World Weather Attribution

World Weather Attribution

@wwattribution.bsky.social

Rapid attribution to uncover the influence of climate change on heatwaves, drought, wildfire, storms and floods.

8.1K followers239 following200 posts

View full thread
View full thread

The disaster was also preceded by unusually warm summer temperatures with the 3 days prior over 5C above average. Climate change has pushed July/Aug temperatures in the region up by about 1.5C to date, and 2C annually - surpassing the average global rate (about 1.4C to date). (4/6)

A team of WWA scientists and glaciologists found that the collapse was a compound disaster with climate change worsening factors including glacial thinning, melting permafrost and meltwater ingress - with the freezing line (0C isotherm) rising by about 100m per decade (2/6)

🌊 Climate change is causing European sea surface temperatures to surge: marine ecosystems are suffering 🌊 World Weather Attribution scientists analysed the record-breaking SSTs in Europe’s waters in July. They found that the event was primarily driven by climate change. (1/5)

View full thread

Prof. Friederike Otto said: “Our seas are heating at a rate that is outpacing global warming averages, with direct consequences for life on land as well as at sea. By delaying the inevitable shift away from fossil fuels, we’re pushing many ocean ecosystems closer to extinction.” (4/5)

🌊 Climate change is causing European sea surface temperatures to surge: marine ecosystems are suffering 🌊 World Weather Attribution scientists analysed the record-breaking SSTs in Europe’s waters in July. They found that the event was primarily driven by climate change. (1/5)

Europe's marine heatwaves reached 6°C above normal this summer and the impacts are severe: declining species, ecosystems shifting, fisheries & aquaculture disrupted. Warmer seas also drive coastal humidity, increasing the risks of extreme heat on land. (2/5)

WWA analysed four coastal regions and found that climate change - primarily from burning fossil fuels - has directly caused about 2°C of warming in the Mediterranean, 1.4°C of warming in the Bay of Biscay and the Iberian Peninsula, and 1.3°C in the Celtic region. (3/5)

Devastating floods in Assam were worsened by human factors - but not necessarily climate change. WWA scientists analysed the recent monsoon downpours that resulted in floods that killed at least 99, displaced hundreds of thousands and inundated tens of thousands of hectares of cropland. (1/4)

View full thread

Dr. Mariam Zachariah said: “A lack of a clear trend today does not make the region immune to future warming. As global temperatures continue to climb, monsoon dynamics across South Asia will keep shifting, making proactive land and river management even more urgent.” (3/4)

Devastating floods in Assam were worsened by human factors - but not necessarily climate change. WWA scientists analysed the recent monsoon downpours that resulted in floods that killed at least 99, displaced hundreds of thousands and inundated tens of thousands of hectares of cropland. (1/4)

They found that the rain is common - expected at least every 2 years - and there was no clear role for climate change - though data limitations increases uncertainty. Rapid urbanisation, deforestation, insufficient flood mitigation and colonial-era land regulations worsened the disaster (2/4).

NEW: Climate change supercharged the rainfall that caused deadly flooding that killed almost 100 in Togo, Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire. The most extreme rainfall fell between June 20-22 across coastal regions with more than 140mm falling in less than 24 hours in some major cities. (1/5)

View full thread

“This study is a clear example of the need for international cooperation on climate justice. Industrialised nations have a responsibility to help nations like Togo, Cote d’Ivoire and Ghana to adapt to a worsening problem that they didn’t cause.” (4/5)

NEW: Climate change supercharged the rainfall that caused deadly flooding that killed almost 100 in Togo, Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire. The most extreme rainfall fell between June 20-22 across coastal regions with more than 140mm falling in less than 24 hours in some major cities. (1/5)

Observations-based data shows us that rainfall intensity has risen by 23%, with events like this one now 5x more likely. Climate models-which historically struggle to replicate events like this in Global South regions-showed a smaller 4% increase in intensity and 20% increase in likelihood. (2/5)

Lead author Dr. Joyce Kimutai: “Climate models typically struggle to capture the full scale of tropical precipitation trends when we look at extreme events like this one. As such, the fact that we found such a role for climate change is significant." (3/5)

View full thread
View full thread

💧 No doubt you've noticed the humidity: a remarkable 45% of 854 cities across 30 European countries have broken, or are expected to break, their all-time Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) record. WBGT is a measure of heat stress and the body’s ability to cool itself through sweat evaporation. (2/6)

View full thread

NEW: Players and fans face increased heat danger at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, since USA '94. Our results show that from Miami to Kansas City, climate change is increasing the risk of playing the World Cup in much of the northern hemisphere during summer. (1/2)

Dr Joyce Kimutai: “Half of human-caused climate change has occurred since USA ‘94. The climate the tournament is played in today has fundamentally shifted in just 32 years.” 🔗https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-big-player-at-fifa-world-cup-2026/ (2/2)

RAPID ANALYSIS: It would be ‘virtually impossible’ for the record-breaking March heat currently scorching the U.S. West to occur without climate change. We are seeing summer-like temperatures arrive exceptionally early from the Pacific to the Rockies this week. 🧵1/4

View full thread

RAPID ANALYSIS: It would be ‘virtually impossible’ for the record-breaking March heat currently scorching the U.S. West to occur without climate change. We are seeing summer-like temperatures arrive exceptionally early from the Pacific to the Rockies this week. 🧵1/4

View full thread

“We are living through challenging times, and this honour reinforces the vital role that science plays in the public interest. In the face of these challenges we will continue to play our part highlighting the links between worsening weather extremes and the carbon our societies continue to burn.”