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Wow, thanks! For the rest of us (who don't play around woth the source code ;-) , this is what the 30yr linear trend looked like in 2015 (1.5°C Paris Accord) - pic1. Compare that with current 30yr linear trend as of Apr. 2025 - pic2 apps.climate.copernicus.eu/global-tempe...

If we continue the linear EEI trend, the energy accumulation to reach +2ºC will be achieved by 2033. There is lag from inertia though, so your figure of 2037 looks spot on.

Nobody knows

All the birds are dying. www.birds.cornell.edu/home/bring-b...

They. Don’t. Care. Until.

What is the hocus-pocus that makes the chart appear to level off in the future? It's not because of anything the Trump administration is doing.

No NoAA, no NES just drill baby drill for what future

The next el Niño should be a doozy! 😱

Either way I have lived in the same rural area all my life. It is incredibly hotter now than when I was a kid. So yes, it is getting way hotter. I don't need a graph to tell me that.

Reported. Byeeeeeee.

Hitting world wide news, all channels, in 3...... 2....... ......Wait what? DENIAL IN ALL THE WORLD?!

-33

I guess that will depend on the next few months

With the June data now in, the Loess-15-year trend didn't make it to 1.5C (Currently at 1.486C for ERA5 data). Another reminder for me to stay away from any predictions (other than playing with predictions / projections made by professionals). The loess-30-year trend currently sits at 1.422C

So, we’re past tipping point now! Dreadful, absolutely dreadful!

I wouldn't call the start of this a through. It's at the center of the trend at the time. And how much of a peak the end is is quite uncertain. ENSO was neutral/negative, solar cycle 25 peaked.