic Trends  Strait of Hormuz: o Historical average: ~138 vessels/day (2025 baseline) o U.S. – facilitated SoH transits 22 – 24 October (past 72 hours): 101 *  Bab el-Mandeb: o Historical average: ~61 vessels/day (2023 baseline) o Vessel transits 22 – 24 October (past 72 hours): 58

UKMTO Comment: Combined transits were 114 outbound and 127 inbound (125 & 129 last week), approximately 70% below pre - conflict levels. AIS observed transits rose to 47 (42 last week) while US - stated facilitated transits were roughly level, about 4:1. 80% of SoH transits remain energy carriers.

A Great Debate between Peter, Marc, Barry and me on where Trump is leading the US. How this affects global Alliances and US power. How can Trump’s populism be reversed? What is the economic damage? Will the US mid terms be a turning point. peterlewismoneytalk.substack.com/p/peter-lewi...

peterlewismoneytalk.substack.comPETER LEWIS’ MONEY TALK - Tuesday 20 October 2026● China’s Q3 growth accelerates to 4.5% as AI boosts exports ● Putin reportedly floats summit with Trump & Xi to discuss Ukraine deal ● Indonesia’s market selloff deepens

The WSJ reports that Putin proposed a meeting with Trump and China’s Xi Jinping during an October 9 phone call, to discuss ending the war in Ukraine on terms favoring Moscow. President Zelensky and European leaders would be excluded from the talks. x.com/rpsagainsttr...

x.comRepublicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) on XThe WSJ reports that Putin proposed a meeting with Trump and China’s Xi Jinping during an October 9 phone call, to discuss ending the war in Ukraine on terms favoring Moscow. President Zelensky and European leaders would be excluded from the talks.

Summary 4 attacks on ships in last 72 hours. No of ships leaving SoH : 38 vessels or 60% of prewar normal traffic. All under US supervision. No AIS reporting tanker left SoH in last 24vhrs. BAM traffic rekatively normal,

UKMTO has received a report of an incident northeast of Khor Fakkan, UAE. A tug travelling southbound has reported being struck by 2 unknown projectiles. The tug has sustained damage but is continuing on its route. One minor casualty has been reported.

A Master of an LNG Tanker has reported being approached by a small skiff with seven persons onboard. The skiff fired two shots at the tanker whose armed Security Team fired 2 warning shots at the small craft which forced them to alter course.