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I can't even remember if green offsets are still being allowed in net zero. If so then we cannot depend on restoration efforts to improve land sinks. I don't think methane feedbacks have been properly considered either so even committed warming is too much.

I like the COVID dip in your graph. I propose a global general strike, I think the rest would do us all good

No - not going to happen Yes - we are completely fucked

Rockström sez: "Tipping points start hitting between 1.2C and 2C". I'm personally betting on the Arctic collapsing fairly soon, 5ish years. After that, if you dont' have a several million dollar doomsday bunker, hah, well what are you even doing?

okay, in reality, a pandemic or more solidly shown historically, an economic recession / whatever ... perhaps via one of our military engagements on the go such as the Persian Gulf