Arianna Tassinari

Arianna Tassinari

@aritassinari.bsky.social

Assistant Prof, Dept of Social and Political Sciences, University of Bologna | Political economy, labour, crises, Southern Europe

511 followers327 following65 posts

Main finding 3: divergence occurred within shared peripherality constraints: all four struggled with limited capacity to foster high-value-added growth and employment — though our data does show some timid improvements, which may well have developed further after Covid.

Take-away point: a lesson for today’s EU competitiveness debate. Exportism without domestic demand offers limited scope for redistribution and upgrading. High-road development also needs strong wages, public investment, skills and industrial policy—and the fiscal space to support them.

Main finding 1: all four economies (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece) became more export-oriented after 2010. But exports alone could not sustain recovery where domestic demand remained depressed. Robust growth emerged only when exports were accompanied by revived consumption and investment.

Main finding 2: there is no Single European model. Trajectories diverged: Spain and Portugal combined domestic and foreign demand more successfully, while Italy and Greece remained stuck in weak, export-dependent recoveries.

Looking fwd to welcoming a great bunch of colleagues to Bologna on 9-10 October for the workshop "Beyond the energy crisis. The politics and political economy of inflation in uncertain times". Program here - write me if you're in Bologna and wanna attend some of it! 👉 dsps.unibo.it/it/eventi/be...

dsps.unibo.itBeyond the energy crisis. The politics and political economy of inflation in uncertain timesInternational research workshop nell'ambito del progetto MAINSOC - Managing Inflation through Social Dialogue.

Arianna Tassinari reposted

After the summer break, CONNECT is back for a new academic year!🍂 Mark your calendars for our first lecture of 2025-2026: 📅 Sept 19, 3pm-4.30pm | Aula Poeti, Palazzo Hercolani, Bologna 👩‍🏫 Emma Mawdsley (Cambridge) 🗣️ “DOGE-ing USAID: what next for humanitarianism & global development” #Connect #Unibo

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The papers explore how peripheral advanced economies navigate global hierarchies, balance of payments constraints & structural heterogeneity, and how peripherality shapes coalitional politics and agency -in varied cases such as Turkey, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Spain, Serbia, Chile, Uruguay & Israel

With this project, we wanted to bring peripherality at the centre of contemporary debates in Comparative Political Economy. How does our understanding of growth models and their politics change once we take peripheral capitalism seriously?

…and what adaptations does the growth model conceptual toolkit need to make sense of the politics of growth and stagnation in peripheral capitalist contexts? To tackle these questions, the SI brings insights from Latam structuralism, dependency theory and IPE in dialogue with the GM debate in CPE.

My time at the @mpifg.bsky.social coincided with a good chunk of the PhD journeys of these brilliant junior colleagues - a fantastic cohort of talented political economists and economic sociologists. Follow them to keep track of the future of the discipline!

🎓 Yesterday, at the graduation ceremony of the International Max Planck Research School on the Social and Political Constitution of the Economy (IMPRS-SPCE), we had the great pleasure of honoring ‪@tobiasarbogast.bsky.social, @cerencevik.bsky.social, @hadoose.bsky.social, ‬... 🧵 1/2

Since the great financial crisis, much has been written in CPE on the fate of South European economies. Have they really morphed into export-led growth models? With what outcomes? Are their trajectories convergent? In this new DP, we use granular data to put claims from the literature to the test 🧵

In a new MPIfG Discussion Paper, @fbulfone.bsky.social, @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social, and @aritassinari.bsky.social trace the growth trajectories of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain from the financial crisis to the covid pandemic. ‬ 🔗 pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces...

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📌 Bottom line: 1️⃣ Southern Europe has not converged toward the EMU core. It has diverged within itself. 2️⃣ High-value added export niches exist, but remain small. 3️⃣Exports alone can't deliver sustainable growth. Without a strong boost in domestic demand, growth, employment and wages keep stagnating.

Since the great financial crisis, much has been written in CPE on the fate of South European economies. Have they really morphed into export-led growth models? With what outcomes? Are their trajectories convergent? In this new DP, we use granular data to put claims from the literature to the test 🧵

In a new MPIfG Discussion Paper, @fbulfone.bsky.social, @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social, and @aritassinari.bsky.social trace the growth trajectories of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain from the financial crisis to the covid pandemic. ‬ 🔗 pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces...

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In short: ✅ Export orientation increased ❌ Structural upgrading limited ❌ Employment outcomes disappointing Southern Europe may have moved toward a hybrid export model—but one still deeply peripheral within the EMU architecture.

We tentatively identify an “Iberian growth path” in Spain and Portugal—still peripheral, but relatively more successful in combining exports with domestic demand. Meanwhile, Italy and Greece remain trapped in externally imposed austerity logics with weak domestic multipliers.

Since the great financial crisis, much has been written in CPE on the fate of South European economies. Have they really morphed into export-led growth models? With what outcomes? Are their trajectories convergent? In this new DP, we use granular data to put claims from the literature to the test 🧵

In a new MPIfG Discussion Paper, @fbulfone.bsky.social, @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social, and @aritassinari.bsky.social trace the growth trajectories of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain from the financial crisis to the covid pandemic. ‬ 🔗 pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces...

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Spain and Portugal did see growth in some high value-added service exports—like IT, professional services, and R&D. These sectors are still small, but growing faster than others—hints of emerging niches amid a broader low value-added landscape where tourism still plays a key role.

🧵 Finding 3: Export-led growth in Southern Europe didn’t deliver in terms of jobs. Employment losses during the crisis were massive. Recovery in jobs— especially good jobs—was partial and slow. Export-related job creation didn’t offset earlier losses.

Since the great financial crisis, much has been written in CPE on the fate of South European economies. Have they really morphed into export-led growth models? With what outcomes? Are their trajectories convergent? In this new DP, we use granular data to put claims from the literature to the test 🧵

In a new MPIfG Discussion Paper, @fbulfone.bsky.social, @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social, and @aritassinari.bsky.social trace the growth trajectories of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain from the financial crisis to the covid pandemic. ‬ 🔗 pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces...

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🧵 Finding 2: Despite reorientation to exports, SE economies still struggle to upgrade. Manufacturing exports remain, overall, low-tech. High value-added services are, overall, still marginal. Greece stands out as most peripheralized; Italy retains stronger industrial capabilities.

Since the great financial crisis, much has been written in CPE on the fate of South European economies. Have they really morphed into export-led growth models? With what outcomes? Are their trajectories convergent? In this new DP, we use granular data to put claims from the literature to the test 🧵

In a new MPIfG Discussion Paper, @fbulfone.bsky.social, @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social, and @aritassinari.bsky.social trace the growth trajectories of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain from the financial crisis to the covid pandemic. ‬ 🔗 pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces...

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We decompose the growth performance of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain between the GFC and the Covid pandemic using import-adjusted data and detailed sectoral indicators of value added, working hours and labour costs. The data tell a nuanced story of both convergence and divergence.

🧵 Finding 1: All 4 countries shifted toward greater reliance on exports as a growth driver after 2010. BUT: Only Spain and Portugal managed to also revive domestic demand (private consumption & investment) after 2014. Italy and Greece didn’t.

Since the great financial crisis, much has been written in CPE on the fate of South European economies. Have they really morphed into export-led growth models? With what outcomes? Are their trajectories convergent? In this new DP, we use granular data to put claims from the literature to the test 🧵

In a new MPIfG Discussion Paper, @fbulfone.bsky.social, @m-stratenwerth.bsky.social, and @aritassinari.bsky.social trace the growth trajectories of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain from the financial crisis to the covid pandemic. ‬ 🔗 pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces...

We revisit 3 key claims from the CPE literature: 1️⃣ Export-led growth has replaced domestic-demand-led models since the GFC. 2️⃣ South European economies still struggle to generate high value-added exports. 3️⃣ Employment creation is weak, esp. in high wage jobs. Do the data confirm these claims?

I'm very happy to be joining the editorial board of Competition & Change, a journal which has become home to some of the best and most stimulating interdisciplinary research in political economy and socioeconomics. Give us a follow and stay tuned for updates!

compchange.bsky.social@compchange.bsky.social

Hello! 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 & 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞 has joined Bsky. We'll be sharing new articles and other journal-related updates. To start, excellent news: Our 2024 impact factor is up four points: 3.4. This reflects the high-quality work of our authors, reviewers, and editors—thank you, and keep them coming! 🙏

Arianna Tassinari reposted

Hello! 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 & 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞 has joined Bsky. We'll be sharing new articles and other journal-related updates. To start, excellent news: Our 2024 impact factor is up four points: 3.4. This reflects the high-quality work of our authors, reviewers, and editors—thank you, and keep them coming! 🙏

Arianna Tassinari reposted

From the FT today: "The killings on Sunday will deepen doubts about GHF’s ability to replace the UN, which previously delivered aid to families at local distribution sites. MSF International on Saturday described the new system as “disastrous. Ineffective. Dangerous. Reckless. Dehumanising”."

on.ft.comDozens of Gazans killed and injured trying to get aid, health ministry saysIDF denies firing on civilians after more than 30 deaths among people headed to controversial humanitarian hubs

Arianna Tassinari reposted

“Reuters examined the data from the Gaza Health Ministry to look more closely at those who have died. It found that more than one-fifth of those killed in the territory were children under the age of 12. More than 1,200 families were completely wiped out”

reuters.comThe lives lost in Gaza: A closer look at those killed in the conflict so farThe death toll from the war already dwarfs the numbers killed in previous bouts of fighting between Israelis and Palestinians in Gaza over many decades.

Arianna Tassinari reposted

BREAKING: An Israeli airstrike on a school-turned-shelter has killed at least 25 Palestinians, mostly women and children, Gaza's Health Ministry said. The school was hit three times while people slept, setting their belongings ablaze, they added.

bit.lyIsraeli strike on school-turned-shelter in Gaza kills 25, medics sayAn Israeli strike on a school-turned-shelter in the Gaza Strip has killed at least 25 people, mostly women and children, according to the territory’s Health Ministry.

Waking up to the news of yet another attack overnight on a school shelter in Gaza, 25 killed, among which many children, burnt to death in their sleep. What will it take for our governments to finally take decisive steps to stop Israel committing this genocide? www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/liv...

aljazeera.com‘Burned alive’: Israel bombs Gaza school-turned-shelter, killing 30Latest attacks come as Spain urges world to consider sanctions on Israel to end the war on Gaza.

Arianna Tassinari reposted

🎧 Connecting the Nodes è ora su Spotify!🙌 🌍 Il podcast di CONNECT propone uno sguardo transnazionale su politica e la società, trasformando la ricerca in sapere pubblico. 🎙️ Sono già online i primi due episodi—segui la pagina per non perderti le prossime uscite: 👉 open.spotify.com/show/6l9HyZJ...

open.spotify.comConnecting the NodesPodcast · Università di Bologna · "Connecting the Nodes" è il podcast di Connect.Connect è il centro di ricerca del Dipartimento di Scienze Politiche e Sociali.Connect si occupa di temi senza confini:...

Nel nuovo episodio del podcast di CONNECT, @andreapirro.it e @ninahall.bsky.social discutono con @manuelamoschella.bsky.social dello stato attuale della politica climatica in Europa, di movimenti per il clima, ultradestre e climate backlash. Conversazione davvero interessante, consiglio l'ascolto!

CONNECT Research Centre@connect-unibo.bsky.social

🔴Il secondo episodio di Connecting the Nodes, il podcast di CONNECT, è online! 🎙️Ep. 2: Ambiente e politica: chi ha paura della democrazia verde? Con @ninahall.bsky.social & @andreapirro.it parliamo di movimenti per il clima, ultradestre e populismi green 🎧Ascolta ora: www.youtube.com/watch?v=UreX...

Arianna Tassinari reposted

Watching the US slide into autocracy feels eerily familiar — like re-living the early years of Orbánism (only more intense, honestly). I wrote down some reflections from that period. It won’t make you feel better. But it might make the stakes clearer. medium.com/@palma.polya...

medium.comWe Were the Rule-of-Law Generation. Emphasis on ‘Were.’Watching the United States’ descent into an autocratic mafia state is an eerie experience, having spent my entire adult life in Hungary’s…