Pinned
bilboteach
bilboteach
@bilboteach.bsky.social
I write about elections at DailyKos. Sometimes, I even write something worthwhile!
176 followers53 following284 posts
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
Hey everyone. We now have 2024 elec data for ALL 50 STATES!! @redistdatahub.bsky.social has stepped up big time to finish tough states OR, NJ and PA!! They did 2024 data for 44 of 50 states!!! Do you like? Please support our DRA and Data campaign!
bilboteach reposted
How do you know Election Day is almost here? There's a chill crispness to the air … the leaves have started changing colors … and The Downballot's beloved poll closing times map is back, thanks to our sponsor, @edfaction.bsky.social Votes! Click below for jumbo versions in every U.S. time zone!
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
Replying to @taniel.bsky.social
Lula has taken the overall, countrywide lead back. With 62% of precincts counted, he is ahead 50.6% to 49.4%, which is an edge of roughly 900,000 votes. He is also getting the shift he needs (compared to the first round) in virtually every state that has reported most of the vote.
bilboteach reposted
Serbian leader Aleksandar Vučić concedes defeat in fiercely contested parliamentary election
bilboteach reposted
Small-dollar donations to Republican candidates are just apocalyptic. Selected examples here. Our forecasting research found in-state individual contributions are a strong predictor of results. Way stronger than PAC spending! votehub.com/2026/10/24/2...
bilboteach reposted
The long-serving strongman leader of Serbia, Aleksandar Vucic, has conceded defeat in an election that pitted him and his right-wing party against a diverse student-led opposition movement that spent two years protesting his government.
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
We've pulled new FEC reports (covering the first two weeks of October) for all House & Senate candidates. Dems continue to crush: Raised: D: $123 million R: $39 million Spent: D: $193 million R: $130 million Cash: D: $466 million R: $300 million See both tabs of the linked spreadsheet.
bilboteach reposted
Michigan, are you fired up and ready to vote? Watch to hear why you should elect @jocelynbenson.bsky.social, @abdulelsayed.bsky.social, and Democrats across the ballot.
bilboteach reposted
It’s the first day of early voting in Michigan, and I’m heading to Detroit for a rally to support @jocelynbenson.bsky.social, @abdulelsayed.bsky.social, and Democrats working to create change. Make a plan to vote at MichiganDems.com/Vote.
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
Once mass spam texts were made legal, younger donors vanished, leaving a grassroots fundraising machine that subsists on squeezing vulnerable seniors, some of whom give hundreds of times a day. It’s a horrific model. Consultants get generationally wealthy, and the party hollows out its future.
We found that as of right now 73% of your campaign donation goes back to the consultants and vendors (!!!), four times more than just 20 years ago. Only 13% to ads. Even I was shocked.
bilboteach reposted
Tonight feels like a good night to reshare our requirements for what polls we will—and won’t—include in our coverage.
bilboteach reposted
The late Denise Oliver-Velez: Celebration of Life Memorial Service on 10/24; date & location confirmed by lpeacock. Article on street naming campaign ... www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
bilboteach reposted
Today is The Downballot's 23rd anniversary, so we're celebrating with a special 23% off sale! Unlock premium content and awesome perks 𝙥𝙡𝙪𝙨 support our unique work at a steep discount off our normal rates. Click below to take advantage—the offer is good for just one week!
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
whoa... the current map of "No Kings: Vote Early" events planned for tomorrow, sat oct 17: www.nokings.org
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
This was very likely the only plausible option available to Democrats: absorb the massive spending, pray you survive, then whale on them with whatever you have left at the end. Seeing as the polls haven't gotten worse for Ds (if anything, they keep getting better), it seems like this is working.
HMP(D) dropping $50m across 43 House races and wow PA01 MI04 WI01 especially are atomic bombs
bilboteach reposted
This is the worst news I have heard in a very long time - what a tragic loss. @helenbranswell.bsky.social was, unquestionably, _the_ best in the field and just a wonderful person. Condolences to her family and colleagues - she'll be sorely missed. www.statnews.com/2026/10/13/h...
bilboteach reposted
The Badger State of Play: Key Wisconsin Races www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
The Sunshine State of Play: Key Florida Races #3 www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
The Sunshine State of Play: Key Florida Races #2 www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
bilboteach reposted
Today, Marist's midnight poll drop is from Ohio: Sherrod Brown leads Sen. Husted 51% to 43%. Amy Acton leads Vivek Ramaswamy 50% to 44%. A key stat: 50% *strongly disapprove* of Trump, in Ohio. maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/midter...
bilboteach reposted
Now that party cmtes no longer file IE reports b/c of SCOTUS, it's been very hard to track advertising from DCCC & NRCC. Today, the D-Trip said it was on TV in 35 districts but only named three. Nicholas Wu at @semafor.com obtained a full list. The DCCC had previously announced TV buys in 24 CDs.
bilboteach reposted
The Sunshine State of Play: Key Florida Races #1 www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
bilboteach reposted
Replying to @charlesgaba.com
A reminder that I've made it absurdly easy to donate to up to ~3,000 Democratic candidates at the federal, statewide & state legislative levels without a dime going to anyone other than the candidates (aside from the cc processing fee) here: Blue26.org #JustSaying
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
Replying to @stevevladeck.bsky.social
The last two sentences are … direct. Link: www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25p...
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
The Grand Canyon State of Play: Key Arizona Races www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
bilboteach reposted
Xi Jinping Impressed With How Much Trump’s English Has Improved Since Last Visit https://theonion.com/xi-jinping-impressed-with-how-much-trumps-english-has-improved-since-last-visit/
bilboteach reposted
When Democrats flipped #OK05 in 2018, it was a laser-eyes capper to a wild election night. Since then, Republicans have made the seat considerably redder, so if it's back in play ... hoo boy. www.oklahoman.com/story/news/p...
bilboteach reposted
A conservative super PAC is spending $2.7 million to attack Democrat Angie Nixon in #FLSen. A couple of recent polls have shown her tied with GOP Sen. Ashley Moody, though others have shown Moody further ahead. x.com/rpyers/statu...
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
bilboteach reposted
In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.
Old Dominion: Key Virginia Races www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...