How do voters navigate fragmenting party landscapes with parties behaving in an ever more strategic matter? In this short CUP book, we suggest that group identities mediate the link between social structure and ideological party blocks.
1/8
New Cambridge Element 'Cleavage Formation in the 21st Century' by Simon Bornschier, @lhaffert.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, Marco Steenberge & @dpzollinger.bsky.social out now!
Read #OpenAccess here: cup.org/3ZLtQ0o#cambridgeelements#politics
It was a pleasure and an honour to participate in the roundtable „Resisting Illiberalism“ with such smart colleagues at #ECPR in wonderful Kraków. Thank you for organizing.
Thank you so much to all the colleagues who packed the room today!
And a huge thank you to Daphne, Cristobal, Luca, Amanda, Luana and Simon for your generosity, participation, and fantastic insights. Thanks again everyone!
📣 Not long till #ecprgc26
Join our EPS Featured Roundtable on 'Resisting Illiberalism' chaired by EPS Editor @ljramiro.bsky.social.
See you soon 🐸 🪧
👉️ buff.ly/xQZzh0s
Die Wählerwanderung aus RP wird gerade wieder verwendet um zu argumentieren, die SPD verliere stark an die AfD. Vielleicht nachvollziehbar. Großer Balken da denkt man große Verluste. Ist aber schlicht nicht so. Ich versuche die Schwierigkeit mit Wählerwanderungen mal zu erklären. 1/
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!
Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:
🧵⬇️
Perceived Group Representation as an Indicator of Cleavage Formation by @simonbornschier.bsky.social in the New Dimensions of Political Cleavages panel organized by @ecprpovb.bsky.social for @ecpr.bsky.social 2025 General Conference.
📄 🚨 New Research on Polarization, Fragmentation, and Democracy in @democratization.bsky.social
Nils-Christian Bormann and I explore the impact of ideological polarization and fragmentation on the democratic systems of interwar Europe: lnkd.in/erjJr9qF#polarization#democracy#data#history (1/4)
How do parties shape which issues are perceived as part of GAL-TAN?
In my paper presented at the ECPR General Conference in Thessaloniki, I delve into this question, focusing on climate change and LGBTQ rights.
Thank you @ecprpovb.bsky.social for a great section!
1/3
Join us for the presentation “Perceived Group Representation as an Indicator of Cleavage Formation”, co-authored with @siljahausermann.bsky.social and @dpzollinger.bsky.social in the fantastic POVB @ecprpovb.bsky.social panel “New Dimensions of Political Cleavages”, #ecprgc25, Wednesday 8.30-10.15!
However: Voters in the right field with less particularistic group identities continue to opt for the mainstream right, suggesting that accommodating the far right would likely entail additional losses for mainstream right parties.
6/7
More surprisingly – and reason to worry for these parties – the mainstream right has lost its dominant position even among those younger voters…
• for whom economic-distributive issues are most salient and…
• who hold higher social status identities.
4/7
And among those voters who hold BOTH far and mainstream right parties in their consideration set, how salient economic-distributive issues are to them (relative to socio-cultural questions) explains actual choice only among the elderly.
IOW: the segmentation of the right field is eroding.
5/7
What explains whether right-wing voters consider voting for
• only the mainstream right
• only the far right
• or both?
Using original survey data, we study how saliency, attitudes and identities relate to consideration sets and vote choice.
Important finding: the findings vary by age groups.
2/7
Unsurprisingly,
• the more salient cultural issues are to voters and…
• the more particularistic their identities…
the more likely they are to consider voting for far right parties. This pattern is similar across age groups, but weakest for the elderly.
3/7
Online first & open access:
"The welfare preferences of socially liberal and socially conservative voters"
by @matthiasenggist.bsky.social@retobuergisser.bsky.social@siljahausermann.bsky.social & Michael Pinggera
doi.org/10.1080/0140...#Polisky#Academicsky
Not sure if the world is paying attention—Switzerland is small (though economically powerful). But while other Western leaders sharply criticized VP JD Vance’s speech at the #MSC / in Munich, the current Swiss president largely approved it, interpreting it as „a plea for direct democracy“ polisky
"Das war eine sehr liberale Rede", sagt Bundespräsidentin Karin Keller-Sutter über die Rede von US-Vizepräsident @jdvanceoffical.bsky.social an der Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz: "In einem gewissen Sinne war sie sehr schweizerisch, weil er sagt, man müsse auf die Bevölkerung hören". (1/5)
An excellent analysis by Steven Levitsky & Lucan Way on the prospects for democracy in the US under Trump II, with a lot of comparative insight. A sobering view, yet underlining that polarization may not only be a danger, but paradoxically also a safeguard for liberal democray.
“Worn down by harassment and threats, many of Trump’s critics will be tempted to retreat to the sidelines. Such a retreat would be perilous. When fear, exhaustion, or resignation crowds out citizens’ commitment to democracy, emergent authoritarianism begins to take root.”
🚨 Job Alert! 🚨
I’m looking for a postdoc to join my Emmy Noether project on the New Climate Divide! 🌍
🔍 It is a 3-year position with a likely extension for another 3 years & no teaching obligations
📄 Check out the job call: uni-heidelberg.de/md/politik/p...
Thanks for sharing! 🤝
Curious about targeting strategies in the 2025 German elections? 🗳️
favstats.github.io/de25/targeti...
Updated daily, my dashboard tracks how much € German parties spend on targeted ads. For example 1M on “lookalike” audiences to reach people similar to a pre-defined audience (often supporters). 📊
How do voters navigate fragmenting party landscapes with parties behaving in an ever more strategic matter? In this short CUP book, we suggest that group identities mediate the link between social structure and ideological party blocks.
1/8
New Cambridge Element 'Cleavage Formation in the 21st Century' by Simon Bornschier, @lhaffert.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, Marco Steenberge & @dpzollinger.bsky.social out now!
Read #OpenAccess here: cup.org/3ZLtQ0o#cambridgeelements#politics
Party systems have undoubtedly become more volatile and fragmented. Seeing the underlying stability in political behavior and the similarities across countries it produces requires focusing on voter alignments to ideological blocks, rather than individual parties.
7/8
How do voters navigate fragmenting party landscapes with parties behaving in an ever more strategic matter? In this short CUP book, we suggest that group identities mediate the link between social structure and ideological party blocks.
1/8
New Cambridge Element 'Cleavage Formation in the 21st Century' by Simon Bornschier, @lhaffert.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, Marco Steenberge & @dpzollinger.bsky.social out now!
Read #OpenAccess here: cup.org/3ZLtQ0o#cambridgeelements#politics
We started out with a puzzle: Political sociology shows that party preferences remain firmly anchored in social class, urban-rural residency, and, above all, education. Yet parties rarely appeal to these groups directly nowadays, and political behavior appears rather individualistic.
5/8
But when parties talk about issues related to the universalism-particularism cleavage (for example, gender equality, LGBTQI+ rights, immigration, or the EU), they speak to group identities that are widely shared in certain social structural groups.
6/8
How do voters navigate fragmenting party landscapes with parties behaving in an ever more strategic matter? In this short CUP book, we suggest that group identities mediate the link between social structure and ideological party blocks.
1/8
New Cambridge Element 'Cleavage Formation in the 21st Century' by Simon Bornschier, @lhaffert.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, Marco Steenberge & @dpzollinger.bsky.social out now!
Read #OpenAccess here: cup.org/3ZLtQ0o#cambridgeelements#politics
Is politics driven overwhelmingly by short-term strategies, populism, and issues like immigration? Or is there an underlying stability in terms of a structurally rooted conflict (aka a cleavage) between universalism and particularism? We believe our evidence supports the latter view.
4/8
How do voters navigate fragmenting party landscapes with parties behaving in an ever more strategic matter? In this short CUP book, we suggest that group identities mediate the link between social structure and ideological party blocks.
1/8
New Cambridge Element 'Cleavage Formation in the 21st Century' by Simon Bornschier, @lhaffert.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, Marco Steenberge & @dpzollinger.bsky.social out now!
Read #OpenAccess here: cup.org/3ZLtQ0o#cambridgeelements#politics
Today, feeling close to cosmopolitans or feminists separates voters of the New Left from those of the Far Right who identify with people who are down to earth and hard working. Our evidence is based on original surveys fielded in four West European countries.
2/8
Today, feeling close to cosmopolitans or feminists separates voters of the left from right voters who identify with people who are down to earth and hard working.
Yet, these identities do have structural roots, just like class identities did.
Our short CUP book on cleavage formation is out in OA.
New Cambridge Element 'Cleavage Formation in the 21st Century' by Simon Bornschier, @lhaffert.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, Marco Steenberge & @dpzollinger.bsky.social out now!
Read #OpenAccess here: cup.org/3ZLtQ0o#cambridgeelements#politics