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My quick read of Callais decision is that the majority says if a racial community votes consistently with a party, then it is okay to deny them representation because that's just partisan gerrymandering

This is perhaps the most significant Supreme Court race-related decision in modern history. While people will focus on Congress, this decision will dismantle thousands of districts electing representatives of minority communities at the state and local levels

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So, legit question: if "the courts are holding" as I hear oft-repeated, but at the end of the line SCOTUS almost always sides w/ the P2025 Dictatorship, does it matter what the lower courts do wind up delivering?

The decision says nothing about Louisiana's other majority-black district, but unless Louisiana doesn't see a partisan gerrymandering reason to cram African-Americans into the district, it is likely gone as soon as the state government can get around to another redraw

In the race to obtain additional GOP districts, I assume state legislators in Louisiana and Texas are relying on 2024 outcomes and/or past behaviors of demographics (like non college whites, suburban women) that do not reflect the electorate. Seems possible they’re unwittingly enabling a blue wave

This is relevant for Florida's vote on a new congressional map today. The current central Florida majority Hispanic district (predominately Puerto Rican) appears to be no longer protected by the VRA. DeSantis' map splits this community for partisan gerrymandering purposes

Alito says potential plaintiffs would have to show that there was racially discriminatory intent in splitting the Puerto Rican community. That will be very difficult to show unless someone is dumb enough to just blurt it out

Florida bars partisan gerrymandering under the 2010 fair districts amendment. So it will be a harder needle to thread for Florida since they can’t just say it’s for partisan reasons. They have to find another pretext. Although my guess is partisan Florida SCOTUS still buys whatever they say.

This decision sounds like a setback of epic proportions. Those of us that care about civil rights and voting better rally big time. There is a lot we “could have, should have, and would have” about, but we’ve got to move forward ASAP!