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Ben Baldwin
@rbsdm.com

Been working on vibe coding NFL team strengths using modified EPA per play and am happy to report that the best team in the NFL during the 2025 season was the Seattle Seahawks People forget that

Ben Baldwin
@rbsdm.com

Randon NFL thoughts: -I still have no idea if the Bears were good in 2025. They have a huge range of outcomes for 2026 -This thing is probably too low on the Chiefs -Probably too high on the Eagles? -Maybe the Chargers will be good -Hopefully the Seahawks' offense post-Kubiak is still good

Ben Baldwin
@rbsdm.com

Top 10 teams by end-of-season rating since 2002. Turns out it's hard to make a model that doesn't have the 2025 Seahawks as an all-time team

0 reposts25 likes

Aaron Schatz
@aaronschatz.com

Not comfortably, although that might be the difference between "as of the end of the season" and "over the course of the season." Including the playoffs, the 2025 team has the 8th best defense DVOA and the 2013 team is 11th.

Ben Baldwin
@rbsdm.com

Ah yep that probably makes a difference, this is basically Elo-style where more recent games get more weight so the 2 SF games + Super Bowl (and CAR game) really boosted their rating

Karl
@zippkode.bsky.social

Love to see a guy like Favre getting to succeed right at the end with the team where he spent most of 20 years. Wait a minute.

mangomadness123.bsky.social
@mangomadness123.bsky.social

Appreciate the analysis. I have one concern. The table and associated data doesn't appear to distinguish the fact that the 2007 Patriots lost the Super Bowl, while the 2025 Seahawks won the Super Bowl. Would you mind re-running the regression and correction it before final release...

will
@will.technology

The lack of any Chiefs teams is mildly surprising to me. I guess I don't actually think of any of them as all-time teams, but they've had so many good teams I figured one would sneak in