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That last one worries me, but not as much as I thought it would. The level of roster continuity (especially on o-line) from last year is huge.

Chiefs fell off without Mahomes. Him coming back healthy could bring them right back into contention

Re the bears I’m of the belief it was offense good defense bad (with higher variation due to turnovers) i expect the offense to be similar in 26 but the defense is up in the air

I also have the 2025 Seattle defense being comfortably better than 2013- is that what DVOA has too?

Love to see a guy like Favre getting to succeed right at the end with the team where he spent most of 20 years. Wait a minute.

Appreciate the analysis. I have one concern. The table and associated data doesn't appear to distinguish the fact that the 2007 Patriots lost the Super Bowl, while the 2025 Seahawks won the Super Bowl. Would you mind re-running the regression and correction it before final release...

The lack of any Chiefs teams is mildly surprising to me. I guess I don't actually think of any of them as all-time teams, but they've had so many good teams I figured one would sneak in

Really good team, lost in a heartbreaker to the other top team that year!