Post

Labour's decline in support is remarkable. Support for Labour has fallen more sharply after this election than it has for any other winning party covered by the BESIP (though the timings between waves are not identical).

3/9/25, 10:14 am14 reposts62 likes

Labour's support has splintered. Over 1 in 5 of their 2024 voters are now undecided. Labour could win these back, but there is a risk. The Conservatives lost a similar amount to indecision after the last 3 elections, and they won most back in 2017 and 2019 (but not 2024).

Labour's next biggest losses are to left-liberal parties (Liberal Democrats and Greens). Reform's growth in support has mostly come from the Conservatives and non-voting (much less from Labour). These reflect patterns of party-bloc voting that we saw in the 2024 UK GE: tinyurl.com/y5pv7thw

Blairinho

@blairinho.bsky.social

It seems like Labours mission is to pave the way for a Reform government. Doing a great job sadly.

richard-d.bsky.social

@richard-d.bsky.social

@oldkwaremont.bsky.social

Biggest loss is to 'not going to vote'?

oldkwaremont.bsky.social

@marvintandroid.bsky.social

Presumably, Labour's plan was to usurp the Tories and become the centre-right party of choice in the UK? Or the current leadership are just very right wing and believe in right wing/free market only policies? Comes to the same thing, I guess. But clearly they're heading electorally in the wrong 》》

📌

Note; You can't win over Reform voters so stop trying.

Labour also faces more direct competition from left-liberal parties for the voters that they've lost to indecision. These Lab -> undecided voters like the Liberal Democrats, Greens, and Plaid Cymru a lot more than they like Reform UK and the Conservatives. So, these party blocs matter.

The Radical Heft aka Kozy

Labour's strategy since the election seems designed to appeal to right-conservative voters. This strategy hasn't worked on its own terms because they have lost the (very few) right-wing voters that they had, while also losing (much) larger numbers of left-wing voters.

@blubberchopper.bsky.social

@kevanislay24.bsky.social

The complete collapse of Starmer's Labour is the latest and clearest example of why the liberal obsession with "let's just all work very hard to get the neoliberal corpocrat elected and everything will be fine". There's compromising, which is good, and then there's capitulation to these ghouls

kevanislay24.bsky.social

@albertherring.bsky.social

They have probably lost millions of voters because of total inaction on Gaza. Labour under Starmer and the present cabinet will probably never get those votes back.

Roger Hughes

Never is a long time in politics. But not until they've undergone a massive collapse and reformation in a completely different guise.

Andrew

@andydownie.bsky.social