🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯

just for reference, lula had ~20% odds to win brazil's election, and pulled it off, with nothing extreme other than standard polling error (albeit unlikely, hence 20%). FLIPR currently puts Andrews at a 27% chance to win, which is actually higher. 27% is still low. But it's possible!

like lula was, SC is within a bit of normal polling error of being a D victory! hoping for an error in your favor is never great, but we're talking about SC here!

American cities! Urban crime plummeted, more reinvestment, urbanism has become a much stronger cultural force, and people have wanted to move into walkable neighborhoods (which has unfortunately spawned a lot of conflict)

so not only is Zuck not leaving if the wealth tax passes, Meta is paying him *even more* so that he's net-neutral on wealth & ownership. Just a reminder that billionaires are still fundamentally billionares. A wealth tax on a billionaire still leaves them pretty much intact as a billionaire

has anyone ever seriously considered just not inflation-indexing tax brackets and anything else related to that amounts etc for like a decade or so to subtly raise a significant amount of public revenue

gemini tasks (née spark) is very scary but also i just used it+argon to automate me looking up berkeley housing updates and reconcile it with my tracker. it is very interesting the tension between how useful this is of this versus how many sites are pursuing anti-scraping

another listing that went for ~$1400/sq ft. i didn't think we'd hit this level of pricing for a long while, hopefully never, but instead we're hitting it basically overnight. comps from not very long ago were $1000/sq ft, which itself seemed an insane level for anywhere not in manhattan/SF

i find this grimly funny bc the reason we have a 5-day/40-hr workweek norm right now isn't because of technological progress, it's because of labor. an amazon eng can use a frontier model and finish their day's tasks faster. do you think Bezos gives 'em the rest of the day off, or more work?

incredible that the modal senate outcome in nate silver's forecast is now 53D-47R when the forecast first launched, senate control was basically a coin flip

i know like this is a conversation lots of folks are having in the space, but what actually is a software engineer's job in a world of extremely advanced AI? what is the pipeline? oldest has been spending more time with AI studio, recently wanted to build a neocities page, but she has no html xp.

like if you had used a wysiwyg html editor from the web 1.0/2.0 days to build any serious website you would've been laughed out of any eng team, but today... maybe it's OK? she just wants to build a website, not learn html for its own sake. is it like automatic vs manual transmission?

i know like this is a conversation lots of folks are having in the space, but what actually is a software engineer's job in a world of extremely advanced AI? what is the pipeline? oldest has been spending more time with AI studio, recently wanted to build a neocities page, but she has no html xp.

but does it actually matter? three months ago i'd say it's still super important to understand the fundamentals, but having used argon internally day-in-day out, that technical necessity is becoming more and more niche and specific. it's still not 100% perfect but it's so faster than a human and

redfin "your home estimate" emails normally aren't even worth the effort to even unsubscribe from, but this one caught my eye bc the delta was insane. appears to be driven by this comp. $1445/sq ft!! one-off, or the AI housing shockwave is hitting berkeley? www.redfin.com/CA/Berkeley/...

every time a story like this is published, i find it immensely hard to muster up the empathy for voters like this. like, you fucking goddamn idiots

Or even my mother who always seems to believe the GOP’s virulent racism is reserved for every other racial/ethnic group than hers in particular.

every time a story like this is published, i find it immensely hard to muster up the empathy for voters like this. like, you fucking goddamn idiots