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Without tactical voting. Labour 348 Reform 123 Tory 85 LD 48 Green 2 Add in Peter Kellner’s “vote for anyone to stop Reform” tactical voting analysis and Labour get a huge majority. Maybe there will be a snap election?

That would be close to disaster in a PR vote

And I'm a fan of PR!

Amazingly and bizarrely produces a majority for Labour under FPTP according to electoral calculus. Labour would only lose 55 seats!

Who would have thought Labour would be at 30% and 6 points ahead of Farage earlier this year?? Andy Burnham's speech and his courage on taking on one of the most difficult issues of our time (Care) has been rewarded. Looks like getting closer the EU is popular too! Paddington Bear PM is very popular

If the gap is that big in a year likely the parties on the right will reach some kind of pact. Which in turn might see the left do the same with a joint PR undertaking.

Yeah not even had the budget yet. He's definitely used this dead period of recess much better than Starmer did by being upbeat rather than depressing (and had no Southport and associated protests), but we really need to see this how this holds once he actually starts making decisions.