VoteHub

Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑 As of Oct. 26, 2026 Total early votes: 1,743,492 (+142,798) 45.5% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Jon Ossoff: 54.0% - 62.1% 🔴 Mike Collins: 37.9% - 46.0% Remaining votes in Georgia will be more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

12h

Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 7 As of Oct. 26, 2026 Total votes: 4,342,999 (+285,094) 43.9% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 James Talarico: 45.5% - 54.9% 🔴 Ken Paxton: 42.9% - 52.3% VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.

12h

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

12h

NEW — Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), who endorsed Dan Sullivan, says the DOJ should not have sued to pause certification if another candidate defeats him. The lawsuit cites possible voter confusion over two Dan Sullivans on the ballot.

8 days to go.

VoteHub's House forecast has been fairly stable since launch, expecting Democrats to win roughly 230 seats since May. Mid-cycle redistricting has reduced the number of competitive seats, though Democratic odds of chamber control have increased with favorable polling.

16h

Florida Early Vote Tracking ☀️ As of Oct. 26, 2026 Total votes: 2,671,880 (+768,650) 37.0% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Angie Nixon: 46.2% - 56.6% 🔴 Republican: 42.7% - 53.1% Remaining votes will be more Republican. We rate this race as Likely R.

16h

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

17h

NEW — Democratic support in VoteHub's generic ballot is at an all time high at 50.7%. They lead Republicans by 8.4 points.

18h

North Carolina Early Vote Tracking 🌲 As of Oct. 26, 2026 Total early votes: 1,545,501 (+468,183) 39.6% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Roy Cooper: 56.4% - 66.0% 🔴 Michael Whatley : 32.0% - 41.6% Remaining votes in NC will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.

18h

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

18h

NEW — Former South Carolina Govs. David Beasley (R) and Jim Hodges (D) jointly endorsed Democrat Annie Andrews over Republican Sen. Darline Graham in the state’s Senate race.

Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 5 As of Oct. 24, 2026 Total votes: 4,057,905 (+553,367) 41.9% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 James Talarico: 45.4% - 54.9% 🔴 Ken Paxton: 42.9% - 52.4% VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

9 days to go.

NEWS — A 9th Circuit panel appeared unlikely to immediately grant the Justice Department’s request to segregate roughly 20,000 California ballots tied to people it says are likely noncitizens, per The Hill. Judge Mark Bennett questioned whether the court had jurisdiction.

Per @Wil Courtney of @AKNewsNow, Mary Peltola and her family sustained minor injuries in a vehicle accident Saturday night, according to her campaign. On medical advice, Peltola will reschedule upcoming campaign events in Fairbanks and Bethel for later this week as she recovers.

Key States Where More Than 15% of Voters Have Already Cast Their Ballots Georgia: 41% Texas: 36% North Carolina: 31% Virginia: 30% Nevada: 27% Florida: 26% Maine: 25% Michigan: 21% Ohio: 20% Nebraska: 18%

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

VoteHub reposted

Ryan J. McComb

@bayespr.bsky.social

Really proud of what the whole team and I have built here. We get to do some incredible things at VoteHub. Here’s a walkthrough of the new donor map and a bit of analysis on where campaign money is coming from this cycle.

VoteHub@votehub.com

🚨🚨 We are thrilled to launch the VoteHub 2026 National Donor Map. See where nearly $2 billion in donations to House and Senate campaigns came from, county by county, for every 2026 race and nearly 2,900 candidates.

votehub.comInside VoteHub’s 2026 Donor MapVoteHub’s new national donor map tracks nearly two billion dollars in itemized and ActBlue/WinRed contributions from January 2025 through September 2026 to the county level. Here’s a breakdown of…

NEW: Inside VoteHub’s 2026 Donor Map @bayespr.bsky.social examines the small-dollar gap, the geography of Republican and Democratic giving, and how campaign money flows across state lines. votehub.com/2026/10/24/i...

Filter by contribution size, from gifts under $200 to $2,500 and up. Democrats took about 80% of mapped money from gifts under $200, but about 63% from gifts of $2,500 and up.

votehub.com/2026/10/24/2...

votehub.com2026 Donations MapSee which campaigns, candidates, and parties are fundraising the most, and where their donors hail from.

Search any House or Senate race, or any candidate, to see exactly where their money comes from. Switch between D vs R share, net dollars, total dollars and dollars per resident, and hover any county for its breakdown.

Democrats are favored in 21 gubernatorial races, while Republicans are favored in 15.

votehub.com/2026-forecas...

votehub.comVoteHub’s 2026 Midterms ForecastVoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…

10 days to go.

Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 5 As of Oct. 24, 2026 Total votes: 3,504,538 (+620,615) 35.5% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 James Talarico: 45.5% - 54.7% 🔴 Ken Paxton: 43.1% - 52.3% VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

NEWS — Mary Peltola’s campaign, the DSCC and voting-rights groups have moved to intervene in the Justice Department’s lawsuit seeking to block Alaska from certifying its Senate results if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses.

Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑 As of Oct. 23, 2026 Total early votes: 1,600,694 (+161,419) 41.1% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Jon Ossoff: 53.7% - 61.7% 🔴 Mike Collins: 38.3% - 46.3% Remaining votes in Georgia will be more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

Michigan U.S. Senate 🚗 In-person early voting begins Saturday, October 24. As of Oct. 23, 2026 Total mail votes: 905,256 (+60,546) 20.6% of projected final turnout. Estimated share of cast votes: 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed: 56.8–64.6% 🔴 Mike Rogers: 32.9–40.7% VoteHub currently rates the race as Lean D.

Kalshi markets were generally quick in anticipating Democrats to at least shift the U.S. Senate map in their favor despite their deficit in the chamber, quickly treating North Carolina as a likely Democratic pickup while seeing Alaska and Texas, two states Trump won by double digits, as competitive.

Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 4 As of Oct. 23, 2026 Total votes: 2,883,923 (+634,868) 29.7% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 James Talarico: 45.4% - 54.5% 🔴 Ken Paxton: 43.3% - 52.4% VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

RATINGS CHANGE — VoteHub's forecast moves six U.S. House races in the direction of Democrats. AK At Large: Likely R → Lean R AZ-02: Lean R → Tilt R CO-04: Lean R → Tilt R FL-26: Solid R → Likely R MI-07: Tossup → Tilt D SC-01: Lean R → Tilt R

11 days to go.

NEWS — Trump is exempting some Canadian imports, including plywood, packing crates and machinery, from his 50% tariffs. The changes take effect Oct. 30, days before Sen. Susan Collins’ tight reelection race against Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine.

Florida Early Vote Tracking ☀️ As of Oct. 23, 2026 Total mail votes: 1,903,230 (+287,488) 26.2% of projected final turnout. Party Registration: 🔵 Democratic: 770,207 (40.5%) 🔴 Republican: 732,895 (38.5%) Republicans continue to cut into the Democratic firewall.

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

NEWS — The DOJ will send election observers to polls in Portland and Lewiston for Maine’s Nov. 3 election, per the Maine Morning Star.

North Carolina Early Vote Tracking 🌲 As of Oct. 22, 2026 Total early votes: 1,077,318 (+173,047) 31.4% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Roy Cooper: 56.3% - 66.0% 🔴 Michael Whatley : 32.0% - 41.7% Remaining votes in NC will be more Republican. We rate this race as Likely D.

votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.

Per @AdImpact_Pol, Michael Whatley’s U.S. Senate campaign in North Carolina hasn’t aired a broadcast ad in 16 days, while Democrat Roy Cooper’s campaign has aired more than 9,000 broadcast spots without a response from Whatley.

Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑 As of Oct. 23, 2026 Total early votes: 1,439,275 (+134,392) 37.3% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Jon Ossoff: 54.0% - 61.9% 🔴 Mike Collins: 38.1% - 46.0% Remaining votes in Georgia will be more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.