Rob Lightbown (Crown Weather)

A reminder that "But what if people on YOUR side are on the Epstein list?" is a bullshit argument, EVERYONE who was raping children needs to get into the bin right now, that's the deal here and it ain't exactly complicated

Let's be SUPER clear about this. Lock. Them. All. Up. ALL of them. The only "sides" here are 1) rapists plus people who support them, and 2) those that want the rapists to be in jail.

Thanks to @johnmoralestv.bsky.social for noticing this on the open entry level NWS positions. To get your foot into the NWS, it seems as if you have to kiss the ass of the executive branch. I've given serious thought of applying for the positions at the 2 NWS offices in Maine. Now, not so much.

@millsish.bsky.social Wanted to see if you and Peter are going to be at the Baseball Project show in Somerville, Mass on September 23rd. My wife, Meg, has been a huge fan of R.E.M. for 30-plus years and is also a huge Red Sox fan. Would love to see you and Peter on stage together. Thanks!!!

Only a 1500 mile spread in the GFS ensemble guidance of where Invest #97L might be in 10 days from now. Seems to be 2 camps w/ 1 in the SW Atlantic & the second way out in the open Atlantic. My gut says this goes up and out, but I'm not discounting a closer approach to the SE US coast.

The very much advertised tropical wave located over the far eastern Atlantic is now tagged Invest 97-L by NHC. Let the real hype begin.

I know I'm going to regret it, but I went ahead and activated my account on the "bad site". While I love BlueSky and the interactions I have on here, it lacks the ability for me to follow breaking severe or tropical weather. Sadly, this is where the other site still excels. Ugh, I hate myself!

As a meteorologist, I have to remind myself that while weather models are fun to look at, they are just a tool in our weather toolbox. Analysis of what's actually going on & actually analyzing what the models are showing is ALWAYS better than just looking at a model depiction.

It appears that there is going to be a burst of tropical activity across the Atlantic over the next week or so. In fact, we are watching several areas with interest. All of these were extensively discussed in our latest weather update that can be found at crownweather.com/discussions/ .

I wanted to take a moment to invite you to become a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber by going to the following link - crownweather.com/cws-plus/ . The cost of a subscription is well worth the money given what you get in return for being updated on the latest about the tropics.

0340Z, 7/30: As we are still over an hour away from potential #Tsunami waves impacting #Hawaii, and even later for the west coast, you can find updates at: Tsunami Warning Center - tsunami.gov WFO Honolulu (where Tsunami Warnings are active tonight) - www.weather.gov/hfo

Emergency officials and the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center now warn that tsunami waves ranging from 3 to 12 feet could impact parts of Hawaii. Residents in vulnerable areas are urged to prepare and stay alert.

0112Z, 7/30: The #Tsunami Warning Center now estimates that #Hawaii could see a 1-3 meter (or 3.2-9.8 feet) maximum tsunami height. ETA 7:17 PM HST tonight.

BREAKING: Honolulu Department of Emergency Management in Hawaii calls for evacuation of some coastal areas after earthquake in Russia, says destructive tsunami waves expected.

8.7 magnitude #earthquake 126 km ESE of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, #Russia. #Tsunami Warnings & Watches up. Warnings for western Aleutian Islands of #Alaska. Watches: #Hawaii & all of the West Coast of USA. Heed evacuation orders and head to higher ground. www.tsunami.gov

0045Z, 7/30: A #TsunamiWarning is now in effect for #Hawaii. ETA 7:17 PM HST tonight. Urgent action should be taken to protect lives and property along coastlines! #Tsunami

#Japan Meteorological Agency has issued a #tsunami warning and advisory for the Pacific coast from #Hokkaido to #Okinawa. The estimate of maximum wave height is now expected to be 3 meter. japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/society/gene...

BREAKING: Tsunami waves, up to 13 feet, recorded in Yelizovsky in Kamchatka Krai, Russia following powerful 8.7 magnitude earthquake. - TASS

🚨🚨 I've independently confirmed with @NOAA that they received a late-breaking notice from @DeptofDefense that SSMIS data will continue to flow for the remainder of the lifespan of the satellites. I will be updating my reporting shortly. Here is the official NOAA statement 👇

#Breaking: Just got off the phone with a NOAA spokesperson. DOD has stated that SSMIS microwave scans will be made available to NOAA through the end of the satellites’ lifespan and until the replacement instrument’s data comes online.

A legit tornado signature in the woods west of Ashland in northern Maine. Also that part of the storm seems to be turning more to the right & may head for the more populated towns such as Ashland, Washburn & even Caribou. I used to live in this part of Maine for 26 years, so I know it well.

TSUNAMI WARNING for all areas along the Alaskan Peninsula as a 7.2 magnitude earthquake has occurred only 50 miles south of Sand Point, AK.

Yet another system that a majority of the weather models are not doing a good job forecasting. All models are under forecasting the overall structure of low pressure just east of Melbourne, Florida. Is this due to the reduced number of sites that do weather balloon launches? I absolutely think so.

Area of disturbed weather off of SE US coast should be watched once it gets into the northern Gulf by Wed/Thu. ICON model continues to be the most aggressive w/ showing it becoming a bonefide TS. Other guidance much more muted & barely shows anything. Will be watching throughout this week.

One of the comments that struck me in yesterday's call is how NOAA cuts are already affecting forecast capabilities. According to 45-year hurricane veteran Dr. Frank Marks, staff needed to fly NOAA Hurricane Hunters is down 50% this year. He's volunteering to pick up shifts to keep them running ⬇️

“According to sources within FEMA, “barely any staff” have been deployed, and the Acting Administrator David Richardson “is nowhere to be found.” Per one source, “if this is how they are going to do a major hurricane response, people are fucked.”

Need more accounts like this to counter false narratives out there about warnings

Meteorologists like to believe they can save everyone from bad weather. Admirable if misguided. People have to listen. In case you haven’t noticed we’re not exactly in the prime listening to expertise era.

There are literal children missing and dead so this is especially true for this one.

"Twenty-five years from now, will we want our children to say that we reached the limit of predictability, not because nature stopped us, but because we decided to stop trying?" A piece worth your read from the most experienced hurricane forecaster on this platform 👇

we wouldn't be scrambling to save key data sources like SSMIS or weather balloons (and the folks who run those programs, the folks who interpret the data, the folks who turn data into messages for the public) if taxpayer dollars went to protecting people instead

I mean what could go wrong cutting off detailed SSMI data during the peak hurricane season months. A delay until even November 1st would suffice - at least then we would have the winter months to figure things out.

I did a handful of interviews yesterday on the imminent shutdown of SSMIS data flow and the expected consequences for hurricane forecasting at NHC. I've tried to collect and polish up my thoughts on the topic, attached...

Every summer I think the same thing - How do y'all in the South stand the heat/humidity for months at a time. This is day 3 of 90-plus degree temps combined with 70-plus degree dew point temps up here in Mass. It's miserable & draining (even w/ window A/C units). Already ready for Winter!!

How it feels going outside right now here in Sturbridge, Mass. Temp: 93 Degrees, Dew Point Temp: 74 Degrees, "Feels Like": 104 Degrees.

Looks like Trump was shit posting about the ceasefire. Not surprised at all - He has never had a clue of what's going on & more than likely, there is no ceasefire at all. It's all in his demented, delusional imagination.

And here we go. Things are REALLY about to go to shit.

That's actually quite impressive for late June on the summit of Mt. Washington. I'm guessing the auto road is closed & the cog isn't taking anyone to the summit today.

These regions include the entirety of the Gulf Coast and up through North Carolina. Cannot emphasize enough how big of a problem this is…

okay surely things haven't gotten worse since I logged off for the after - *Israel attacking Iran* oh for fuck's sake