Free newsletter: In July, Apollo Economist Torsten Slok said that "AI better work out, or we have a problem." Facing ever-growing high-interest debt, negative-EBITDA AI labs and $200bn+ in warehoused GPUs, that's exactly what the AI industry has. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...
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The AI bubble is now a global problem, with the highest ever inflows of foreign capital into US equities in history, at a time when when a handful of AI-exposed stocks account for a terrifying proportion of US stock market's value. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...
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Unlike previous bubbles, equities/stocks now account for the majority of household wealth (ahead of real estate), with economist Paul Kedrosky estimating that Americans hold over 60% of their liquid net work in stocks. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...
Retail investors have an estimated $4.65tn in direct exposure to AI-linked stocks - not including index funds - and account for ten times more of the market's trading volume than the Dot-Com Bubble. I fear the damage will be far worse. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...
As I've written extensively in the past, the AI bubble is nothing like the dot com bubble. The scale and concentration is different, and a simple 20% correction across the main AI stocks would be worse than the worst day of the Dot Com crash. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...
The AI bubble is sustained by vibes and hype, and both have started to sour, with Gartner saying that we have more compute capacity than demand, and that 80% of neoclouds will go out of business by 2030, adding there's not enough revenue to justify them. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...