Carl LeGuin

No, people, you are not the result of x.x billion years of successful evolution. Evolution does not seek a result and has no direction. You are a side branch of the primates, of which only one species remains, and you will soon have disappeared completely.

Maximum global sea-ice extent usually occurs in early November. As of October 25th, this year's global sea-ice extent currently ranks 3rd lowest for the day, just 40,000 km² above the record daily low set in 2023. Will 2026 see a new record low maximum? Stay tuned!

And here’s another reason, dear readers, why I wouldn’t put too much energy into planning for the future or retirement. What? Yes, of course it depends on your age.

Enjoy your life, while it lasts. 🥳

Chekov has died. Thank you for everything, Mr Koenig.

Guten Morgen zusammen - wie gewohnt mit einem aktuellen Bild der Sonne, heute wieder per Satellit SDO und mit einkopiertem Bild der Erde zum Größenvergleich.

CERES just released its August data. Here's the latest update on the 12-month running average for Earth albedo showing a slight increase. The Climate Casino is speculating that it is due to more reflective clouds across the central and eastern Pacific ocean due to El Nino.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "It’s extraordinary to realise that we are witnessing the great unravelling; the beginning of the end of things. I honestly never thought I’d live to see the start of what sometimes feels like the apocalypse." www.climatecodered.org/2023/06/what...

Models that say we can overshoot 1.5°C & come back down assume: - we will transform our food systems from carbon source to sink - forests and soils keep absorbing 25% of our emissions - oceans keep absorbing another 25% - we enact a vast build-out of tech to pull CO2 back out of the air

Get ready for +2.0°C

Here's the 30-day running average anomaly for the Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature. The last 30 days have averaged a record 3.29°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. The forecast is a peak between 3.4°C and 3.5°C in late November. Will we need to extend the y-axis again? Stay tuned!

#FOTW Daily Post 20 As well as the atmosphere and oceans, a changing climate can wake the solid Earth When ice melted after the last ice age, the pressure release triggered quakes and eruptions. The ground responds to what we do to the sky Pls share + tag 2 #FateOfTheWorld

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 23, 2026 ~ So it goes. "In just a year, the projections for how much temperatures will rise even if governments keep their pledges has risen by two tenths of a degree Celsius" billmckibben.substack.com/p/elections-...

And given these figures, dear audience, UNEP is claiming 2.8 by 2100? ... 🤣🤣

My dear UNEP, reopen the window is utter nonsense 🤪

For your information: The claims made in the latest UNEP report are nonsense. By 2050 or 2100, temperatures will rise far more sharply. Currently, CO₂ emissions are rising steadily, and temperatures are rising quadratically. Anything else is just fairy tales about supposed adaptation.

What's especially "problematic" is the continued conflation of the "warming pauze" narrative pushed by climate change deniers and the factual (more than?) doubling of global warming, which is based on real climate science (and acknowledged by NASA, NOAA, WMO etc).

Did I mention that you should buckle up?

Truly mind-boggling and very scary The 1997-98 El Nino resulted in a global economic hit of $5.7 trillion When we look back on the current hyper El Nino, don't be surprised if there is not much change out of $20 trillion

That's something. Buckle up!

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 18, 2026 ~ Getting closer. "On one end of the spectrum are the doomers. These are often activists and whistleblowers who feel a genuine sense of dread about imminent disaster, and want to inspire the same alarm in others." www.theguardian.com/environment/...

There's excitement in the air! It now looks like the 4-year anomaly will break 1.50°C long before the date the Climate Casino previously gave of November 17th and could possibly break 1.50°C by the end of October! Winning!

One of Britain’s earliest wind farms, Hagshaw Hill in Scotland, has been fully decommissioned and recycled, with less than 0.1% of the old turbines sent to landfill. #Greensky #ClimateAction #Environment @greenpeace.org @greenpeace.eu

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 17, 2026 ~ Don't cry for me, Antarctica! "Reality: The doomsday glacier has crossed stability thresholds where internal momentum sustains ice discharge for generations, regardless of cooling interventions." cristinaiglesias.com/newsday/anta...

For those who may be confused ... The image does not show the 1850-1900 baseline, it uses 1981-2010. Add about 0.8°C to make the adjustment.

The pre-industrial 1850-1900 baseline had 15.5°C as the average annual global maximum temperature. Times have changed. So far this year the planet has seen 160 days above 15.5°C, currently in a tie with 2024 for the most such days, followed by 2023 with 154 and 2025 with 152.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "For several decades, scientists have consistently warned of a future marked by extreme climatic conditions because of escalating global temperatures caused by ongoing human activities that release harmful GHGs into the atmosphere. Unfortunately, time is up."

Have fun people and enjoy the ride! 🥳🥳

People have only themselves to blame

The 'Planetary Health Check' for 2026 wins! Thank you to Sam Mitchell for pointing this out. Source: publications.pik-potsdam.de/rest/items/i...

I don’t think retirement planning is really a topic that makes much sense to young people anymore

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 15, 2026 ~ Fresh air! "But, in all honesty, none of that has a chance of happening any time soon. As a result, the world will become hotter, more fractured, more prone to conflict, less equal and a lot angrier." www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Breaking News! Code Yikes! As of October 13, the year-to-date global surface temperature anomaly is 1.50°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline. Where will 2026 end up? The Climate Casino is taking the OVER on 1.55°C and the UNDER on 1.60°C. Stay tuned!

Oh look, the holy Canadians ....

Breaking News! Code UFB!!! As of October 13, Antarctic sea-ice extent is more than 5.0 standard deviations below the 1991-2020 daily average. Under "normal" circumstances, the likelihood of this happening just by chance would be about 1-in-5,800,000.

With the planet now heating at 0.4C a decade, the idea the world will be just 2.7C hotter by 2100 is pure fantasy Like 1.5C before it, the 2.7C figure is being used to massively underestimate the dire straits we are in, and to play down the desperate need for action NOW

Still thinking PV modules and heatpumps will do the trick?

It's gettin' worse ... and pretty fast. Have fun.

The preliminary Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature for October 13 just broke 30°C for the third time, and is now 3.3°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. This marks the 22nd consecutive daily temperature above the previous all-time record high of 29.815°C. set on Nov. 17, 2015.

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 13, 2026 ~ Window alert! "The polar oceans rarely come up, even though they cover a fifth of the global ocean and are changing faster than almost anything on Earth ... And the window to do something about it is already closing." www.earth.com/climate/scie...

I was a guest on the Enviro Show last month talking about the Moronocene, collapse of global industrial civilization and 6th great extinction. Enjoy! rss.com/podcasts/env...

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: "Scientists are coming under pressure from some petro-states and major developing countries to delay publication of a key global report on the climate, despite pleas from vulnerable countries worried that postponement could spell disaster for them."

The 36-month running average for total column precipitable water in the Northern mid-latitudes (where about 50% of humans live) remained near its record high in the latest update from September, 2026. The Climate 8-Ball is feeding its opera of canaries.

September 2026, globale Erhitzung setzt sich selbstverständlich weiter fort und der Monat lag über der 1.5 Grad Marke #Klimaignoranz tötet

Ich bin beruhigt. Auf lange Sicht kann die KI mir den Job nicht weg nehmen. Ständig bekomme ich KI-Hinweise wie "Aus ethischen Gründen kann ich zu diesem Vorgehen nicht raten"! Der Winkeladvokat bleibt schlicht unersetzlich!

It's been quite something to see certain 'media favorite scientists' wanting to die on the hill of "no acceleration and "the truth is bad enough" Everyone who understands basic physics understands that (more than!) doubling Earth's Energy Imbalance will double the rate of global warming.

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 12, 2026 ~ Last February. "accurate projections of when global warming will exceed the Paris Agreement’s 1.5 °C threshold are essential for effective climate policy. Existing estimates place this exceedance in the early 2030s..." www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Some say early 2030s. Others say 2028. But the math says it already happened in February, 2026. The Climate 8-Ball says there will not be a year in the next 100 years with a temperature anomaly less than 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.

The more you know ... The 4-year running average for the global temperature anomaly is forecast to break the Paris Limit of 1.5°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline on November 17, 2026. We'll be covering the moment. Stay tuned!

The permafrost in Northwest Territories Canada is melting and beginning to slide into river valleys. The melting is up to 60 m deep! That sure isn't hitting the mainstream media. youtu.be/cIJ_3i3DrUs?...