Andrew Winner

Andrew Winner

@acwinner.bsky.social

Adjunct Professor, SAIS Europe, Johns Hopkins University Professor Emeritus, U.S. Naval War College Views are mine own. Umarell in training.

440 followers307 following78 posts

Andrew Winner reposted

Andrew Winner reposted

The most insightful thing I have ever heard about Russia is from a historian who said that for centuries Russia has always tried to destabilise its neighbours and in the shrinking world we are all its neighbours now.

Lizzie Dearden@lizziedearden.bsky.social

Russia is inflaming the debate on immigration in Britain as part of “increasing ambitions to disrupt our way of life”, counter-terror police and experts say It has directly and indirectly paid right-wing influencers to spread messages that align with its political goals inews.co.uk/news/putin-i...

Andrew Winner reposted

this is one of the many small changes Trump is making in his attempt to manipulate the midterms

Marc Elias@marcelias.bsky.social

🚨BREAKING: President Donald Trump Thursday dismissed all remaining commissioners on the Election Assistance Commission (EAC), a bipartisan federal agency created to help states administer elections. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...

Andrew Winner reposted

Andrew Winner reposted

"You cannot celebrate European civilization while simultaneously attacking the legal and political order invented here, or while openly seeking to undermine the institutions that protect pluralism and dissent" An answer to Vance and Rubio: www.erstestiftung.org/en/a-speech-...

erstestiftung.orgA Speech to Europe 2026 »The European Moment« - ERSTE FoundationIn her speech »The European Moment«, Anne Applebaum warns of global threats to democracy and the EU and calls for greater European sovereignty and cohesion.

Thought experiment (certainly not original): how and how much better would US and global security be if the US had provided all the munitions it has used against Iran since 2/28 to Ukraine instead? (Yes, yes, Ukraine cannot use some of the munitions, lacks the platforms, but in general). Discuss.

One can argue that it would be worse too. And there are variants — does the munitions support come with the US level of ISR and targeting support that has gone this far into the Iran war?

Andrew Winner reposted

Exclusive: Russia is providing Iran with targeting information to attack American forces in the Middle East, the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is participating — even indirectly — in the war.

washingtonpost.comRussia is providing Iran intelligence to target U.S. forces, officials sayThe targeting information has included the locations of American warships and aircraft in the Middle East, the officials said.

Andrew Winner reposted

We @apln.network are pleased to partner with @carnegieendowment.org & Nautilus Institute on new paper series exploring dynamics around nuclear signaling and threats. The launch discussion for the first of these is Tues Feb 10 at 0900 EST - sign up today! carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

carnegieendowment.orgBluff or Death? How to Assess Nuclear “Threats”In turbulent times, the less precise our nuclear discourse, the more fear nuclear manipulators can elicit.

Andrew Winner reposted

Some eye-popping cost estimates for the battleship, courtesy of Eric Labs of the Congressional Budget Office. 1 BBG could buy up to 7 DDGs (which, btw is 128 VLS cells and 12 CPS cells vs 672 VLS cells). In the words of the immortal Ron O’Rourke, which came first: the program or the analysis?

Andrew Winner reposted

Signs mounting that U.S. plans to bomb Venezuela, ostensibly with the goal of toppling the regime. Unfortunately the track record of this kind of campaign is uniformly poor. A short thread. 1/8 www.wsj.com/world/americ...

wsj.comPentagon Orders Aircraft Carrier to the CaribbeanThe move would be a major escalation of the Trump administration’s military campaign to target drug smugglers and threaten governments in Latin America.

Looking forward to reading this one!

Paul Poast@profpaulpoast.bsky.social

IR Book of the Week! "Why Democracies Fight Dictators" by @madisonschramm.bsky.social. International politics is not a domain of cold calculation. It invokes emotions. Anger is especially prominent, and helps explain why democracies choose to fight dictatorships.

Andrew Winner reposted

👋 Hello, we're the United States Institute of Peace (USIP)! We are very happy to join @bsky.app, and thrilled to announce that our website, www.usip.org, is back online! We look forward connecting here and bringing you useful content, resources and opportunities for peacebuilders around the world.

Looking forward to reading this. You should too!

Dr. Jacquelyn Schneider@jackieschneider.bsky.social

A year ago, I was in New Zealand with Julia Macdonald finishing our book and today, that book is forthcoming on January 15 with Oxford University Press. Follow us here for more updates on the book launch! #innovation #drones #mines #missiles #UGV #UUV #autonomy #satellite

New article award in honor of a much missed and wonderful mentor and former colleague.

Stephen M. Grenier@warprof.bsky.social

The Catherine McArdle Kelleher International Security Article Award recognizes the best peer-reviewed article in the field of international security each year. Eligible articles must have been published (either online or in print) in a relevant peer-reviewed journal in 2024.

This paired with the Atlantic article below.

John Holbein@johnholbein1.bsky.social

Can you guess what happens when a Walmart Supercenter enters a community? ... ... ... ◾EITC receipts in the community increase ◾ workers' incomes go down as a direct result. "Walmart Supercenters gradually accumulate and exercise monopsony power, with negative consequences for workers."

Thoughtful piece on thinking about the future maritime fight and not drawing the wrong lessons from recent events.

Joshua Tallis@doctallis.bsky.social

I couldn’t agree more. The instinct to derive lessons from the Black and Red seas is right, but we can’t be uncritical in how we export the experience of predominantly land-based belligerents into an expansive maritime AOR. warontherocks.com/2024/07/the-...

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