Alex Wellerstein

Alex Wellerstein

@wellerstein.bsky.social

Nuclear historian. Prof@Stevens Institute of Technology. Visiting researcher@Nuclear Knowledges, Sciences Po, Paris. Senior Fellow@thebulletin.org. Author: THE MOST AWFUL RESPONSIBILITY (2025). Creator of NUKEMAP. Blogging @ https://doomsdaymachines.net.

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ok folks we have officially entered in the Demon Core AI slop phase of history (those first two images are obvious AI slop. it would have been less work to just use the actual photos!! I don't get it)

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ok folks we have officially entered in the Demon Core AI slop phase of history (those first two images are obvious AI slop. it would have been less work to just use the actual photos!! I don't get it)

ok so I (finally) watched "The Mandalorian and Grogu" over the course of TWO trans-Atlantic flights and it was so forgettable that I forgot I watched it until just now (as many people said at the time, it is essentially just a long episode of "The Mandalorian." not terrible. but forgettable.)

It's been very surreal to read in the news all these statements that "Paris is burning." I feel obligated to point out that any burning was highly localized and long since extinguished. Paris is not, in a broad sense, burning.

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All that being said, I like it when people check in, so I don't take any offense. And I'm not trying to downplay the protest activity. Just the perception that Paris is some kind of active war zone or whatever. Here's what it actually looked like on my walk with the dog today.

It's been very surreal to read in the news all these statements that "Paris is burning." I feel obligated to point out that any burning was highly localized and long since extinguished. Paris is not, in a broad sense, burning.

I've gotten a lot of "I hope you are ok and how are you surviving" messages, mostly from Americans, over the last few days. It's a little embarrassing because this stuff has almost not affected us at all in the part of the city we live (on the edge of the 6th and 14th arrondissements).

I've seen a few protests and one bigger march but nothing truly chaotic. I'm not disputing that things are more chaotic elsewhere — but I do think that such areas are far more localized than the news coverage implies.

OK, I saw "Digger" and here's my very hot take: it's not that bad? Or as bad as I thought it was going to be? Or maybe actually a little good? To explain why would utterly spoil it, but it is not the film I thought it was going to be from the trailers and advertisements.

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It is profoundly stranger than it appears. The complicated part is that the very thing that makes it strange makes it hard to evaluate, I think. Without (again) spoiling it, it makes it hard to know even what genre one should consider it. It's not clear to me it is actually a comedy, for example.

Separate is the question of whether it is a good "climate change film," which is different from whether it is a good film. I'm not sure it "works on that level," but I would have to spend a lot more time defining what "works on that level" means for this to be that meaningful. (I may write on it.)

OK, I saw "Digger" and here's my very hot take: it's not that bad? Or as bad as I thought it was going to be? Or maybe actually a little good? To explain why would utterly spoil it, but it is not the film I thought it was going to be from the trailers and advertisements.

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It has a level of complexity to it, from a narrative perspective, that something like "Don't Look Up" did not have. Now, granted, whether it entirely "works" is a different question. There were some moments I found too slow, for one thing. But I was surprised at how little I hated it in the end.

I suspect that it doesn't work *now* for a few possible reasons — i.e. I don't think it is really possible to enjoy a Trump caricature right this moment, because he is too dangerous and proximate — but in the future it will be described as a "cult classic."

OK, I saw "Digger" and here's my very hot take: it's not that bad? Or as bad as I thought it was going to be? Or maybe actually a little good? To explain why would utterly spoil it, but it is not the film I thought it was going to be from the trailers and advertisements.

Now, granted, I clearly went in with barrel-bottom expectations, given the negative buzz about it. The trailers 100% turned me off. I only saw it out of a sense of professional obligation, ultimately — thinking I might write something about it.

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Lastly, me saying "it was great" does not mean I am necessarily endorsing every aspect of its message, implicit/explicit arguments, etc. Obviously. For me a "great" film about a nuclear crisis is one that sheds realistic light crisis dynamics, and raises serious, hard questions. JUPITER does this.

There are a LOT of films about nuclear crises that don't do this as well, because they are too rooted in less plausible hypotheticals. They might be enjoyable films, but they don't really give us much to "think" with. This is not a function of genre — Dr. Strangelove does it well even as satire.

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It also managed to do all of this in a tight 90 minutes, without feeling rushed. The director did a great job of letting the scenes "breathe" and also taking moments to let us inside the mind (somewhat literally) of the (fictional) French President, giving him a sense of vulnerability and humanity.

(A major caveat: the film is mostly in French and while I could understand a lot of it from both context and the fact that the topics being discussed are in my wheelhouse and I know the French words for them, my French is still very much a work in progress. So I am sure I missed a lot of nuance.)

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"Nukes are scary" is necessary but insufficient for real political discussion of the weapons. It underwrites literally every position on them at some level. "How do we avoid nuclear weapons being used?" is a context question, not a consequences question.

The questions provoked by a film like JUPITER are disturbingly topical. Much of it is surely based on the nuclear scare crisis of fall 2022 — when it seemed like Russia might being planning to use a tac nuke in Ukraine — the events of last week (US explicitly betraying Ukraine/Europe) resonated.

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My biggest, truly biggest, issues with fictional or even semi-factual imaginations of nuclear war is that so many of them want to only talk about the consequences and skip over the context that gets you to those. And you literally cannot realistically talk about the latter without the former.

Context is not just necessary to know what those consequences might even be (the consequences are the direct result of said context — who is fighting who, with what, when, to what end), but also are necessary for having any other possible "message" or "talking about" than "nukes are scary."

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JUPITER is a much "braver" film in this respect, and is much more realistic in the burdens, responsibilities, and quandaries imposed on a nuclear-armed president. In HOD, it is never made clear why the President is pushed towards nuclear retaliation, given that there is no attribution to the attack.

In JUPITER, the building of the crisis is all about those pressures, and the arguments (logical, political, moral, and personal) that would be behind all of them. One can argue over which arguments get privileged, omitted, etc., but it all felt very plausible and realistic for what could happen.

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Aside from being well-produced, well-acted, and gripping (particularly hard for a movie that is 90% people in meetings), it really works hard to get into the context of realistic crises, obviously aided by the fact that this one is quite "ripped from the headlines."

The basic premise is that Russia credibly threatens Ukraine with nuclear annihilation, NATO equivocates on what to do, the US (also villains) decides to look the other way, and (of course) only France takes up the mantle of serious responsibility, but what that means in practice is hardly obvious.

There's something deeply resonate about how the AI companies are leveraged up to the gills both metaphorically and literally. Like the entire business model is predicated on an infinite payday that they promise is only a "someday" away, and they treat things like resources and politics the same way.

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As I have said before, I am not actually that worried about AI destroying the world in an existential sense. But that doesn't mean it can't do a lot of damage, both in its "disruption" (particularly of education and politics) and the aftermath of what seems to me to be the inevitable bubble pop.

But I am not an economist, AI expert, etc., so feel free to dismiss this as an old-fashioned historian's anxieties and lack of imagination, if you want... whatever gets you through the night...

There's something deeply resonate about how the AI companies are leveraged up to the gills both metaphorically and literally. Like the entire business model is predicated on an infinite payday that they promise is only a "someday" away, and they treat things like resources and politics the same way.

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And because they're financially AND ideologically captured by the idea, and dependent on it to underwrite their work, even entertaining the idea that it might NOT be true is impossible. Of course, the tech billionaires will probably be fine either way, so what do they care, really?

It strikes me as much more dangerous than other bubbles of the past, because it's not just economies that they've subverted to this mania, but so much else. When it all comes crashing back to Earth, even if these people are held accountable (ha ha), the things they break will still be broken.

There's something deeply resonate about how the AI companies are leveraged up to the gills both metaphorically and literally. Like the entire business model is predicated on an infinite payday that they promise is only a "someday" away, and they treat things like resources and politics the same way.

I'm not sure there has been any modern industry that is quite so blatant about their un-sustainability. Even the oil industry gives disingenuous lip service to the idea. Whereas the AI bros appear to reject the concept of sustainability, as they're sure that "infinite everything" is on the horizon.