Paul Voosen

Paul Voosen

@voosen.me

Dad of two. Earth, climate, and planetary science reporter @Science.org magazine. Mistrusts narratives; still writes them. https://www.science.org/content/author/paul-voosen https://sciencemastodon.com/@voooos voosen@protonmail.com Signal: @voosen.01

15.4K followers1.8K following501 posts

It's a big day of the year for climate nerds who follow AMOC: the RAPID array has posted the newest update of their 20-year timeseries monitoring the strength of the overturning circulation. The takeaway is still muddled. In 2024, it jumped back up in strength, after several years of weakening.

rapid.ac.ukData | Rapid

Our story last month in @science.org talked about how the SWOT satellite is radically improving our view of global river behavior, while challenging hydrology models. This new study seems a great example of how its data is now improving these models.

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.comSWOT‐Fitted River Bathymetry for Global Hydrodynamic ModelsIterative SWOT-fitted bathymetry cuts global median water surface elevation (WSE) bias from 3.10 to 0.18 m in two runs Global median flood-wave timing is preserved (median r = 0.38); modest varia...

Paul Voosen reposted

NEW: On Oct 20, Japan will launch its most audacious space mission. It’s hoping to fly to Mars, land twice (!) on Phobos (“fear”), steal pieces of that alien moon, and bring ‘em home. That’s right: to pull of this heist, Japan must confront fear itself. @science.org www.science.org/content/arti...

science.orgAudacious space heist aims to bring home bits of mysterious martian moonSamples from Japan’s MMX mission could reveal how Phobos formed—and may contain pieces of Mars

Paul Voosen reposted

NEW: In March the White House released an FY27 budget request that zeroed out the National Science Foundation's directorate of Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences (SBE). For months it was unclear what would happen. Now, with FY26 over, the damage to SBE is coming to light. My reporting:

science.org‘Complete devastation’: How NSF gutted its social sciences researchAgency body that funds sociology, linguistics, and archaeology studies in U.S. gave 90% fewer new grants this year

Update on this: Alan Stern, New Horizons's PI, just told me that the instruments will stay on until Oct 12, when the first opportunity comes to send instructions to turn them off in this new fiscal year. So there's still some time.

Update on this: Alan Stern, New Horizons's PI, just told me that the instruments will stay on until Oct 12, when the first opportunity comes to send instructions to turn them off in this new fiscal year. So there's still some time.

Paul Voosen@voosen.me

New Horizons is now *three days away* from shutting off its two heliophysics instruments, simply because NASA has not provided the $2M in funding it had promised to the mission last year or this year. There is no science basis for shutting these off. Our earlier coverage:

Paul Voosen reposted

BIG NEWS! I’m writing a book about the amazing processes of the deep Earth that shaped the surface as we know it. We’ll venture from the crust to the core, examining the surprising links that connect us to Earth’s deepest reaches. I’m so excited to dig in! ⚒️🧪🪨🌎🌋

The two most prominent proxy-based measures of global greenhouse gas emissions (Carbon Monitor and Climate Trace) have 2026 as either 0.2% below or above 2025 levels. Each method has its drawbacks, but the plateau still seems like it is there. We'll see if it holds.

Simon Evans@drsimevans.carbonbrief.org

NEW ANALYSIS: Global fossil-fuel emissions are set to fall by around 0.5% in 2026 amid the ongoing Hormuz crisis We've all see the scare stories about a "return to coal" – but the "demand destruction" for oil is even bigger Here's how it stacks up: www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-glo...

Things I didn't know until now: Good chunks of the U.S. eastern seaboard and southern Europe were once part of Gondwana. Now a group argues, using dates exhumed from basement granites, that the fabled mega/super continent, always in Pangea's shadow, may have been even larger.

science.orgPangaea’s ‘little brother’ may finally qualify as a supercontinentNew evidence suggests Gondwana was far larger than previously thought, challenging models of continental cycling

And before you go, "Paul, this story doesn't even talk about the idea of Pannotia"--you're totally right, it doesn't. I have my finger on the hot debates of the present day, I know.

Paul Voosen reposted

Replying to @glenpeters.bsky.social

UNEP has written a nice report on overshoot, though, perhaps 10 years too late. But I am somewhat surprised there is so little focus on the requirement of short-term action. Overshoot and non-overshoot both require deep & immediate reductions in emissions... www.unep.org/resources/li... 6/6

Paul Voosen reposted

1.5 C without overshoot was never a realistic goal, and it was not agreed to at Paris, where the language is to “hold[] the increase … well below 2 C” and “pursu[e] efforts to the limit the temperature increase to 1.5 C”

Caltech continuing the operation of OCO-2/3 from NASA seems like the best-case scenario to the agency's request, earlier this year, for someone to take them over, given that the satellites come from JPL/Caltech. Unclear still how Caltech is funding this, however. I've asked.

Paul Wennberg@paulowennberg.bsky.social

@caltech.edu partners with NASA to continue the OCO missions. Caltech’s unique relationship with the Jet Propulsion Laboratory will allow us to continue to produce these important records of the Earth’s changing carbon cycle. To learn more about these sensors and data, visit oco.caltech.edu

Following up on this, I heard from Caltech that they are funding the OCO ops through "foundations, individuals, and available Institute resources." No specifics on the foundations or individuals.

Caltech continuing the operation of OCO-2/3 from NASA seems like the best-case scenario to the agency's request, earlier this year, for someone to take them over, given that the satellites come from JPL/Caltech. Unclear still how Caltech is funding this, however. I've asked.

Paul Wennberg@paulowennberg.bsky.social

@caltech.edu partners with NASA to continue the OCO missions. Caltech’s unique relationship with the Jet Propulsion Laboratory will allow us to continue to produce these important records of the Earth’s changing carbon cycle. To learn more about these sensors and data, visit oco.caltech.edu

Paul Voosen reposted

Some business news: Pleased to announce today was my first day as Director, Science Policy News, at the American Institute of Physics. We're best known for FYI: Science Policy News www.aip.org/fyi the long-running weekly newsletter and news platform for science insiders. More TK.

aip.orgFYI: Science Policy News from AIPFYI is an authoritative source for science policy news and analysis trusted by policymakers and scientists nationwide.

Paul Voosen reposted

Paul Voosen reposted

I have heard from former colleagues, and the layoffs have cut deep once again, after several brutal layoffs over the past 4 years.

Michael Greshko@michaelgreshko.bsky.social

Entertainment industry outlets are reporting big layoffs at Disney today, with National Geographic apparently being hit especially hard. I am bracing for what this will mean for National Geographic's editorial team. deadline.com/2026/07/disn...

Paul Voosen reposted

NOAA Climate & Global Change Postdoctoral Fellowship applications are now open! cpaess.ucar.edu/cgc/annual-r... I was one about 350 years ago, and cannot not speakly highly enough of this program. Applications due October 16, 2026

cpaess.ucar.eduClimate & Global Change Postdoctoral Program Recruitment Announcement | Cooperative Programs for the Advancement of Earth System Science (CPAESS)Climate & Global Change Postdoctoral Program Recruitmen...

James has been a great freelancer for Science since he left New Scientist -- it's a coup for Nature (our friendly competitor) to get him on staff! One of the few reporters I might find at a geochemistry conference. You all can always flag me first on a story before Nature, of course. ;-)

James Dinneen@jamesdinneen.bsky.social

Hello friends. I'm starting a new job today reporting for @nature.com on all things climate and Earth science, energy, and beyond.🌍Please get in touch if you're a researcher/gov staffer/startup with results/projects that deserve attention--or are facing problems we should know about. Contact in bio.

Paul Voosen reposted

An update on the OMB comments story. A few days ago I became aware of a bizarre issue with the OMB website that throws serious doubt on the overall reported number of comments received. Our analysis focused on posted comments only and none of that is affected. But this is really weird:

presentofcoding.substack.comNo, There Aren't 500,000 Comments on OMB's Proposed RegRegulations.gov systematically misreports comment counts

My latest for @science.org: Scientists have discovered a new record-breaking ancient meteorite from Mars, formed more than 4.1 billion years ago. Dubbed Teghaza 001, it provides an unprecedented view of the martian crust from this time, suggesting it was much more complex than once thought.

science.orgOldest known Mars rock offers glimpse of planet’s watery youthAncient Teghaza meteorite hints at granitelike crust and shows Mars was already losing its water 4.1 billion years ago

(This is a classic example, BTW, of a Science newsroom staple: Covering the meeting presentation of a paper that we then learn will be coming out in Science later on. We don't just *say* we're editorially independent of the journal side.)

My oldest kiddo's first summer at sleepaway camp in the Poconos: two heat waves, huge downpours, power outages, and wildfire smoke. Climate change does not explain all of it -- but yes, a lot of it. (Everyone at the camp is still having a great time, by all accounts.)

Paul Voosen reposted

This is an interesting claim, and perhaps true from a legal perspective, but from an ethical perspective, it seems to me overly general.

Great to see StormWall getting a bit more traction in the broader press! Here's a gift link to the @mims.bsky.social story.

wsj.comA Plan to Stop Solar Storms From Sending Us Back to the Stone AgeThe plan involves school-bus-size satellites and a whole lot of salt, and it could provide an ionic ‘air bag’ for the Earth.
Prof. Dr. Dan guy -issimo.@spacecataz1663.bsky.social

The work that @drbwalsh.bsky.social and I did to develop a concept for stopping space weather is now **front page** on the Wall Street Journal. It's been a wild week.

Paul Voosen reposted

It's going to be interesting to see how they butcher not only the next NCA, but also the required review process. They couldn't get their DOE "climate science" report through any meaningful review. They'll have the same problems here, even if they learn from their experience (questionable).

Scott Waldman@scottpwaldman.bsky.social

The White House has reconstituted the U.S. Global Change Research Program, which tracks climate change and produces the National Climate Assessment. The Trump version will focus on "positive" climate effects and be used to protect fossil fuel companies from lawsuits. www.politico.com/news/2026/07...

One of the climate modeling preprints that I cited in my feature, finding that AMOC was resilient and reversible to realistic Greenland melt, is out now in Science Advances. Not shockingly, it hasn't gotten broad coverage.

science.orgLimited impact of Greenland meltwater on abruptness and reversibility of future Atlantic overturning changesClimate model simulations show the Atlantic overturning circulation can recover even from strong future Greenland ice sheet melt.

Paul Voosen reposted

We'll take that as a compliment 🙌 And note that "temperature" in this case includes projections at 5-year intervals for TAVG *and* TMAX for 8,000 global cities (TMIN soon), with metrics derived from daily simulations (CDD, HDD, Days >35C) for a select sample group. 👉 synthesis.berkeleyearth.org

synthesis.berkeleyearth.orgBerkeley EarthInteractive climate data visualization platform using Berkeley Earth data
Paul Voosen@voosen.me

Very cool: @berkeleyearth.org has launched the beta of their Climate Model Synthesis, their attempt to make (better) downscaled bias-corrected climate projections broadly available. Right now it only does temperature, which is easier (but not easy). Precip to come. synthesis.berkeleyearth.org