bilboteach

bilboteach

@bilboteach.bsky.social

I write about elections at DailyKos. Sometimes, I even write something worthwhile!

176 followers53 following284 posts

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Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski backs Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins for Alaska governor. Kreiss-Tomkins would be the state's first Democratic leader in 24 years.

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How do you know Election Day is almost here? There's a chill crispness to the air … the leaves have started changing colors … and The Downballot's beloved poll closing times map is back, thanks to our sponsor, @edfaction.bsky.social Votes! Click below for jumbo versions in every U.S. time zone!

the-downballot.comThe Downballot's 2026 poll closing times map, sponsored by EDF Action VotesOur celebrated map returns, with versions for every U.S. time zone—and more!

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Lula has been reelected president, Brazilian media has now called. An extraordinary comeback for the left-wing politician who trailed by 2 points in round 1 but managed to hold off Flávio Bolsonaro, the former president's son.

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Replying to @taniel.bsky.social

Lula has taken the overall, countrywide lead back. With 62% of precincts counted, he is ahead 50.6% to 49.4%, which is an edge of roughly 900,000 votes. He is also getting the shift he needs (compared to the first round) in virtually every state that has reported most of the vote.

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BELGRADE, Serbia (AP) — Serbia’s strongman leader Aleksandar Vucic has conceded defeat to a student-led movement in a seismic political shift.

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A federal judge in Florida orders President Trump to sit for a deposition in his defamation lawsuit against the BBC by Dec. 11, or face dismissal of his $10 billion action.

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Once mass spam texts were made legal, younger donors vanished, leaving a grassroots fundraising machine that subsists on squeezing vulnerable seniors, some of whom give hundreds of times a day. It’s a horrific model. Consultants get generationally wealthy, and the party hollows out its future.

Jake Grumbach@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

We found that as of right now 73% of your campaign donation goes back to the consultants and vendors (!!!), four times more than just 20 years ago. Only 13% to ads. Even I was shocked.

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URGENT: Our No Kings Coalition Instagram has been taken down. At about 1:30 PM ET, Meta froze the main No Kings Coalition Instagram account. This happened at the peak of our national day of action. We need your help to spread the word. Tell them to RESTORE the account. #NoKings #NoKingsVoteEarly

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The Q3 fundraising discrepancies between candidates in some of these Senate races are insane. #SCSen 🟦 $9M 🟥 $786K #FLSen 🟦 $7.2M 🟥 $1.8M #MISen 🟦 $25.6M 🟥 $6.9M #NCSen 🟦 $12M 🟥 $2M #KSSen 🟦 $11M 🟥 $800K #AKSen 🟦 $17M 🟥 $2M #OHSen 🟦 $23M 🟥 $5M #MESen 🟦 $20M 🟥 $5M

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This was very likely the only plausible option available to Democrats: absorb the massive spending, pray you survive, then whale on them with whatever you have left at the end. Seeing as the polls haven't gotten worse for Ds (if anything, they keep getting better), it seems like this is working.

HMP(D) dropping $50m across 43 House races and wow PA01 MI04 WI01 especially are atomic bombs

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Now that party cmtes no longer file IE reports b/c of SCOTUS, it's been very hard to track advertising from DCCC & NRCC. Today, the D-Trip said it was on TV in 35 districts but only named three. Nicholas Wu at @semafor.com obtained a full list. The DCCC had previously announced TV buys in 24 CDs.

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Ruby Bridges was 6-years-old when she stepped into the history books. Bravely accompanied by her mother, she was the first Black child to desegregate an all-white school in the South. It was not long ago… Today is her birthday. She is still with us. She is 72. Happy birthday, Ruby Bridges 💜

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BREAKING: The Supreme Court is requiring Missouri to use its 2022 map in the general election, rejecting a late push by lower courts to require the state to implement a GOP-friendlier 2025 gerrymandering.

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#BREAKING: #SCOTUS once again freezes the lower federal courts’ rulings in the Missouri redistricting case—and affirms that, as the Missouri Supreme Court held earlier this month, Missouri will use the 2022 map in the November elections. There were no public dissents.

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Sen. Susan Collins helped steer millions in federal defense contracts to Navatek, whose CEO illegally funneled thousands of dollars to her campaign. The FBI sought to launch a probe and was eyeing Collins and other lawmakers. Then Trump gutted the unit in charge. THREAD 🧵

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In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.

the-downballot.comMassive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since WatergateThere’s a remarkably close correlation between the primary vote and the House popular vote